1 00:00:09,100 --> 00:00:14,830 Hi I'm John Ko and welcome to icons of DC Area Real Estate, a one on 2 00:00:14,830 --> 00:00:20,650 one interview show highlighting the backgrounds and career trajectory of 3 00:00:20,650 --> 00:00:25,090 leading luminaries in the Washington, DC area real estate market. 4 00:00:25,090 --> 00:00:28,750 The purpose of the show is to highlight their backgrounds and their 5 00:00:28,750 --> 00:00:32,170 experiences, and some interesting stories about their current 6 00:00:32,170 --> 00:00:36,670 business as well as their past, and to cite some things that you 7 00:00:36,670 --> 00:00:41,230 might take away both from educational standpoint as well as 8 00:00:41,230 --> 00:00:46,420 lessons learned in the industry, and some amusing and sometimes 9 00:00:46,420 --> 00:00:50,170 interesting background stories. So I'm hoping that you will 10 00:00:50,170 --> 00:00:53,800 enjoy the show. Before I introduce my guest, I'd like 11 00:00:53,800 --> 00:00:58,750 to share that both this podcast and the community I started in 2021, 12 00:00:58,750 --> 00:01:04,000 called The Iconic Journey and CRA is now part of a new non-profit 13 00:01:04,000 --> 00:01:09,130 organization with that same name. The new company will offer 14 00:01:09,130 --> 00:01:12,130 opportunities for sponsorship to grow the community, 15 00:01:12,130 --> 00:01:18,070 both in membership and in programs. It also allows you as listeners to 16 00:01:18,070 --> 00:01:22,540 show your appreciation for this podcast, which has delivered episodes 17 00:01:22,540 --> 00:01:29,230 twice monthly since August 2019 with a charitable contribution. 18 00:01:29,880 --> 00:01:33,660 Transitioning the community and podcast into the nonprofit 19 00:01:33,660 --> 00:01:36,630 organization is underway. The community, 20 00:01:36,630 --> 00:01:40,290 which is open to commercial real estate professionals between the 21 00:01:40,290 --> 00:01:45,920 ages of 25 and 40 years old. Is currently up to 65 members 22 00:01:45,920 --> 00:01:48,830 and growing. If you would like to learn more 23 00:01:48,830 --> 00:01:52,700 about either joining the community or contributing to the podcast, 24 00:01:52,700 --> 00:01:58,520 please reach out directly to me at John at Co Enterprise Co e n 25 00:01:58,520 --> 00:02:06,020 t e r pre ses.com. Separately my private company Co 26 00:02:06,020 --> 00:02:11,240 enterprises. Now we'll focus only on advisory 27 00:02:11,240 --> 00:02:15,230 work for early stage real estate firms and career counseling. 28 00:02:15,530 --> 00:02:19,130 If you have interest in learning more about its services please review 29 00:02:19,130 --> 00:02:24,080 my website at Co enterprise.com. Thank you for listening. 30 00:02:24,200 --> 00:02:27,620 Thank you for joining me for another episode of icons of DC 31 00:02:27,620 --> 00:02:30,860 Area Real Estate. Actually, this is the 100th 32 00:02:30,860 --> 00:02:37,100 episode of the podcast, and I am extraordinarily pleased 33 00:02:37,370 --> 00:02:45,710 to introduce my, uh, unusual and pioneering guest on this show. 34 00:02:45,830 --> 00:02:50,300 And that is Ethan Penner, who was the founder of the CMBS 35 00:02:50,300 --> 00:02:54,260 commercial mortgage backed security industry back in the early 1990s. 36 00:02:55,320 --> 00:02:59,610 And he has recently written a book called greatness is a choice, 37 00:02:59,790 --> 00:03:04,560 which we talk quite a bit about in the conversation. 38 00:03:05,400 --> 00:03:11,310 This interview was recorded live at the headquarters office of 39 00:03:11,310 --> 00:03:16,360 Walker and Dunlop in Bethesda. In their beautiful space in front 40 00:03:16,360 --> 00:03:20,830 of an audience of members of the iconic journey, as well as a few 41 00:03:20,830 --> 00:03:26,550 of the team at Walker Dunlop. We discussed his trajectory into the 42 00:03:26,550 --> 00:03:31,110 mortgage industry via his challenging upbringing in a divorce household, 43 00:03:31,440 --> 00:03:35,460 starting his career in the savings and loan industry, and then to 44 00:03:35,460 --> 00:03:38,580 investment banking with Drexel Burnham, Morgan Stanley and then 45 00:03:38,580 --> 00:03:44,120 Nomura Securities, where he ended up. Starting the CMS industry after 46 00:03:44,120 --> 00:03:48,800 seeing the devastation of the early 1990s. 47 00:03:49,920 --> 00:03:56,190 With the SNL crisis, as well as, uh, the banking, uh, uh, 48 00:03:56,460 --> 00:04:03,030 dearth of capital. So his career after starting the CMBS 49 00:04:03,030 --> 00:04:07,770 just exploded because the market was just really needing capital, 50 00:04:07,770 --> 00:04:13,140 and he found a way to be a bridge to from the bond market into the 51 00:04:13,140 --> 00:04:15,840 mortgage market with that, with that vehicle. 52 00:04:16,140 --> 00:04:22,890 And so from about 1992 93 until 98, he they were the top firm in the 53 00:04:22,890 --> 00:04:27,150 marketplace doing at Nomura Securities, doing tremendous volume. 54 00:04:27,510 --> 00:04:31,020 He was then let go for political reasons in 1998. 55 00:04:31,020 --> 00:04:36,000 And he talks about it and left the industry. 56 00:04:36,980 --> 00:04:41,780 For several years until why he and he talks a little bit about that. 57 00:04:41,960 --> 00:04:50,960 Meets his second wife and then emerges again in 2008, in with CBRE. 58 00:04:50,960 --> 00:04:56,060 And he talks about how he did that. They funded him for a while and 59 00:04:56,060 --> 00:04:59,750 then he joined it, started his own company shortly thereafter, 60 00:04:59,750 --> 00:05:06,770 about 2 to 3 years later. He has had success with his own 61 00:05:06,770 --> 00:05:10,940 company, kind of opportunistic, investing more and in the debt side, 62 00:05:10,940 --> 00:05:13,940 of course, that's his experience and expertise. 63 00:05:13,940 --> 00:05:20,090 But he decided after a lot of contemplation and going back to his 64 00:05:20,090 --> 00:05:26,090 faith, to start compiling writings which he then built into his current 65 00:05:26,090 --> 00:05:31,010 book called greatness is a choice. And he talks quite a bit about that. 66 00:05:31,010 --> 00:05:34,700 We talk about his philosophies. The book is divided up into 67 00:05:34,700 --> 00:05:40,310 chapters with titles that are very interesting, and I won't go 68 00:05:40,310 --> 00:05:44,180 into them here, but we talk about them in the in the conversation, 69 00:05:45,860 --> 00:05:50,510 we talk a wide variety of subjects, including real estate, finance, 70 00:05:50,510 --> 00:05:55,070 interpersonal relationships with his, his family, his wife and his 71 00:05:55,070 --> 00:05:59,660 children, as well as his parents. Social issues in the in the in the 72 00:06:00,050 --> 00:06:03,620 in the markets today is belief, believe it or not, 73 00:06:03,620 --> 00:06:08,090 in a sixth sense that of who he is. And he talks a bit about that. 74 00:06:08,090 --> 00:06:13,220 And in relation to a herd mentality thought process in his book. 75 00:06:13,640 --> 00:06:18,350 So he's become quite a philosopher and he believes that 76 00:06:18,350 --> 00:06:22,490 we all have greatness in us if we choose to use it. 77 00:06:22,910 --> 00:06:28,340 So please enjoy this wide ranging conversation with Ethan Penner. 78 00:06:28,700 --> 00:06:33,020 So welcome to the icons of DC Area Real Estate podcast in 79 00:06:33,020 --> 00:06:36,020 front of a live audience. Today at Walker and Dunlap, I'm 80 00:06:36,020 --> 00:06:40,910 pleased to introduce Ethan Penner, CEO of Mosaic Real Estate Investors 81 00:06:40,910 --> 00:06:44,480 and author of greatness is a choice, his recently released book. 82 00:06:45,290 --> 00:06:48,380 We will infuse his biography in this conversation. 83 00:06:49,420 --> 00:06:53,560 We met each other over 25 years ago at the Mortgage Bankers 84 00:06:53,560 --> 00:06:58,780 Conference in San Francisco. Thank God we look the same when. 85 00:06:59,050 --> 00:07:02,050 I'll never forget what you were wearing that night. It was. 86 00:07:02,050 --> 00:07:05,530 It was. He had a headdress on. I think that was probably a foot 87 00:07:05,530 --> 00:07:09,670 several feet tall and a coat, which I would call the Technicolor 88 00:07:09,670 --> 00:07:13,900 dreamcoat that you had on that night. It was. It was pink with black lines. 89 00:07:13,900 --> 00:07:18,730 And it was I had just come from a celebration of the Chinese New Year, 90 00:07:18,730 --> 00:07:24,040 and that was my ox colors. Apparently some of the year of the ox 91 00:07:24,220 --> 00:07:29,920 and I just flown in with some friends from Mexico for that party, and it 92 00:07:29,920 --> 00:07:37,270 was quite the party. So he his. His company, Nomura at the time 93 00:07:37,510 --> 00:07:41,950 had Santana and Crosby, Stills and Nash back to back that evening. 94 00:07:41,950 --> 00:07:46,900 For 3000 of us in mortgage banking, it was a very special night, 95 00:07:47,380 --> 00:07:51,490 huge event and only one of many that his company hosted over 96 00:07:51,490 --> 00:07:55,430 over several years. So Ethan, since most of the audience 97 00:07:55,430 --> 00:07:59,540 is younger and may not understand the market cataclysm and reset of the 98 00:07:59,540 --> 00:08:04,370 late 1980s through the mid 1990s, perhaps share your career trajectory. 99 00:08:04,760 --> 00:08:09,560 Start at Drexel through Morgan Stanley to mirror through those times 100 00:08:09,560 --> 00:08:12,470 and how you were fortunate enough to build the franchise you did? 101 00:08:13,340 --> 00:08:17,810 Well, I think the word fortunate is is definitely a very relevant 102 00:08:17,810 --> 00:08:20,660 word to use. And, uh, and you reference, 103 00:08:20,660 --> 00:08:23,960 I think you're, you know, I wrote a book and, um, 104 00:08:23,960 --> 00:08:28,610 there's a chapter dedicated to the concept of timing and good timing, 105 00:08:28,610 --> 00:08:31,880 which is another way of saying good fortune or good luck. 106 00:08:32,180 --> 00:08:38,630 And I think that anyone's success is always a combination of hard work 107 00:08:38,630 --> 00:08:41,720 and a little bit of intelligence, or maybe a lot, depending upon the 108 00:08:41,720 --> 00:08:46,850 person, but but also good timing, good fortune, good luck. 109 00:08:46,910 --> 00:08:51,710 And mine was definitely a combination of those of those things. 110 00:08:51,710 --> 00:08:53,630 Hopefully some intelligence was in there too. 111 00:08:53,630 --> 00:08:56,630 But definitely good timing. Good luck. Good fortune was there. 112 00:08:56,870 --> 00:09:01,850 I, I came out of college and I, I was a very challenging time in 113 00:09:01,850 --> 00:09:05,120 the early 1980s. It was a pretty deep recession. 114 00:09:05,120 --> 00:09:07,760 Interest rates were very, very high. As you remember, 115 00:09:08,090 --> 00:09:12,080 the ten year Treasury was 1565. Okay. So when we think about high 116 00:09:12,080 --> 00:09:16,100 yields like we think of today, oh my God, the ten years at five, 117 00:09:16,310 --> 00:09:20,030 you know, there's 15.65 when I got out of college. 118 00:09:20,030 --> 00:09:26,540 And that tends to squash economic vibrancy pretty pretty soundly. 119 00:09:26,540 --> 00:09:31,760 You know we think about today's fed trying to tame economic 120 00:09:31,760 --> 00:09:36,620 inflation with 5% tenure. You can imagine how tame an 121 00:09:36,620 --> 00:09:41,810 economy could get with 15% tenure. So I got out in that time and I 122 00:09:41,810 --> 00:09:45,860 took the first and probably only job I was offered in finance, 123 00:09:45,860 --> 00:09:48,950 which was in the mortgage business at a savings loan. 124 00:09:49,190 --> 00:09:53,570 I was fortunate enough to kind of work my way quickly onto Wall Street. 125 00:09:53,570 --> 00:09:57,830 The wall Street had just adopted mortgages as a business that 126 00:09:57,830 --> 00:10:00,800 they were interested in, and the trading of mortgages had 127 00:10:00,800 --> 00:10:05,180 just kind of started really around the time I got out of school. 128 00:10:05,180 --> 00:10:10,280 So was it. Was based on MBAs. Right. So what we call our Ms. was just 129 00:10:10,280 --> 00:10:13,910 called Ms.. Right. There was not there was no R or C, 130 00:10:13,910 --> 00:10:18,860 it was just mortgage backed securities was a new thing. Ms.. 131 00:10:18,860 --> 00:10:21,230 Fannie and Freddie were participating. 132 00:10:21,230 --> 00:10:26,390 And I kind of started on Wall Street. Uh, my first job was at Drexel, 133 00:10:26,390 --> 00:10:32,300 as you as you suggest, John, I was trading non agency guaranteed. 134 00:10:32,300 --> 00:10:37,340 So credit risk intensive mortgages. I was the first class of traders 135 00:10:37,340 --> 00:10:41,930 ever on Wall Street to make markets in credit risk instruments. 136 00:10:41,930 --> 00:10:48,860 And then me and people like me started to use structured finance 137 00:10:48,860 --> 00:10:52,580 techniques, which were very basic, just taking a pool of loans and 138 00:10:52,580 --> 00:10:56,900 creating a senior 90% class in a junior or 10% class, 139 00:10:56,900 --> 00:11:02,030 and getting the senior class rated by the rating agencies, 140 00:11:02,030 --> 00:11:06,800 typically Double-A and selling those Double-A bonds to bond buyers. 141 00:11:06,800 --> 00:11:10,760 And I got lured away by Morgan Stanley, who wanted to get into that 142 00:11:10,760 --> 00:11:15,320 business, had not gotten into it yet, and I found myself running, 143 00:11:15,320 --> 00:11:19,880 starting from scratch and running more, really mortgage finance and 144 00:11:19,880 --> 00:11:22,850 mortgage trading for Morgan Stanley, not including Fannie, 145 00:11:22,850 --> 00:11:28,310 Freddie's and Jenny's, uh, at the age of 26, something like that. 146 00:11:28,310 --> 00:11:31,070 And I was the I became the youngest principal in the history of the firm. 147 00:11:31,070 --> 00:11:33,320 And I love my career at Morgan Stanley. 148 00:11:33,320 --> 00:11:38,150 But then, as you point out, there was this incredible dislocation 149 00:11:38,150 --> 00:11:42,890 in commercial real estate. And it seemed obvious to me that 150 00:11:42,890 --> 00:11:48,080 the same securitization, structural structured finance business that 151 00:11:48,080 --> 00:11:51,890 had been applied so successfully by people like me on Wall Street 152 00:11:51,890 --> 00:11:55,670 to single family mortgages, could be applied to commercial real 153 00:11:55,670 --> 00:12:00,080 estate and help solve the liquidity crisis that existed, which was, 154 00:12:00,440 --> 00:12:02,810 I don't think people today, just like people today, can't 155 00:12:02,810 --> 00:12:08,060 imagine a ten year treasury at 15. I think it'd be also equally 156 00:12:08,060 --> 00:12:13,400 impossible to imagine not being able to get a mortgage at all. 157 00:12:13,400 --> 00:12:17,600 Okay, like, I mean, it didn't matter how great your property was, 158 00:12:17,600 --> 00:12:21,860 didn't matter the location, the occupancy, the there were no lenders. 159 00:12:21,860 --> 00:12:27,050 Like when I I'm telling you that in 1990 and you remember this 1990, 160 00:12:27,050 --> 00:12:31,790 1991, if you had a loan on this, let's say, this beautiful office 161 00:12:31,790 --> 00:12:37,250 building that we're sitting in and it was 100% occupied and you had a 50% 162 00:12:37,250 --> 00:12:41,810 loan to value exposure at a ten cap. There were no lenders for you. 163 00:12:41,810 --> 00:12:43,310 Not only. That, the lender, 164 00:12:43,460 --> 00:12:45,590 if you had a loan on. It, no, they didn't want you to 165 00:12:45,590 --> 00:12:48,230 pay it off. No they didn't. They would not roll it at all. 166 00:12:48,230 --> 00:12:51,050 They might give you a six month extension, but they would. 167 00:12:51,350 --> 00:12:55,220 They wanted no part of that loan. And there were no other lenders 168 00:12:55,220 --> 00:12:58,490 to turn to. And so it was a weird moment 169 00:12:58,490 --> 00:13:01,490 where the an industry, perhaps one of the largest 170 00:13:01,490 --> 00:13:06,560 industries in the United States, everyone was facing bankruptcy and 171 00:13:06,560 --> 00:13:14,200 insolvency and. This 30 year old kid. Me kind of had this idea that 172 00:13:14,200 --> 00:13:19,900 securitization could be the solution to this industry's liquidity crisis. 173 00:13:20,410 --> 00:13:24,250 No one else, even though I wasn't the only one who came from this 174 00:13:24,250 --> 00:13:30,010 background, I guess I was the only one imbued with dreamer mentality. 175 00:13:30,010 --> 00:13:34,320 You know, like, I, I think that. When you do something that's 176 00:13:34,320 --> 00:13:37,080 never been done before. So securitization had never been 177 00:13:37,080 --> 00:13:39,090 applied to commercial real estate before. 178 00:13:39,300 --> 00:13:42,540 And when you go to do something that no one's ever done before, 179 00:13:42,540 --> 00:13:45,750 everyone tells you, well, if it could have been done, 180 00:13:45,750 --> 00:13:49,230 wouldn't it have been done already? Like why you and I was like, oh, 181 00:13:49,230 --> 00:13:52,200 well, I don't know. But I'm doing it. Like my answer to that is, 182 00:13:52,200 --> 00:13:54,780 I don't know, but I'm doing it. Everyone's the other. 183 00:13:54,900 --> 00:13:58,800 I think everyone else probably just kind of figured if it was doable, 184 00:13:58,800 --> 00:14:00,990 someone else would have done it, so why bother? 185 00:14:01,470 --> 00:14:05,460 I guess I don't know either. I'm dumber, more stubborn, 186 00:14:05,460 --> 00:14:08,490 more persistent. Maybe I believe in myself. 187 00:14:08,490 --> 00:14:13,080 I don't really know what it was, but I just kind of ran through all 188 00:14:13,080 --> 00:14:17,250 the obstacles of doubt that existed in the rating. Agencies on board. 189 00:14:17,370 --> 00:14:20,100 That was, well, tough. So I'll tell you, you know, 190 00:14:20,490 --> 00:14:23,490 I do a bunch of I do lately because of my book. 191 00:14:23,490 --> 00:14:27,780 I'm doing a lot of speaking podcasts, public speaking, and I enjoy very 192 00:14:27,780 --> 00:14:30,420 much when it's a real estate crowd. And we could talk specifically 193 00:14:30,420 --> 00:14:34,500 about things like that. So how did I get the rating agencies 194 00:14:34,500 --> 00:14:42,840 to overcome what was a like level ten fear of real estate that was 195 00:14:42,840 --> 00:14:47,400 pervasive in the world? Right. And anyone like I left Morgan 196 00:14:47,400 --> 00:14:50,820 Stanley in order to pursue this opportunity. Why? 197 00:14:50,820 --> 00:14:54,960 Because real estate was the third rail of finance, and no one wanted to 198 00:14:54,960 --> 00:15:00,120 touch it because they feared losses, loss of job, loss of money. 199 00:15:00,120 --> 00:15:04,230 And Morgan Stanley was no different. And they said, listen, John Mack, 200 00:15:04,230 --> 00:15:07,590 who ran fixed income at the time, it was my boss and ultimately 201 00:15:07,590 --> 00:15:10,860 ran the firm, said, we don't want any real estate 202 00:15:10,860 --> 00:15:14,520 exposure on our balance sheet at all. So if you want to leave and go do it, 203 00:15:14,520 --> 00:15:16,410 good luck, but you're not doing it here. 204 00:15:16,860 --> 00:15:19,200 And I said, well, I do want to leave, I do want to do it. 205 00:15:19,200 --> 00:15:23,220 So I'm leaving and I left. How did I persuade the rating 206 00:15:23,220 --> 00:15:25,320 agencies? So I'm going to I'm going to 207 00:15:25,320 --> 00:15:28,050 share a conversation with you and your audience. 208 00:15:29,040 --> 00:15:35,280 I sat in the room, um, with the head of one of the rating 209 00:15:35,280 --> 00:15:41,130 agencies who was structured finance, mortgage finance guy and and I. 210 00:15:42,020 --> 00:15:46,700 It just started to explain to him the logic that at some attachment point. 211 00:15:47,670 --> 00:15:52,290 There is great safety in the loan. And he said, okay, 212 00:15:52,290 --> 00:15:56,790 I agree with that. Philosophically. He said, but this gives you an idea 213 00:15:56,790 --> 00:16:00,870 of how bad things, where it goes. But if there's any office exposure, 214 00:16:00,960 --> 00:16:03,840 we're not rating it. There's no investment grade, 215 00:16:03,840 --> 00:16:08,910 none for office none. So we happen to be sitting in 216 00:16:08,910 --> 00:16:11,850 two World Financial Center, where Nomura was headquartered. 217 00:16:12,060 --> 00:16:16,710 And I said to him, Ron. We're sitting in this building 218 00:16:16,710 --> 00:16:21,090 and even now in a very depressed valuation moment. 219 00:16:21,300 --> 00:16:24,000 What do you think this building's worth? Just pick a number. 220 00:16:24,000 --> 00:16:27,180 And I don't remember what he picked, but maybe it was 400 million. 221 00:16:27,180 --> 00:16:29,760 It was a big number because a beautiful, big building, 222 00:16:30,000 --> 00:16:35,890 let's say 400 million, I said fine. If I had a $1 million first 223 00:16:35,890 --> 00:16:39,520 mortgage on this building, would it be rated investment grade? 224 00:16:39,550 --> 00:16:42,820 It goes. Yeah, be rated Triple-A. I said, well, there you go. 225 00:16:42,850 --> 00:16:49,390 So so now we know that you will in fact rate office investment grade. 226 00:16:49,390 --> 00:16:50,950 And it's just a question of the attachment. 227 00:16:50,950 --> 00:16:52,930 But he goes, yeah I guess you're right. How much risk. 228 00:16:52,960 --> 00:16:55,780 Yeah, I said, so it's not a million. It's going to be a bigger number 229 00:16:55,780 --> 00:16:59,140 than a million. And it and it just kind of went 230 00:16:59,140 --> 00:17:03,160 from there. But it was really, um, for me to 231 00:17:03,160 --> 00:17:08,470 start that movement, that industry, that way of financing real estate, 232 00:17:08,710 --> 00:17:12,610 it involved a lot of salesmanship and communication 233 00:17:12,610 --> 00:17:16,420 and a tireless amount. Right. And a lot of skepticism, 234 00:17:16,420 --> 00:17:20,170 a lot of resistance. I convinced insurance companies 235 00:17:20,620 --> 00:17:26,080 the same people who were insurance company kind of lenders, that viewed 236 00:17:26,080 --> 00:17:30,040 this as a threat to their jobs. I had to somehow overcome that 237 00:17:30,310 --> 00:17:32,530 to make them somebody had to make them buyers, right? 238 00:17:32,530 --> 00:17:36,310 I had to make them buyers. And the and the and the other bond 239 00:17:36,310 --> 00:17:39,850 buyers who were reading, who had never bought real estate risk, 240 00:17:39,850 --> 00:17:43,180 didn't understand real estate risk, and knew that people were 241 00:17:43,180 --> 00:17:45,880 literally dying on the vine with real estate risk. 242 00:17:45,880 --> 00:17:48,220 I had to persuade them to consider. So there was a lot of 243 00:17:48,220 --> 00:17:51,490 salesmanship involved, a lot of a lot of energy expended. 244 00:17:51,490 --> 00:17:55,660 And when people would meet me because I was in my early 30s at the time, 245 00:17:55,660 --> 00:17:59,770 they would frequently express shock, like how young I was. 246 00:17:59,770 --> 00:18:02,140 And I would tell them, listen, yeah, I'm young, 247 00:18:02,140 --> 00:18:05,140 but if I wasn't this young, I didn't have this youthful energy. 248 00:18:05,140 --> 00:18:08,920 I don't know that I could do this, you know, because it was a massive 249 00:18:08,920 --> 00:18:13,240 a massive amount of energy and tireless salesmanship involved. 250 00:18:13,240 --> 00:18:16,540 How did you know you I mean. Obviously that conversation was 251 00:18:16,540 --> 00:18:20,530 interesting, but you just had this vision that it could happen, that 252 00:18:20,530 --> 00:18:24,340 this this industry could come, come. About. Yeah. It seemed obvious to me. 253 00:18:24,340 --> 00:18:29,080 I knew that I understood the way bond buyers think, which is a 254 00:18:29,080 --> 00:18:32,410 relative value based thinking. And that's how I sold it. 255 00:18:32,410 --> 00:18:38,350 I would say, okay, listen, if a single a corporate bond is trading at 256 00:18:38,350 --> 00:18:44,110 whatever 100 over treasuries, I know there's some level that a single a 257 00:18:44,830 --> 00:18:48,550 real estate backbone will trade. Maybe it's not 100, maybe it's 200, 258 00:18:48,550 --> 00:18:52,900 maybe it's 300. Tell me the number. You know, and it really the good 259 00:18:52,900 --> 00:18:56,980 news was that the real estate borrower had no other options. 260 00:18:56,980 --> 00:19:01,090 So whatever rate I had, I had to charge them in order to 261 00:19:01,090 --> 00:19:04,450 placate the bond buyer. They were hugging and kissing me 262 00:19:04,450 --> 00:19:07,780 because the alternative was to lose the property. So it didn't matter. 263 00:19:07,780 --> 00:19:10,750 They were rate insensitive in that particular moment. 264 00:19:10,900 --> 00:19:15,070 So that was the best time to make money in that industry once 265 00:19:15,070 --> 00:19:18,280 you got up and running. Yes. And I'll tell you something though, 266 00:19:18,790 --> 00:19:26,260 it taught me so much being there doing that and, and and doing it 267 00:19:26,260 --> 00:19:32,350 in an aware state. So. As you suggest, it was the best time 268 00:19:32,350 --> 00:19:36,460 because there was no competition. I could charge the borrower anything 269 00:19:36,460 --> 00:19:40,900 I wanted and they would be happy. I could tell them whatever the 270 00:19:40,900 --> 00:19:43,690 loan to value attachment point, and they would be happy. 271 00:19:43,870 --> 00:19:49,840 And the bond buyers were getting essentially bribed to take the bonds 272 00:19:49,840 --> 00:19:54,340 and getting overpaid for the risk. And they were happy and we were 273 00:19:54,340 --> 00:19:57,220 making literally millions. Junk bonds probably didn't. 274 00:19:57,220 --> 00:20:01,090 Trade me right or no, no, no, we were making fortunes in this 275 00:20:01,090 --> 00:20:07,360 process, fortunes and making very safe loans at exorbitant rates. 276 00:20:07,360 --> 00:20:14,260 And what was interesting was, is that first year or two, everyone 277 00:20:14,590 --> 00:20:19,090 saw what we were doing and thought that we were going to blow up. 278 00:20:19,090 --> 00:20:21,910 And I never in my life took less risk. 279 00:20:21,910 --> 00:20:26,260 Not before and not since, like for me. But it reinforced me. 280 00:20:26,260 --> 00:20:30,580 This herd like thinking. And I write about that in my book 281 00:20:30,580 --> 00:20:36,490 that, you know, to be great. And I felt that we were great. 282 00:20:36,490 --> 00:20:39,640 We were great at what we did, and we brought great value to 283 00:20:39,640 --> 00:20:42,220 the world of real estate and to the bond buying world. 284 00:20:42,220 --> 00:20:46,960 We brought you incredibly unique value that lasts to this day, 285 00:20:46,960 --> 00:20:52,630 25 or 30 years later. And I think to be great, you must be 286 00:20:52,630 --> 00:20:56,170 willing to operate outside of the herd. And that's very hard to do. 287 00:20:56,830 --> 00:20:59,710 But we did it and I'm very proud of what we accomplished. 288 00:20:59,890 --> 00:21:02,560 So at the same time I was a mortgage banker. Mhm. 289 00:21:03,070 --> 00:21:07,960 Uh, and I was told that I had to go on straight commission in in 1990 or. 290 00:21:08,380 --> 00:21:11,620 Yeah. And I was completely out and then 291 00:21:11,620 --> 00:21:15,250 the 92, we came back and I was bought by like Mason I would have 292 00:21:15,250 --> 00:21:19,990 worked for them and we I mean the industry was slow to come back. 293 00:21:20,020 --> 00:21:24,460 The first CMS loan I did the spread was 360 I think over, 294 00:21:24,460 --> 00:21:28,270 over the tenure. Yeah. And it was like life companies 295 00:21:28,270 --> 00:21:32,170 were once they were back in were in the tubes at that time. Right. 296 00:21:32,170 --> 00:21:35,200 It's like well but look at the, the property type. 297 00:21:35,200 --> 00:21:37,540 I mean look at where it is. What else is going to trade. 298 00:21:37,540 --> 00:21:38,980 How is it. It's not going to be a life 299 00:21:38,980 --> 00:21:41,500 company deal. Right. And so it was interesting. 300 00:21:41,500 --> 00:21:44,800 But you guys had it was like a in the mortgage banking business. 301 00:21:44,800 --> 00:21:48,910 It was like a tidal wave that came on that we never expected. 302 00:21:48,910 --> 00:21:53,440 It was like it was like from nothing to this massive amount of capital 303 00:21:53,440 --> 00:21:56,500 that just came suddenly out of, out of, from Wall Street into the market. 304 00:21:56,500 --> 00:22:02,620 Well, it really we we built a bridge so that the bond market can 305 00:22:02,620 --> 00:22:06,160 bring their money over the bridge and express it into real estate. 306 00:22:06,160 --> 00:22:08,770 And real estate has never been the same since. 307 00:22:08,770 --> 00:22:12,070 And I think that incredible look, if there's let's say there's X 308 00:22:12,070 --> 00:22:16,120 dollars of money chasing something, it doesn't matter what it is. 309 00:22:16,120 --> 00:22:19,810 It could be bidding for your blazer X dollars of money. 310 00:22:19,810 --> 00:22:23,710 Might be interested in your blazer. If through some innovation, 311 00:22:23,710 --> 00:22:29,350 I'm able to bring ten x or even two x money to bid for your blazer, 312 00:22:29,350 --> 00:22:32,890 your blazer just got more valuable. And so people have said to me, 313 00:22:32,890 --> 00:22:35,080 and I guess I hadn't thought about it in that moment, 314 00:22:35,080 --> 00:22:40,450 but no one, probably beside me, has had as big an impact on real 315 00:22:40,450 --> 00:22:45,220 estate values because I brought in this new pool of money that. 316 00:22:46,030 --> 00:22:49,390 Had a huge, huge thing. It stayed and it stayed in real 317 00:22:49,390 --> 00:22:52,090 estate. And so the permanent impact to cap 318 00:22:52,090 --> 00:22:55,390 rates or real estate valuations turn out to be quite profound. 319 00:22:55,420 --> 00:22:57,070 I wasn't thinking about that at the time. 320 00:22:57,070 --> 00:23:01,240 I was thinking about there's a huge problem that needs to be solved, 321 00:23:01,240 --> 00:23:06,190 and I am attracted to that. I'm attracted to, um, voids. 322 00:23:06,190 --> 00:23:10,660 There was a void and I thought, I can I could solve for this void. 323 00:23:11,440 --> 00:23:15,820 Before we go beyond that, I want to go way back now to your origin story. 324 00:23:16,090 --> 00:23:20,470 Okay. So we'll shift your origins. Your book, greatness is a choice 325 00:23:20,470 --> 00:23:23,950 discusses several details about your child in Yonkers, New York. Yeah. 326 00:23:24,520 --> 00:23:27,850 And your family growing up poor, as you referenced. 327 00:23:27,850 --> 00:23:30,760 Talk about a bit about your parents. As you said, 328 00:23:30,760 --> 00:23:34,900 they were not good role models yet. You said you learned quite a bit from 329 00:23:34,900 --> 00:23:42,990 them. Yeah. Well, look, I think that. Parenting perhaps only rivaled 330 00:23:42,990 --> 00:23:46,500 by marriage. Is something that we are 331 00:23:46,500 --> 00:23:51,120 literally blind and trying to figure it out on the fly. 332 00:23:51,120 --> 00:23:55,050 So I really don't condemn my parents for for not necessarily 333 00:23:55,050 --> 00:23:59,490 being the best parents. My my father was particularly 334 00:23:59,490 --> 00:24:03,270 inept at that. Just I don't I don't fault him 335 00:24:03,270 --> 00:24:06,930 for that. What your dad do. My dad was a rabbi. Oh, really? 336 00:24:07,380 --> 00:24:10,290 And he was really good at giving advice, but not. 337 00:24:10,290 --> 00:24:12,990 But was one of those people who were not necessarily good at walking 338 00:24:12,990 --> 00:24:16,770 the walk in his own personal life. And, you know, 339 00:24:16,770 --> 00:24:19,890 everyone's life's complex. My dad's life was certainly complex, 340 00:24:19,890 --> 00:24:25,980 and he came here as a one year old in in 1922 from Poland, 341 00:24:25,980 --> 00:24:30,600 now the Ukraine, with his parents, who didn't speak the language. 342 00:24:30,600 --> 00:24:36,300 And I mean the hardships that I think my answers and I write about this 343 00:24:36,300 --> 00:24:41,010 in the book that my ancestors and everyone has an ancestor hardship 344 00:24:41,010 --> 00:24:43,590 story, you know what I mean? Like, at some point, 345 00:24:43,590 --> 00:24:47,820 even for the people who can trace their ancestors to the Mayflower, 346 00:24:47,820 --> 00:24:51,450 probably coming here on the Mayflower was no easy, no easy journey. 347 00:24:51,450 --> 00:24:54,690 And when they got here, life wasn't easy for them either. 348 00:24:54,690 --> 00:25:01,080 So I think everyone has a hardship ancestry story. And I do too. 349 00:25:01,080 --> 00:25:04,680 And for me, it's not that far removed. Right? 350 00:25:04,680 --> 00:25:08,820 My grandparents had that story. My father and my mother were the 351 00:25:08,820 --> 00:25:14,460 children of, of of of immigrants who came here and really, really, 352 00:25:14,460 --> 00:25:19,200 really struggled. And I compare it. Maybe I'll diverge a little bit 353 00:25:19,200 --> 00:25:24,540 to today's immigrant situation. And I would say there's a very big 354 00:25:24,540 --> 00:25:29,670 difference in their story and perhaps my childhood or maybe your childhood 355 00:25:29,670 --> 00:25:35,430 story, in that my grandparents and my parents too, they didn't come 356 00:25:35,430 --> 00:25:39,720 here thinking that this country owed them a damn thing. Okay. 357 00:25:39,780 --> 00:25:45,030 They came here to leave a place that where they felt they didn't 358 00:25:45,030 --> 00:25:50,280 have a great future for a place where they knew that they could 359 00:25:50,280 --> 00:25:53,790 have a fresh start, and they knew it would be hard. 360 00:25:53,790 --> 00:25:59,970 And I think my grandparents never once imagined that the day 361 00:25:59,970 --> 00:26:04,110 would involve any fun at all. Like the word fun wasn't part of 362 00:26:04,110 --> 00:26:10,050 their vocabulary. They just worked. And they raised their kids and 363 00:26:10,050 --> 00:26:12,750 they made every sacrifice. Their life was all about hard 364 00:26:12,750 --> 00:26:19,350 working sacrifice, and I think their joy was serving their 365 00:26:19,350 --> 00:26:23,490 children and their grandchildren. I know that my grandmothers in 366 00:26:23,490 --> 00:26:26,010 particular, because my grandfather is both died when I was young, 367 00:26:26,010 --> 00:26:31,830 but my grandmother's, um, the joy that they felt in kind of 368 00:26:31,830 --> 00:26:36,240 caring for me and being a grandmother and believe me, they worked. 369 00:26:36,240 --> 00:26:41,310 It wasn't like they were, you know, I wasn't they were there for me, 370 00:26:41,310 --> 00:26:44,160 which was incredible. And I dedicated my book to a 371 00:26:44,160 --> 00:26:47,520 couple people, including one of my grandmothers, because I've never 372 00:26:47,520 --> 00:26:53,220 seen such selfless giving in my life than her and one other woman 373 00:26:53,220 --> 00:26:59,400 that I dedicated the book to. But, um, I was I kind of grew up 374 00:26:59,400 --> 00:27:02,820 in that background, and I say, you know, the word poor. 375 00:27:02,820 --> 00:27:06,990 I did use the word poor, and I used the word poor in an economic sense. 376 00:27:06,990 --> 00:27:09,990 But I don't see I'm not an economic being. 377 00:27:09,990 --> 00:27:13,680 And which sounds strange because I'm a Wall Street guy by background, 378 00:27:13,830 --> 00:27:17,130 but I'm not an economic being. I didn't write a Wall Street book, 379 00:27:17,130 --> 00:27:19,350 and I didn't write a finance book. I read a book. 380 00:27:19,350 --> 00:27:23,790 I wrote a book about life and living and the observations I've had as 381 00:27:23,790 --> 00:27:27,780 a person who's lived a pretty interesting walkabout or journey 382 00:27:27,780 --> 00:27:32,400 in life. My parents were poor. My I grew up with my mother because 383 00:27:32,400 --> 00:27:35,760 my parents were divorced when I was eight, and I don't think my 384 00:27:35,760 --> 00:27:41,310 mother had a week of savings. Meaning if she didn't work that week, 385 00:27:41,310 --> 00:27:44,250 you know, we were like one of the majority of 386 00:27:44,250 --> 00:27:49,020 Americans today who had no savings. And today, I mean, 387 00:27:49,260 --> 00:27:54,330 and had the pressure to make the money that week to pay the bills, the 388 00:27:54,330 --> 00:27:59,100 grocery bills, the rent, whatever. And somehow we made it, you know, 389 00:27:59,100 --> 00:28:02,670 and I grew up in a neighborhood filled with people like that. 390 00:28:02,820 --> 00:28:07,950 And I think that I love that I did that. I'm treasure that. 391 00:28:07,950 --> 00:28:10,680 I'm proud of that, although I wasn't at the time. 392 00:28:10,680 --> 00:28:14,670 And I talk about that too, about how, oh, perhaps I wish I 393 00:28:14,670 --> 00:28:19,680 was born in a more affluent place, to a more affluent family and had 394 00:28:19,680 --> 00:28:23,640 that to kind of fall back on. But but in reflection, and even in 395 00:28:23,640 --> 00:28:27,690 the moment, I was proud of my mother, very proud. And I still am. 396 00:28:27,690 --> 00:28:32,970 And when I say she wasn't the perfect mother, I am completely aware of 397 00:28:32,970 --> 00:28:36,810 the hardships that she faced every day just to pay the bills and 398 00:28:36,810 --> 00:28:41,040 survive as a single woman in the. The 1960s and 70s, 399 00:28:41,040 --> 00:28:46,050 where I was tough and with two little kids so and no help. 400 00:28:46,620 --> 00:28:49,260 My father's a different story. He didn't help. 401 00:28:49,260 --> 00:28:53,460 Okay, but but he also had his issues, and I forgive him. 402 00:28:53,580 --> 00:28:57,000 I forgave him long ago for, you know, feelings that I might 403 00:28:57,000 --> 00:29:00,090 have had that were not so powerful. So growing up that way was a 404 00:29:00,090 --> 00:29:02,910 character builder for you? Incredible character builder. 405 00:29:02,910 --> 00:29:08,190 I, I felt the burden of responsibility that I think a 406 00:29:08,190 --> 00:29:12,390 man feels when he has a family. By the time I was nine, 407 00:29:12,570 --> 00:29:16,110 because I was the man of the house, like my father was gone. 408 00:29:16,110 --> 00:29:20,460 My my little brother was a little kid and kind of a delinquent too. 409 00:29:20,460 --> 00:29:24,060 And my, my mother had no one to turn to but me. 410 00:29:24,240 --> 00:29:28,110 And she treated me because she had no one else as an adult like. 411 00:29:28,110 --> 00:29:33,810 And so I was talked to as an adult, as a confidante, as a person to rely 412 00:29:33,810 --> 00:29:37,770 upon, not as a nine year old kid from the time I was nine years old. 413 00:29:38,070 --> 00:29:39,600 Well, we'll get. Into this a little later, 414 00:29:39,600 --> 00:29:42,570 but it sounds like your father, because he was a rabbi, 415 00:29:42,750 --> 00:29:46,500 had some influence on you based on some of the things you said in 416 00:29:46,500 --> 00:29:50,190 your book, although you said you came back to religion later on. 417 00:29:50,190 --> 00:29:52,260 So I want to get into that a little bit later. 418 00:29:52,470 --> 00:29:58,020 But yeah, I'm I'm blessed to have a great education. 419 00:29:58,470 --> 00:30:02,220 And I don't mean college. Right. I did not have a great college 420 00:30:02,220 --> 00:30:03,900 education. Where did you go to college? 421 00:30:03,930 --> 00:30:07,860 I don't remember, no, I do remember I didn't really go 422 00:30:07,860 --> 00:30:11,520 to much. That's the thing. Okay. I went for the tests. 423 00:30:11,520 --> 00:30:14,820 I went as little as I could because I really wasn't. 424 00:30:14,820 --> 00:30:18,720 I didn't see it as a very of any place to derive value. 425 00:30:18,720 --> 00:30:20,520 And I worked full time during college. 426 00:30:20,550 --> 00:30:24,330 I was a full time student and a full time worker, and I really just 427 00:30:24,330 --> 00:30:27,720 wanted to get out of college with a degree so I can have a better job. 428 00:30:28,260 --> 00:30:32,430 But I had an incredible elementary school education and my, 429 00:30:32,460 --> 00:30:36,450 I would say, the most intellectually stimulated and the most 430 00:30:36,450 --> 00:30:40,710 intellectually challenged I've ever been in my life in any group. 431 00:30:40,710 --> 00:30:43,290 Peer group was seventh and eighth grade. Really? Huh. 432 00:30:43,650 --> 00:30:46,590 They were the smartest people I've ever been in a room with. 433 00:30:47,280 --> 00:30:51,750 We were challenged intellectually, far more than I've ever been 434 00:30:51,750 --> 00:30:56,220 challenged in my life since. And, uh. And that says a lot, right? 435 00:30:56,220 --> 00:30:58,410 It's a public school. No, I went to, uh, 436 00:30:58,410 --> 00:31:02,370 parochial school, otherwise known by Jewish people as a yeshiva. 437 00:31:02,940 --> 00:31:07,950 I spent half the day in learning only in Hebrew, except we 438 00:31:07,950 --> 00:31:12,720 learned the Talmud in Aramaic, which is the language Jesus spoke. 439 00:31:12,930 --> 00:31:17,640 So I was fluent in Hebrew. Pretty good in Aramaic. 440 00:31:17,640 --> 00:31:20,520 And then I spent the other half of the day speaking English and 441 00:31:20,730 --> 00:31:24,210 learning English. You know, normal things that people 442 00:31:24,210 --> 00:31:27,870 spend their whole day in class I in school, I learn in half the day. 443 00:31:27,900 --> 00:31:29,820 I learn all the other stuff, the other half of the day. 444 00:31:29,820 --> 00:31:35,340 And I went to school from till 5 p.m. and by the time I got to ninth grade, 445 00:31:35,340 --> 00:31:37,620 I was like, I'm done with this. This is your father's influence? 446 00:31:37,620 --> 00:31:40,980 No, not really. I mean, yes, maybe, but I think that 447 00:31:40,980 --> 00:31:44,100 my mother was also quite scholarly, and I think they both wanted me 448 00:31:44,100 --> 00:31:49,350 to have. That's all in education. And I think that that was a big 449 00:31:49,350 --> 00:31:54,450 part of Eastern European Jewish immigrants put such a huge, um, 450 00:31:54,450 --> 00:31:58,800 emphasis on education. I think they understood that a 451 00:31:58,800 --> 00:32:03,330 good education is the foundation for a well-lived life, 452 00:32:03,330 --> 00:32:08,610 whether it's making money or not. Sure, education on higher levels 453 00:32:08,610 --> 00:32:11,880 does help income, but I think it just helps you live 454 00:32:11,880 --> 00:32:18,000 your life with clear thinking, right? The Talmudic studies that I had was 455 00:32:18,000 --> 00:32:21,750 like, probably going to law school, you know, and just logical thinking, 456 00:32:21,750 --> 00:32:26,460 like just being being able to understand and think things through 457 00:32:26,460 --> 00:32:31,530 in a logical, clear thinking way. And, you know, my book, I think, 458 00:32:31,530 --> 00:32:36,120 is a reflection of that way of thinking that was solidified in 459 00:32:36,120 --> 00:32:40,470 me in seventh and eighth grade. So when you once your bar mitzvah, 460 00:32:40,470 --> 00:32:43,230 that was that was kind of the graduation for that then, right? 461 00:32:43,230 --> 00:32:45,720 To some extent. That was almost no, actually, 462 00:32:45,720 --> 00:32:52,650 I mean, I. I think that for many. Young Jewish men and women. 463 00:32:52,650 --> 00:32:56,160 The bar by mitzvah is a very important moment. 464 00:32:56,700 --> 00:33:02,400 For me, it was, um, I don't know. It was less. I wish it was more. 465 00:33:02,400 --> 00:33:05,880 I see it for my kids and it's been an amazing experience for them. 466 00:33:06,300 --> 00:33:09,660 I'm sad to say that for me it wasn't. It was more of a um, 467 00:33:10,440 --> 00:33:13,650 and like it was expected of me. Like going to college was expected 468 00:33:13,650 --> 00:33:15,390 of me getting bar mitzvah. It was expected me. 469 00:33:15,390 --> 00:33:18,810 It was just like a almost like, um, an obligation. 470 00:33:19,440 --> 00:33:21,690 And I certainly felt like an obligation. 471 00:33:22,650 --> 00:33:26,280 It was just expected of me. There was nothing celebratory 472 00:33:26,280 --> 00:33:28,650 for me about that, which is a bummer, you know? 473 00:33:28,950 --> 00:33:33,240 And I know, like, I remember when my first born son got bar mitzvah. 474 00:33:34,960 --> 00:33:37,810 I saw him change. Like it literally changed him 475 00:33:37,810 --> 00:33:41,560 from a spoiled brat to a beautiful young man. 476 00:33:41,560 --> 00:33:44,500 Literally in like, that day was incredible. 477 00:33:44,920 --> 00:33:48,220 Maybe it wasn't that impactful. Maybe because I wasn't spoiled 478 00:33:48,220 --> 00:33:52,150 brat going into that mitzva, maybe because of the burden of 479 00:33:52,150 --> 00:33:55,330 responsibility that had been invested in me since I was very young. 480 00:33:55,330 --> 00:33:58,870 So maybe I was a man because that's about becoming a man, and maybe I 481 00:33:58,870 --> 00:34:02,080 just became a man when the divorce happened at a much younger age. 482 00:34:04,210 --> 00:34:07,480 So what was your high school experience or did you did you 483 00:34:07,480 --> 00:34:10,480 have any fun there? I mean, you know, 484 00:34:10,480 --> 00:34:13,570 I liked sports and I played. What did you do sports? Basketball. 485 00:34:13,570 --> 00:34:18,400 Baseball, football I played around I actually, because I had this 486 00:34:18,400 --> 00:34:22,750 incredible intellectual foundation. I went to public high school at 487 00:34:22,750 --> 00:34:25,630 10th and 11th, and then I graduated half a year early, 488 00:34:25,630 --> 00:34:28,900 so I was barely there for 12. I never brought a book home, 489 00:34:28,900 --> 00:34:31,930 not a single book. I would do the homework during the 490 00:34:31,930 --> 00:34:35,620 class while the teacher was teaching. So in one day my mother said, 491 00:34:35,620 --> 00:34:38,710 are you really going to school? Because I've never seen a book 492 00:34:38,710 --> 00:34:40,780 at home and I literally didn't bring a book home. 493 00:34:41,140 --> 00:34:46,180 But I just say it was easy, given what I had been experienced and 494 00:34:46,180 --> 00:34:51,820 challenge with in my younger years. So somehow even all this was in New 495 00:34:51,820 --> 00:34:56,230 York, in the Yonkers, New York. Yeah. And then somehow you went out to 496 00:34:56,230 --> 00:34:58,870 California? Well, my dad. When my parents got divorced, 497 00:34:58,870 --> 00:35:03,160 my dad moved to San Diego. And so, so from the time I was eight 498 00:35:03,160 --> 00:35:07,150 years old, I was visiting my dad in San Diego for a few weeks, a year. 499 00:35:07,150 --> 00:35:09,670 And so I had this California exposure. 500 00:35:10,360 --> 00:35:14,590 And then the song California Dreaming by the Mamas and Papas. Yes. 501 00:35:14,590 --> 00:35:17,770 Well, we were young at the time when that came out, 502 00:35:17,770 --> 00:35:22,150 and I had I knew what I knew what California was because of my dad. 503 00:35:22,300 --> 00:35:27,610 And I too would be sitting there in the winters of New York wistfully, 504 00:35:27,610 --> 00:35:31,810 with tears coming down my eyes when I heard California. Why am I here? 505 00:35:32,170 --> 00:35:36,640 Why am I not there? Right? Right. So I always liked California and I 506 00:35:36,640 --> 00:35:40,870 understood the appeal of California. And people hear me talk and they say, 507 00:35:40,870 --> 00:35:42,310 well, you don't have a New York accent. 508 00:35:42,310 --> 00:35:46,930 And I think by the time I was about nine years old, I realized there is a 509 00:35:46,930 --> 00:35:50,530 New York accent, and then there's a non New York accent in California. 510 00:35:50,530 --> 00:35:53,800 And I just, I just decided I don't need the New York accent. 511 00:35:53,800 --> 00:35:56,980 I'll go with the California neutral accent. 512 00:35:57,340 --> 00:35:59,740 So you started your career in Huntington Beach, California? 513 00:35:59,860 --> 00:36:03,760 I did, I did, I started a savings and loan. 514 00:36:04,570 --> 00:36:06,550 There was the bottom of the bottom of the bottom of the 515 00:36:06,550 --> 00:36:10,870 barrel of finance. Sure. And my pay was accordingly low 516 00:36:11,440 --> 00:36:14,680 and I just grinded. Why not? Loan officer? To start with. 517 00:36:14,680 --> 00:36:21,400 I was a loan officer trainee. Okay. And I learned a million great things. 518 00:36:22,200 --> 00:36:26,610 That I wasn't aware I was learning in the moment because I was, 519 00:36:26,610 --> 00:36:31,470 you know, too young and perhaps stupid to actually appreciate what 520 00:36:31,470 --> 00:36:36,860 I was learning, but by osmosis. I got, I got a, I got a much better 521 00:36:36,860 --> 00:36:42,020 MBA than anyone who went to Harvard. And in that year, it was one year. 522 00:36:42,620 --> 00:36:45,290 That foundation serves me to this day. 523 00:36:45,590 --> 00:36:49,580 I learned about corporate interactions. 524 00:36:49,880 --> 00:36:54,050 I learned about pettiness and corporate politics and jealousy 525 00:36:54,050 --> 00:36:56,420 and how it plays out in the corporate world. 526 00:36:57,070 --> 00:37:01,930 I learned about how regulated lenders. 527 00:37:03,120 --> 00:37:07,680 Or impacted by regulation, and how that dance between 528 00:37:07,680 --> 00:37:14,100 regulators and regulators occurs, and how impactful that is to the 529 00:37:14,100 --> 00:37:18,690 industry that they're serving. I learned about what makes a good 530 00:37:18,690 --> 00:37:21,780 loan and what makes a bad loan. You know, I, I learned things 531 00:37:21,780 --> 00:37:28,030 that were invaluable. And again serve me to this very day 532 00:37:28,030 --> 00:37:33,700 and I feel like I was so blessed. Then I learned also that if you 533 00:37:33,700 --> 00:37:39,270 really want to be great at something. You need to know how to do every 534 00:37:39,270 --> 00:37:43,530 function of that something from the most low level to the high. 535 00:37:43,980 --> 00:37:46,170 Uh, it reminds me of a friend of mine. 536 00:37:46,170 --> 00:37:49,500 There's a guy I think everybody here has heard of the company 537 00:37:49,500 --> 00:37:53,850 Montage Hotels. And they have a Pendry in Baltimore. 538 00:37:53,880 --> 00:37:57,900 That's beautiful. And the founder of montage is a 539 00:37:57,900 --> 00:38:01,980 guy named Alan Forstmann, who has become a very good friend of mine. 540 00:38:01,980 --> 00:38:08,100 I adore Alan, and Alan is a giant in the hotel industry. 541 00:38:08,100 --> 00:38:13,350 And if you go to any montage or Pendry, you feel Alan. 542 00:38:13,350 --> 00:38:20,560 Alan is such a great CEO that. You feel his care. He's. 543 00:38:20,560 --> 00:38:23,650 He cares for people. And you feel cared for when you 544 00:38:23,650 --> 00:38:26,170 go to any of his hotels. It has his personal imprint. 545 00:38:27,190 --> 00:38:32,050 Allen started out as a doorman, the front doorman at a hotel. 546 00:38:32,050 --> 00:38:35,410 That was his first job in the hotel industry, and he's worked his way 547 00:38:35,410 --> 00:38:40,450 up from the guy at the front door to being the founder and CEO of a 548 00:38:40,450 --> 00:38:43,780 major international hotel company, luxury hotel company. 549 00:38:44,620 --> 00:38:50,020 I think that I think that's been lost, perhaps more so than I've 550 00:38:50,020 --> 00:38:53,320 ever seen it. With the advent of technology, right. 551 00:38:53,350 --> 00:38:58,870 Technology has created billionaires, right? 552 00:38:58,870 --> 00:39:02,920 And billionaires and center billionaires. 553 00:39:03,730 --> 00:39:09,640 From young men and women who earned their 20s and didn't pay their dues. 554 00:39:09,640 --> 00:39:12,610 And so, like, you know, when we were growing up, we were 555 00:39:12,610 --> 00:39:16,150 taught you got to pay your dues. And Alan paid his dues. 556 00:39:16,540 --> 00:39:19,270 Today, no one wants to pay their dues, 557 00:39:19,270 --> 00:39:23,020 like, because there's there's role models that we didn't have. Right. 558 00:39:23,020 --> 00:39:27,970 There were no 25 year olds, you know. Well, there were no billionaires, 559 00:39:27,970 --> 00:39:31,360 by the way, when we were growing up. But even the wealthiest people, 560 00:39:31,360 --> 00:39:37,120 they were men, mostly men in their 60s and beyond. Yeah. 561 00:39:37,300 --> 00:39:39,880 I'm not an inherited, but the people who made money, 562 00:39:39,880 --> 00:39:42,880 really, they didn't come into it till they were in their 60s, 563 00:39:42,880 --> 00:39:46,150 typically, and they paid a lifetime of dues to get there. 564 00:39:46,150 --> 00:39:50,140 And I think that's what we were informed with when we set out in 565 00:39:50,140 --> 00:39:52,720 our career. And I actually am happy about that. 566 00:39:52,720 --> 00:39:56,980 I'm happy I traversed that journey. And I'm sure you are too, 567 00:39:56,980 --> 00:40:01,990 that your success is the result of a lifetime of kind of grinding and 568 00:40:01,990 --> 00:40:06,610 learning along the way, and I think that's an important thing about that. 569 00:40:06,610 --> 00:40:10,180 I've come to understand about life, and I hopefully I communicated 570 00:40:10,180 --> 00:40:15,130 it well in my book. The purpose of life is not about 571 00:40:15,130 --> 00:40:17,800 winning. And I know so many people who 572 00:40:17,800 --> 00:40:20,920 now are so wealthy. You know, I've, I've because of 573 00:40:20,920 --> 00:40:24,460 my journey, I've met many, many, many mega wealthy people. 574 00:40:24,610 --> 00:40:30,270 And as they get older. And they're facing the end. 575 00:40:30,300 --> 00:40:34,350 They realized that the importance they placed upon wealth 576 00:40:34,350 --> 00:40:39,180 accumulation was misguided. And and it's oftentimes too late. 577 00:40:39,180 --> 00:40:42,810 You know, I tell a story in my book of someone that I won't mention 578 00:40:42,810 --> 00:40:46,320 his name and I didn't in the book because I don't want to hurt anybody. 579 00:40:46,410 --> 00:40:52,320 But he's a man known well in our industry who is a friend and who 580 00:40:52,320 --> 00:40:56,730 is one such man. He's mega wealthy and I know him now, 581 00:40:56,730 --> 00:41:01,350 and he's quite older, and he's very sad about how he chose 582 00:41:01,350 --> 00:41:05,160 to invest his time, his precious time that that is so fleeting. 583 00:41:05,430 --> 00:41:10,530 And he gained massive wealth and massive admiration for his wealth 584 00:41:10,530 --> 00:41:13,800 and power that comes with that, but at the expense of 585 00:41:13,800 --> 00:41:19,770 experiencing love and and other joys that he traded off for that. 586 00:41:21,210 --> 00:41:25,380 So, you know, what is the what is it that we're here for? 587 00:41:25,380 --> 00:41:29,520 Why are we on earth. Right. And I don't think it's for winning, 588 00:41:29,670 --> 00:41:31,890 you know, like it goes so much against you. 589 00:41:31,890 --> 00:41:35,610 Remember when we were young to Vince Lombardi was, you know, 590 00:41:35,610 --> 00:41:39,510 like a role model, even though we were both very young when he was in 591 00:41:39,510 --> 00:41:43,650 his career coaching the Packers, but he was the most famous coach 592 00:41:43,650 --> 00:41:47,910 ever to his time. And he was famous for having said, 593 00:41:47,910 --> 00:41:54,570 winning isn't everything, it's the only thing. And that was his mantra. 594 00:41:54,750 --> 00:41:58,440 And everyone just hears that and repeats it and thinks, oh, 595 00:41:58,440 --> 00:42:01,650 that's great. I've come to think that's so 596 00:42:01,650 --> 00:42:05,910 wrong headed, so wrongheaded, and it sends people down the path 597 00:42:05,910 --> 00:42:11,310 of my friend who in his 80s, chased that that whole idea of 598 00:42:11,310 --> 00:42:15,510 Vince Lombardi won and ended up with nothing, lost in love. 599 00:42:15,540 --> 00:42:17,700 On the definition of winning. Well, there you go. 600 00:42:17,700 --> 00:42:21,210 But I think we tend to think of winning as the competition. 601 00:42:21,210 --> 00:42:24,270 Whatever the competition is, whether it's the work competition 602 00:42:24,390 --> 00:42:28,380 for money accumulation or the football competition for winning 603 00:42:28,380 --> 00:42:33,960 the Super Bowl, I think that the winner in life has experienced a 604 00:42:33,960 --> 00:42:37,560 lot of learning and growth along the way in his or her journey, 605 00:42:37,650 --> 00:42:41,790 and I think it's all about that. I think it's all about we all have 606 00:42:41,790 --> 00:42:48,210 our our journey and it's unique to us, and we're here to learn and grow. 607 00:42:48,210 --> 00:42:51,690 And I think that when we see it that way, everyone is a winner. 608 00:42:51,690 --> 00:42:53,070 It's the name. Of my community, 609 00:42:53,070 --> 00:42:58,020 the iconic journey. Ciara. So it's a wise choice of words 610 00:42:58,290 --> 00:43:04,080 from a wise man. So since we discussed your career 611 00:43:04,080 --> 00:43:08,640 from, uh, from there through your pinnacle at Nomura Racing, 612 00:43:08,640 --> 00:43:12,810 what happened when the long term capital management collapse and the 613 00:43:12,810 --> 00:43:17,730 Russian debt crisis hit in 1998? Talk about that dramatic impact on 614 00:43:17,730 --> 00:43:22,020 your business and why you left Nomura and how you weathered through that. 615 00:43:22,620 --> 00:43:27,330 Well, they're not exactly related, although they were. 616 00:43:27,960 --> 00:43:33,360 They it was really the long term capital management collapse. 617 00:43:33,900 --> 00:43:38,640 And the collapse of my business at Nomura were both attributable to the 618 00:43:38,640 --> 00:43:43,980 same Russian bond default. Right. So nobody imagined that a 619 00:43:43,980 --> 00:43:47,760 country would not would default other than Argentina, 620 00:43:47,760 --> 00:43:51,030 which everyone knows defaults on their bonds regularly. Right? 621 00:43:51,030 --> 00:43:54,960 No one imagined that Russia would default on its bonds obligation. 622 00:43:54,960 --> 00:43:59,250 Meaning tell everyone that had loaned the money. Tough nuggies. 623 00:43:59,250 --> 00:44:02,370 We're not paying you back. Okay? Just in layman's terms, 624 00:44:02,370 --> 00:44:08,610 what a bond default is, I guess. And that sent the global financial 625 00:44:08,610 --> 00:44:15,480 markets into a state of panic. And people all wanted to because 626 00:44:15,480 --> 00:44:20,340 people act in herd like ways we know. And it plays out in financial 627 00:44:20,340 --> 00:44:25,800 markets all the time. So everyone reacted to the Russian, 628 00:44:25,830 --> 00:44:28,860 the Russian announcement that they were not going to repay 629 00:44:28,860 --> 00:44:34,050 their bond obligations. Everyone reacted as though the world, 630 00:44:34,050 --> 00:44:37,890 that nobody would pay their bond obligations, nobody. 631 00:44:37,890 --> 00:44:42,480 So they started the only. The only bond that they felt 632 00:44:42,480 --> 00:44:47,730 safe to own was U.S. treasuries. And so they all sold everything 633 00:44:47,730 --> 00:44:51,750 except US treasuries. And then they sold whatever bonds 634 00:44:51,750 --> 00:44:56,790 they had and bought US treasuries. And so the spread in yield yields 635 00:44:56,790 --> 00:45:00,660 on US treasuries collapsed because everyone wanted to buy them. 636 00:45:00,660 --> 00:45:04,230 So their price went up and their yield went down and yields on 637 00:45:04,230 --> 00:45:08,040 everything else went sky high and their prices collapsed. 638 00:45:09,030 --> 00:45:14,490 Well, everyone on Wall Street that traded credit, whether it 639 00:45:14,490 --> 00:45:17,820 was mortgage backed securities, commercial mortgage backed 640 00:45:17,820 --> 00:45:23,460 securities, corporate bonds, anything at the time, they were 641 00:45:23,460 --> 00:45:28,370 hedged by shorting treasuries. So if. You had if you worked on Wall 642 00:45:28,370 --> 00:45:34,100 Street and you ran a credit business as we did. Yeah. 643 00:45:34,370 --> 00:45:38,780 You were long mortgages and short treasuries. 644 00:45:39,110 --> 00:45:41,810 That was the wrong position for that day. Okay. 645 00:45:41,960 --> 00:45:46,670 And so your mark to market losses were growing and growing larger 646 00:45:46,670 --> 00:45:52,160 by the day as that herd chased the opposite of that position. 647 00:45:52,160 --> 00:45:58,730 Right. I was already gone. So so I had already left Nomura 648 00:45:58,730 --> 00:46:03,140 when this happened. Although I had agreed it was all 649 00:46:03,140 --> 00:46:06,170 secret, I had agreed to stay on because we 650 00:46:06,170 --> 00:46:09,770 had our big soiree that September. The Russian bond default 651 00:46:09,770 --> 00:46:15,320 happened in July of 1998. I had already left about a week or 652 00:46:15,320 --> 00:46:19,370 two before. Had you seen the winds? Know nobody knew. Nobody knew. 653 00:46:19,370 --> 00:46:23,480 But I knew that we were in a vulnerable spot if something 654 00:46:23,480 --> 00:46:26,600 like that were to happen. But I didn't have a chance to 655 00:46:26,600 --> 00:46:29,030 address that risk. I had some ideas, actually, 656 00:46:29,030 --> 00:46:32,810 but I left, and I'll tell you the circumstances under which I left. 657 00:46:32,810 --> 00:46:37,490 They were not pleasant. But I agree to stay on, and I agree 658 00:46:37,490 --> 00:46:41,240 to stay on the board of directors. And I and I continue to own a 659 00:46:41,240 --> 00:46:46,010 significant stake in the company. So its collapse was very painful for 660 00:46:46,010 --> 00:46:49,910 me because I owned a significant stake even after me leaving. 661 00:46:49,910 --> 00:46:51,890 That turned out to be worth very little. 662 00:46:51,890 --> 00:46:53,960 Now, the reason it turned out to be very little. 663 00:46:54,810 --> 00:47:01,120 No other firm on Wall Street. Um took any losses with the exception 664 00:47:01,120 --> 00:47:07,060 of long term credit and no more. And the reason was because everybody 665 00:47:07,060 --> 00:47:11,260 else who had the same book, long mortgages or corporates and 666 00:47:11,260 --> 00:47:14,950 short treasuries, they just stayed the course. 667 00:47:14,950 --> 00:47:19,150 They didn't sell anything. And they knew that in time the 668 00:47:19,150 --> 00:47:22,300 panic would reverse itself, as all panics do. 669 00:47:22,540 --> 00:47:26,350 And by the first quarter of the next year, by roughly December, 670 00:47:26,350 --> 00:47:31,810 January, February of 98 and 99, the whole trade reverse itself. 671 00:47:31,810 --> 00:47:35,680 And so spreads went back to normal. And if you didn't sell anything, 672 00:47:36,160 --> 00:47:39,730 you were fine, you didn't lock in any losses, and your paper 673 00:47:39,730 --> 00:47:48,850 losses ultimately were reversed. Nomura. Sold and. That was dumb. 674 00:47:48,850 --> 00:47:52,420 Long term capital was forced to sell because they were overleveraged. 675 00:47:52,420 --> 00:47:55,090 They were. 99%. They were forced to sell. Right. 676 00:47:55,510 --> 00:48:03,730 But but the other firms first Boston Salomon, Lehman that as big or bigger 677 00:48:03,730 --> 00:48:07,570 losses on a more to market basis that Nomura did they just didn't sell. 678 00:48:07,600 --> 00:48:11,810 Now why did no more sell? No more salt because I was gone 679 00:48:11,930 --> 00:48:14,210 and they didn't have faith in anybody there. 680 00:48:14,570 --> 00:48:18,650 And so they didn't understand the business and they didn't 681 00:48:18,650 --> 00:48:21,680 understand the impermanence of that mark to market loss. 682 00:48:21,680 --> 00:48:26,750 And they panicked, as we have seen in the financial markets, 683 00:48:26,750 --> 00:48:31,160 foreign investors like Japanese do when they don't really understand 684 00:48:31,160 --> 00:48:36,160 what's going on and they panic. Many people I know made a fortune 685 00:48:36,160 --> 00:48:38,950 buying from the Japanese. Do you think you could have 686 00:48:38,950 --> 00:48:41,020 convinced them? They would never have sold if I 687 00:48:41,020 --> 00:48:48,100 was there now, why wasn't I there? So that. So that's the other I. I. 688 00:48:51,040 --> 00:48:55,860 I had a guy that hired me at Nomura. I left Morgan Stanley as I told 689 00:48:55,860 --> 00:49:00,220 you to start. Uh, pursuing this commercial 690 00:49:00,220 --> 00:49:04,240 real estate business, which later became known as CMBS. 691 00:49:04,420 --> 00:49:07,570 I was backed by Cargill, and I had my own little company, 692 00:49:07,930 --> 00:49:12,430 and we did, I don't know, maybe $1 billion worth of business. 693 00:49:12,430 --> 00:49:16,570 It was the first billion dollars of CMBS ever done, wasn't called CMBS. 694 00:49:16,570 --> 00:49:19,750 We didn't name it then. And then someone introduced me 695 00:49:19,750 --> 00:49:23,200 to someone at No More, this particular individual who 696 00:49:23,200 --> 00:49:28,120 had been brought in with Max Chapman to kind of turn Nomura 697 00:49:28,120 --> 00:49:33,850 into a successful US operation, who was obviously very big in Japan, 698 00:49:33,850 --> 00:49:37,750 had been in the US for 70 years with some operation that had 699 00:49:37,750 --> 00:49:40,930 never once made money, they'd never made money in 70 years. 700 00:49:40,930 --> 00:49:44,830 And they brought kind of a Wall Street legendary figure, Max Chapman, 701 00:49:44,830 --> 00:49:49,300 who was CEO of Kidder Peabody, to come run their US business. 702 00:49:49,300 --> 00:49:53,380 And he brought one of his right hand guys to run fixed income. 703 00:49:54,090 --> 00:49:58,650 That guy met me, and he and I got along and he saw 704 00:49:58,650 --> 00:50:04,320 what I was doing, and he gave me the capital to build my business. 705 00:50:04,320 --> 00:50:08,130 So really wasn't no more. It was a brand new business with 706 00:50:08,130 --> 00:50:11,790 a financial backing of Nomura. By virtue of this one individual 707 00:50:11,790 --> 00:50:15,630 who worked for Max. Well, this one individual who 708 00:50:15,630 --> 00:50:19,320 worked for Max when I got there was running fixed income and maybe 709 00:50:19,320 --> 00:50:23,680 making 1 million or 2 a year. But he had a percentage deal 710 00:50:23,680 --> 00:50:26,110 with Nomura, so he had a percentage of profits of 711 00:50:26,110 --> 00:50:31,420 every business that reported him. Well, by virtue of my business 712 00:50:31,420 --> 00:50:34,630 reporting him, he went from making a million a year to about 20 million 713 00:50:34,630 --> 00:50:40,680 a year. So he was very happy. Because I was his golden goose, 714 00:50:40,680 --> 00:50:45,090 right? You know, and he deserved it. He found me. He believed in me. 715 00:50:45,180 --> 00:50:49,560 He kind of paved the way so I didn't have to run into any 716 00:50:49,560 --> 00:50:53,640 internal obstacles. Yeah. To build my business and to run 717 00:50:53,640 --> 00:51:00,850 my business. Well, by 1997, we were too big 718 00:51:00,850 --> 00:51:05,200 for Nomura and we were. We needed to have our own 719 00:51:05,200 --> 00:51:08,320 corporate identity. We needed to have other investors, 720 00:51:08,320 --> 00:51:10,990 other lenders. We were dependent entirely upon 721 00:51:10,990 --> 00:51:15,550 Nomura for our financial backing. And and we had outgrown them. 722 00:51:15,550 --> 00:51:18,160 They were now not doing as well in Japan. 723 00:51:18,160 --> 00:51:23,320 We were growing by leaps and bounds and growing internationally. 724 00:51:23,320 --> 00:51:26,860 And we we deserved a need in our own corporate identity, 725 00:51:27,040 --> 00:51:31,630 and we were in the process of doing a spinoff. It's a longer story. 726 00:51:31,630 --> 00:51:36,040 It's a whole podcast story and maybe a whole MBA class story, 727 00:51:36,190 --> 00:51:39,310 but it's a kind of cuts through the basically the bottom line. 728 00:51:39,310 --> 00:51:45,640 This individual who hired me felt threatened by an unhappy about me 729 00:51:45,640 --> 00:51:49,810 leaving, even though I brought him with me in the spinoff and. 730 00:51:51,760 --> 00:51:56,410 Was envious of the economic division of the new the to be formed new 731 00:51:56,410 --> 00:52:03,490 company, and went to the Japanese and got permission to fire me, even 732 00:52:03,490 --> 00:52:07,570 though we were very good friends, and he got my two right hand guys, 733 00:52:07,570 --> 00:52:11,170 and he needed one of them to agree to stay on and run the company. 734 00:52:11,170 --> 00:52:14,890 If he did fire me. Fellows, I won't name any names, 735 00:52:14,890 --> 00:52:18,670 but one of the two agreed to do that. Okay, one of its you said he 736 00:52:18,670 --> 00:52:22,210 would not do that. Okay. And I don't want to shame anyone 737 00:52:22,210 --> 00:52:24,160 or anything. It's, you know, 738 00:52:24,520 --> 00:52:27,250 I could write one of those books, by the way, which would be really, 739 00:52:27,250 --> 00:52:29,710 really painful for people to read. I'll never do that. 740 00:52:29,860 --> 00:52:36,730 But but faced with that and being a 30 something year old, 741 00:52:37,060 --> 00:52:43,870 cocky, borderline arrogant. God of Wall Street with a lot of 742 00:52:43,870 --> 00:52:47,020 money. I didn't react positively or 743 00:52:47,020 --> 00:52:50,650 calmly to that news. I felt betrayed, I was betrayed. 744 00:52:51,130 --> 00:52:54,670 I never once looked in the mirror and asked myself, 745 00:52:55,090 --> 00:52:57,940 how did I let this happen? And maybe how did I help bring 746 00:52:57,940 --> 00:53:00,670 it about? You know, what did I do to inspire 747 00:53:00,670 --> 00:53:04,240 people to act in this way? I know that now. 748 00:53:04,240 --> 00:53:06,190 I know relationships are give and take. 749 00:53:06,190 --> 00:53:09,430 But in that moment I saw evil and I saw good. 750 00:53:09,430 --> 00:53:12,100 I saw myself as good and them as evil. 751 00:53:12,280 --> 00:53:18,700 And I saw myself as larger than life and someone who didn't need 752 00:53:18,700 --> 00:53:22,360 them or anyone. And I basically just said, screw you, 753 00:53:23,050 --> 00:53:26,320 take the job and shove it, take the company and shove it up your ass. 754 00:53:26,590 --> 00:53:29,950 I'm going to go recreate this without you, and I'm still going 755 00:53:29,950 --> 00:53:32,320 to own part of this, which I had a contract to do. 756 00:53:33,340 --> 00:53:37,810 And I think it's similar to Steve Jobs thinking I created Apple. 757 00:53:38,950 --> 00:53:42,250 Screw you. Remember they fired him. Yeah. I'll go create Apple again. 758 00:53:42,460 --> 00:53:45,550 Well, he didn't do so he tried next. That didn't work so well right. 759 00:53:45,610 --> 00:53:47,920 Work so well didn't work so well. And he ended up going back to 760 00:53:47,920 --> 00:53:50,200 being CEO of Apple. And that worked out quite well. 761 00:53:50,910 --> 00:53:54,510 I had a similar experience. Next. Didn't work out so well for me 762 00:53:54,510 --> 00:53:58,150 either, you know? And, um. And we were both a little bit 763 00:53:58,150 --> 00:54:01,810 too full of ourselves. Perhaps Steve Jobs in me, and not to 764 00:54:01,810 --> 00:54:05,890 compare myself to Steve Jobs, but. But I guess I was that in our 765 00:54:05,890 --> 00:54:10,030 industry at that time. And, you know, you live and learn. 766 00:54:10,030 --> 00:54:12,490 I mean, it's part of, like I say, learning and growing. 767 00:54:12,610 --> 00:54:15,040 I'm a different version of myself, thank God, 768 00:54:15,040 --> 00:54:19,030 than I was when I was in my late 30s. And if I wasn't, 769 00:54:19,030 --> 00:54:23,410 I would have say I wasted the last 25 years of my life learning nothing. 770 00:54:23,890 --> 00:54:26,590 That was a great learning experience. In the moment, 771 00:54:26,590 --> 00:54:30,220 I didn't understand how great of a learning experience was. 772 00:54:30,220 --> 00:54:36,400 I just felt betrayed and hurt and felt like the rug of my life had been 773 00:54:36,400 --> 00:54:41,260 pulled out from under me and lost about what that meant for my future, 774 00:54:41,590 --> 00:54:45,910 and I couldn't retell this story that I'm retelling you in short form 775 00:54:45,910 --> 00:54:49,720 without tears welling up in my eyes because I was filled with self-pity, 776 00:54:50,770 --> 00:54:57,010 and I ended up figuring out, with some help, that I stumbled upon, 777 00:54:57,820 --> 00:55:03,280 how debilitating self-pity and victim mentality thinking is. 778 00:55:03,460 --> 00:55:08,800 And I was able to and coached to rethink that story. 779 00:55:08,800 --> 00:55:14,530 And all stories where one feels victimized and rethink the story 780 00:55:14,530 --> 00:55:18,700 from the perspective of the active player instead of the passive player. 781 00:55:18,700 --> 00:55:22,330 Okay, I got hit by a bus, but why did I walk out into the 782 00:55:22,330 --> 00:55:24,700 street without looking? You know what I mean? Yeah. 783 00:55:24,700 --> 00:55:27,430 I mean, it's that kind of thing. And you can cry, 784 00:55:27,430 --> 00:55:31,780 you get hit by a bus and you go, man. And the bus driver was texting, 785 00:55:31,780 --> 00:55:35,350 you know, well, that's a bad guy. He was texting, driving a bus. 786 00:55:35,350 --> 00:55:38,410 I got hit by it. But but I also walked into the 787 00:55:38,410 --> 00:55:41,740 middle of the street and allowed myself to get hit by the bus. 788 00:55:41,890 --> 00:55:46,960 I wasn't a completely passive player. You never saw any of this coming? No. 789 00:55:46,960 --> 00:55:50,260 I was just like that person who walked into the street and got 790 00:55:50,290 --> 00:55:53,530 hit by a bus. Yeah, by texting bus driver. Yeah. 791 00:55:53,530 --> 00:55:57,580 And it doesn't relieve the burden of responsibility from the texting 792 00:55:57,580 --> 00:56:02,560 bus driver when you think that way. But you start to, as you own your, 793 00:56:02,560 --> 00:56:06,490 your life and you own your bad stories and your painful stories, 794 00:56:07,300 --> 00:56:10,510 you can grow from that. You can't grow if it's always 795 00:56:10,510 --> 00:56:13,900 somebody else's fault, right? And you can't grow past it and 796 00:56:13,900 --> 00:56:19,510 become a productive human being. And I so I thank God that I was able 797 00:56:19,510 --> 00:56:25,870 to grow past that victim thinking, grow past that, and tell that 798 00:56:25,870 --> 00:56:30,160 story in a different way. I really am lucky that I met my my 799 00:56:30,160 --> 00:56:34,840 second wife, and I've been a great foundation for me in my life and 800 00:56:34,840 --> 00:56:41,920 built built a great new family, but also helped me prioritize life 801 00:56:41,920 --> 00:56:45,310 and what means, what what life means and what needs to be prioritized. 802 00:56:45,310 --> 00:56:48,760 And I think it was the greatest blessing that I was knocked off 803 00:56:48,760 --> 00:56:52,420 of my perch, so to speak, because if I wasn't knocked off, 804 00:56:52,420 --> 00:56:55,930 I would never have left. You know, you're intoxicated by 805 00:56:55,930 --> 00:56:59,290 the position that you're in when you're in those kind of positions. 806 00:56:59,290 --> 00:57:04,180 And I'm sure I was too. And I've developed into a person 807 00:57:04,180 --> 00:57:07,450 I'm proud to be. And I think the person that I was and 808 00:57:07,450 --> 00:57:13,300 was heading to become forget about even being proud of I wouldn't have, 809 00:57:13,870 --> 00:57:19,360 I wouldn't have, I wouldn't have enjoyed my own life to the level that 810 00:57:19,360 --> 00:57:23,170 I have been blessed to enjoy it. So did you have to go through 811 00:57:23,200 --> 00:57:27,370 therapy or what? What did you do? No, I mean, not really, actually. 812 00:57:27,370 --> 00:57:30,490 I went I, my sister in law, one of my sisters in law, told me 813 00:57:30,490 --> 00:57:35,560 about a seminar that she went to. It was in LA, oddly enough, 814 00:57:35,560 --> 00:57:38,260 and I had a house or an apartment in LA at the time, 815 00:57:38,260 --> 00:57:42,700 and she didn't know my background, so she wasn't telling me to go 816 00:57:42,700 --> 00:57:45,580 because she thought it would be good for me because of my background. 817 00:57:45,580 --> 00:57:48,520 She just thought it was great she had gone and she said, 818 00:57:48,520 --> 00:57:51,070 you would love this, not knowing my background at all. 819 00:57:51,070 --> 00:57:54,160 And I was like, okay, I'll go because I have one of my 820 00:57:54,160 --> 00:57:59,920 philosophies is always go. If someone asks me to go, I believe 821 00:57:59,920 --> 00:58:03,280 that that's my destiny to go. Like, I don't believe in 822 00:58:03,280 --> 00:58:06,160 coincidences, right? And so if you're invited somewhere, 823 00:58:06,580 --> 00:58:09,310 there's a there's a purposefulness to it, just like there's a 824 00:58:09,310 --> 00:58:13,510 purposefulness to everything. So I almost always go. 825 00:58:13,510 --> 00:58:17,230 And so I follow my own advice and I she said you would love it. 826 00:58:17,230 --> 00:58:21,190 And I said, well, it can't hurt to go. And if it stinks, I'll leave. 827 00:58:21,370 --> 00:58:22,480 I don't have to spend the whole weekend. 828 00:58:22,480 --> 00:58:26,110 It was a weekend thing starting Friday morning. 829 00:58:26,710 --> 00:58:30,340 I figured I can't hurt to go and if I don't like it, I'll leave. 830 00:58:30,700 --> 00:58:36,220 And I, I learned this lesson, this very important lesson about 831 00:58:36,460 --> 00:58:40,000 victim victimhood and victim mentality thinking. 832 00:58:40,000 --> 00:58:43,120 And man, we could just look around the world today. 833 00:58:43,880 --> 00:58:48,950 And blame so much of what is wrong in the world today by collective 834 00:58:48,950 --> 00:58:54,020 victim mentality, thinking that would be reversed immediately if they 835 00:58:54,020 --> 00:58:58,100 were able to understand what I was taught that day in that seminar. 836 00:59:00,830 --> 00:59:06,230 So it liberated me to live my life in a productive way. So that was 1998. 837 00:59:06,590 --> 00:59:09,950 Well, that seminar was 2000. That was it took me two years of 838 00:59:09,950 --> 00:59:14,600 of tears and self-pity before I stumbled upon that seminar. 839 00:59:15,710 --> 00:59:19,250 And then eight years later, you you, uh, joined CB. 840 00:59:19,250 --> 00:59:21,350 So what happened in that interim time? 841 00:59:21,380 --> 00:59:27,350 Well, I, I, I met my second wife. Yep. Um, and. 842 00:59:28,840 --> 00:59:32,380 My whole life changed, you know? She's very powerful woman, and she's 843 00:59:32,590 --> 00:59:35,740 got a lot of amazing qualities. She opened my eyes to a different 844 00:59:35,740 --> 00:59:40,150 way of living life and prioritizing different things family, health, 845 00:59:40,150 --> 00:59:46,600 fun and not work. And at the same time, uh, so I wasn't 846 00:59:46,600 --> 00:59:51,340 really ready to go back to work. I, I mentally, I wasn't ready, 847 00:59:51,340 --> 00:59:54,490 I wasn't in a position. And after being betrayed where I 848 00:59:54,490 --> 00:59:57,610 felt I can trust people. And if you don't trust people, 849 00:59:57,610 --> 01:00:00,220 how do you work? Right. And so I had been betrayed by 850 01:00:00,220 --> 01:00:06,460 people I trusted. And so I needed to reimagine life and 851 01:00:06,460 --> 01:00:09,700 and regain my trust in humanity. And, uh, 852 01:00:09,700 --> 01:00:13,420 I need to get away a little bit. I had led such a big life, 853 01:00:13,420 --> 01:00:18,130 and I had so many people in my life. Like Michael Milken once said to me, 854 01:00:18,130 --> 01:00:20,920 we became friendly in my no more years. 855 01:00:21,160 --> 01:00:24,310 And he said to me, if you are dispensing capital, you'll never 856 01:00:24,310 --> 01:00:26,920 be lonely. And I wasn't lonely. You know, 857 01:00:26,920 --> 01:00:32,470 I had a lot of friends, right? I was dispensing capital and I felt I 858 01:00:32,470 --> 01:00:38,260 needed to get away from everyone, disconnect from everyone and see 859 01:00:38,260 --> 01:00:41,380 who was still my friend. Perhaps years later, you know, 860 01:00:41,380 --> 01:00:45,190 I'll resurface years later. And the best place to kind of do that 861 01:00:45,190 --> 01:00:48,640 is the big island of Hawaii. There. There was literally nobody there. 862 01:00:48,640 --> 01:00:53,110 And it's very far from everywhere. And so we moved to Hawaii. 863 01:00:53,500 --> 01:00:56,020 We spent about three years living on the Big Island. 864 01:00:56,020 --> 01:01:00,970 My wife and myself, we had a young daughter who was one at the time, 865 01:01:01,510 --> 01:01:06,130 and we enjoyed life and it was beautiful three years and allow me to 866 01:01:06,130 --> 01:01:13,620 clear my head. It allowed me to. Rebuild myself in a new way. 867 01:01:13,980 --> 01:01:17,670 And then I kind of got to come back to work and be a producer again, 868 01:01:17,670 --> 01:01:20,010 because that's so much of a part of who I am. 869 01:01:20,010 --> 01:01:22,230 Your Wall Street Journal subscription when you were there? 870 01:01:22,500 --> 01:01:25,140 Well, I pay attention. I definitely pay attention. 871 01:01:25,890 --> 01:01:37,020 Okay, so I came back to the world of work and production, um, in 2000 and, 872 01:01:37,020 --> 01:01:45,040 uh, six. And it was obviously. Bull market like you're crazy. 873 01:01:45,340 --> 01:01:48,280 Market? That made no sense. I hate bull markets, 874 01:01:48,430 --> 01:01:56,290 so there was nothing there for me. Because in a bull market, no one. 875 01:01:56,560 --> 01:02:03,430 No one's paying anyone to be smart. In fact, being smart is an obstacle 876 01:02:03,430 --> 01:02:09,250 to maxing out your return because smart people see risk and less 877 01:02:09,250 --> 01:02:13,750 smart people don't see risk. So their enthusiasm to buy is 878 01:02:13,750 --> 01:02:18,280 not impeded by any fear. And in a bull market, you're rewarded 879 01:02:18,280 --> 01:02:23,770 for buying more, not less. Right. And so so I think bull markets tend 880 01:02:23,770 --> 01:02:27,640 to reward people who are a little less skilled or perhaps less ethical. 881 01:02:27,640 --> 01:02:33,640 Both they just by unimpeded by any concern for risk. That's not me. 882 01:02:33,640 --> 01:02:37,990 I'm I'm not either of those people. I could see something happening 883 01:02:37,990 --> 01:02:40,810 when I was in the real estate. I was working for Ackman's at 884 01:02:40,810 --> 01:02:43,450 the time. I was in New York at the Real Estate 885 01:02:43,450 --> 01:02:46,000 Board of Realtor Real Estate, whatever, the real Estate Board 886 01:02:46,000 --> 01:02:49,540 of New York meeting. And I was sitting there and watching 887 01:02:49,660 --> 01:02:55,570 a guy from he was with either Bear Stearns or KSS First Boston, 888 01:02:55,930 --> 01:02:58,810 and he was drawing this chart of CMS, and he said, let's, 889 01:02:58,810 --> 01:03:03,580 let's now tranche the A piece. So we tranche the A piece. Yeah. 890 01:03:03,580 --> 01:03:06,490 I said, wait a minute. You're trashing the A piece and 891 01:03:06,490 --> 01:03:10,750 you're trying to sell the C position of the A piece as if it's, 892 01:03:10,750 --> 01:03:14,410 I mean, I, I said, wait a minute, there's too much math here. 893 01:03:14,860 --> 01:03:18,550 Well the lemon was was dry and they were trying to squeeze another 894 01:03:18,550 --> 01:03:21,280 drop or two out of the lemon, but it was dry. Yeah. 895 01:03:21,280 --> 01:03:23,710 And they were doing everything they can to find another drop 896 01:03:23,710 --> 01:03:28,060 out of that lemon. Everything. So in the problems obviously 897 01:03:28,060 --> 01:03:32,830 CMBS went awry. Asset values were incredibly 898 01:03:32,830 --> 01:03:38,350 wrong because it fueled by too much debt that was poorly priced, 899 01:03:38,470 --> 01:03:42,730 incorrectly priced. But the root of the problem was in 900 01:03:42,730 --> 01:03:45,220 the single family mortgage market, which I came from. 901 01:03:45,220 --> 01:03:48,190 And I understood as well as I understand the commercial market 902 01:03:48,190 --> 01:03:53,230 and on the single family side, both because of public policy and 903 01:03:53,230 --> 01:03:57,520 also because of Wall Street's desire to squeeze more drops out of a 904 01:03:57,520 --> 01:04:03,480 lemon that the lemon has literally. Hundreds of billions of dollars 905 01:04:03,480 --> 01:04:08,010 of loans were being extended to borrowers who had no ability to 906 01:04:08,010 --> 01:04:12,810 ever repay the loan. None. So how could that end? 907 01:04:13,020 --> 01:04:16,110 And when people say, well, securitization is a problem, 908 01:04:16,110 --> 01:04:19,920 it's like, no, no. If you have a sausage factory and 909 01:04:19,920 --> 01:04:24,930 you put beautiful, healthy meat, grass fed from animals that have 910 01:04:24,930 --> 01:04:30,480 been treated very humanely into the sausage machine, you're going 911 01:04:30,480 --> 01:04:33,840 to have delicious and healthy sausages coming out the other side. 912 01:04:34,530 --> 01:04:36,750 On the other hand, if you put crappy meat. 913 01:04:37,680 --> 01:04:41,910 From poorly treated animals into the sausage factory. 914 01:04:42,330 --> 01:04:46,890 The other side will produce very, very unhealthy sausages. 915 01:04:46,920 --> 01:04:49,800 Securitization is just the the sausage factory. 916 01:04:49,800 --> 01:04:53,310 You put good loans in, you're gonna get good bonds, 917 01:04:53,490 --> 01:04:57,090 you put bad loans in, you're going to get bad bonds. It's pretty simple. 918 01:04:57,090 --> 01:05:03,420 Securitization created that calamity. As much as food creates obesity, 919 01:05:03,420 --> 01:05:06,390 food doesn't create obesity. It's what you do with the food 920 01:05:06,390 --> 01:05:08,730 that creates obesity. And if you're eating good food 921 01:05:08,730 --> 01:05:11,070 and the right amount, you're going to be just fine. 922 01:05:11,580 --> 01:05:16,080 So I hear a lot of times, are you personally, do you feel responsible 923 01:05:16,080 --> 01:05:20,070 for the 2008 and not at all. I didn't make any bad loans. 924 01:05:20,070 --> 01:05:23,580 I didn't create a machine that kind of encouraged people to make bad 925 01:05:23,580 --> 01:05:29,250 loans. The system made bad loans. So you started your enterprise 926 01:05:29,250 --> 01:05:32,940 at CBRE, and that year. I did because I knew the world 927 01:05:32,940 --> 01:05:36,420 was going to fall apart. And I know I am attracted to 928 01:05:36,420 --> 01:05:40,590 those moments. Those are moments where smart, 929 01:05:40,590 --> 01:05:45,480 disciplined people are rewarded, where there is a differentiation. 930 01:05:45,660 --> 01:05:49,440 And I like those moments and I like figuring things out. 931 01:05:49,440 --> 01:05:53,280 I like solving problems. I like all that stuff. 932 01:05:53,280 --> 01:05:59,040 And I knew in 2007 that there would be historic problems coming from 933 01:05:59,040 --> 01:06:03,480 the excesses of 2005 and six. And I was right. 934 01:06:03,540 --> 01:06:07,470 And so I was attracted to come back to work. I did end up at CBRE. 935 01:06:07,470 --> 01:06:10,110 I was friends, and I'm friends with Brett White, 936 01:06:10,110 --> 01:06:15,660 who was the CEO of the firm. Um, Brett and I had no plans for 937 01:06:15,660 --> 01:06:20,530 me to go to work at CBRE, and we just went. Want to go play golf. 938 01:06:20,560 --> 01:06:25,810 The week of Christmas 2007. And he asked me it was me and 939 01:06:25,810 --> 01:06:27,730 him and two other guys, and he called me and he said, 940 01:06:27,730 --> 01:06:31,900 could you come and just have lunch with me before the other guys come? 941 01:06:32,080 --> 01:06:35,800 Because I don't understand what's going on in the world. 942 01:06:35,800 --> 01:06:40,030 And you're my smartest financial friend, and I would like for you 943 01:06:40,030 --> 01:06:42,190 to explain it to me. And so I met him for lunch. 944 01:06:42,910 --> 01:06:44,980 I explained to him what I thought was going on. 945 01:06:44,980 --> 01:06:49,540 I explained to him how there would be losers, 946 01:06:49,540 --> 01:06:55,060 and how CBRE could respond in a way that might be capitalized on that. 947 01:06:55,390 --> 01:06:59,050 And he asked me if I would ever consider coming to work at CBRE. 948 01:06:59,170 --> 01:07:03,790 And I told him, no, there's 35,000 people. Public company. 949 01:07:03,790 --> 01:07:06,820 That's not really appealing to me. I'm an entrepreneurial guy. 950 01:07:06,940 --> 01:07:10,120 And he said, I said to him, but I guess you're the CEO. 951 01:07:10,120 --> 01:07:14,110 So if you could create an entrepreneurial island for me with an 952 01:07:14,140 --> 01:07:18,880 entrepreneurial deal that allowed me to own part of my business, 953 01:07:18,880 --> 01:07:24,100 I suppose I could use this platform in extremely productive ways. 954 01:07:24,100 --> 01:07:29,020 And so he said, okay, let's do that. And then I did ultimately join CBRE. 955 01:07:29,290 --> 01:07:32,350 Had a wonderful time there. I mean. CBRE is brokers, right? 956 01:07:32,470 --> 01:07:35,800 Brokers are independent people. Degree is an amazing company. 957 01:07:35,800 --> 01:07:40,990 It is, as you know, amazing, amazing company. I loved my time there. 958 01:07:41,380 --> 01:07:44,560 I thought the people were first class through and through. 959 01:07:45,510 --> 01:07:49,590 I was so impressed with the company and I still to this day am deeply 960 01:07:49,590 --> 01:07:53,490 impressed with the company. Um. So you were there for how long? 961 01:07:53,790 --> 01:07:57,090 How long was it. Was there for? 4 or 5 years. 962 01:07:57,120 --> 01:08:01,470 There was a management change. As you know, Brett left. 963 01:08:02,160 --> 01:08:05,130 Brett was my rabbi. Brett had created that 964 01:08:05,130 --> 01:08:08,640 entrepreneurial island for me. And even though I had a legal 965 01:08:08,640 --> 01:08:14,160 documentation for my deal with CBRE, let's just say the successor 966 01:08:14,160 --> 01:08:18,360 management team wasn't happy with that because I was an outlier. 967 01:08:18,360 --> 01:08:21,270 Like, I was the only person in the history of CBRE who owned 968 01:08:21,270 --> 01:08:24,060 part of their business. They didn't like that exception 969 01:08:24,060 --> 01:08:26,960 to the rule. They made me an offer that I 970 01:08:26,960 --> 01:08:32,420 could only refuse, and I did. Okay, so that's ultimately what 971 01:08:32,420 --> 01:08:36,840 left me to leave. And, uh. You know, again, 972 01:08:36,840 --> 01:08:39,660 I don't necessarily blame them. I mean, I think that when you're 973 01:08:39,660 --> 01:08:43,530 running a big company, it's hard to have exceptions to rules. 974 01:08:43,530 --> 01:08:46,140 And I guess that public company, it's I get it. 975 01:08:46,140 --> 01:08:50,280 I don't have any bad feelings. I Bob, who wasn't necessarily 976 01:08:50,280 --> 01:08:53,250 directly involved, is a CEO and we're very good friends. 977 01:08:53,250 --> 01:08:55,770 I have lunch with him a couple times a year. 978 01:08:55,770 --> 01:08:59,700 I really care for him as a person. He's been in my house. 979 01:08:59,700 --> 01:09:01,800 I have nothing against anyone, I think. 980 01:09:01,800 --> 01:09:06,300 I think he made people made decisions with regards to me that 981 01:09:06,300 --> 01:09:09,180 they felt they had to make for the betterment of the company, 982 01:09:09,180 --> 01:09:12,660 and, you know, that was their job to make those decisions. 983 01:09:12,660 --> 01:09:14,940 Are you making contrarian bets when you're really not at all? 984 01:09:14,940 --> 01:09:18,360 No, no, no, no, not at all. When I was operating as I was 985 01:09:18,360 --> 01:09:22,080 supposed to and I was running, what was the most profitable part 986 01:09:22,080 --> 01:09:28,290 of the CBRE investor's business? I was building a great business and 987 01:09:28,290 --> 01:09:31,980 delivering returns that were at or higher than we promised investors 988 01:09:31,980 --> 01:09:34,980 and growing the business well, I did, I did my part. 989 01:09:34,980 --> 01:09:37,830 I think that the deal the entrepreneurs deal that I cut 990 01:09:37,830 --> 01:09:40,680 didn't sit well with them. Got it. And that's okay. 991 01:09:41,760 --> 01:09:44,730 And then subsequently, you formed the company you're now? Yeah. 992 01:09:44,730 --> 01:09:47,970 I decided to be a real entrepreneur instead of being an entrepreneur 993 01:09:48,840 --> 01:09:53,250 in an island of a big company. And and that has been what I've 994 01:09:53,250 --> 01:09:56,760 been doing for the last, I guess, eight years or so. 995 01:09:57,240 --> 01:10:02,220 And I kind of we had a bunch of different pockets of money, 996 01:10:02,640 --> 01:10:06,450 separate accounts primarily, but we had one large commingled 997 01:10:06,450 --> 01:10:12,940 fund and the large commingled fund. I kind of dodged a bullet for myself 998 01:10:12,940 --> 01:10:19,510 and my investors in the sense that I. I saw that when Covid came in 2020, 999 01:10:19,990 --> 01:10:25,810 but I felt that the world was entering a newly a new risky period, 1000 01:10:25,810 --> 01:10:29,650 you know, that I didn't know how that risk 1001 01:10:29,650 --> 01:10:33,460 would manifest itself negatively. I just knew that it would likely 1002 01:10:33,460 --> 01:10:37,840 manifest itself negatively. I would never have imagined that 1003 01:10:37,840 --> 01:10:41,110 the fed would march interest rates up as they have I. 1004 01:10:41,290 --> 01:10:47,440 I think it's, by the way, incredibly stupid and and destructive, 1005 01:10:47,440 --> 01:10:51,460 unnecessarily destructive. But they did it. But but I didn't. 1006 01:10:51,460 --> 01:10:55,690 I knew that something negative was likely to happen in the financial 1007 01:10:55,690 --> 01:11:01,720 markets because of inspired by Covid, and that caused me to think, I want 1008 01:11:01,720 --> 01:11:06,130 to get my investors liquidity because we were in illiquid positions. 1009 01:11:06,130 --> 01:11:09,910 And so I spent the next 18 months I shut the fund. 1010 01:11:09,910 --> 01:11:14,620 It was an open ended fund, and I pursued liquidity, 1011 01:11:14,620 --> 01:11:19,900 and I was able to consummate a merger with a publicly traded mortgage 1012 01:11:19,900 --> 01:11:25,270 REIT that closed, fortuitously in March of 2022 with no lockup. 1013 01:11:25,270 --> 01:11:31,210 So literally the peak price for mortgage rates, no lockup rates had 1014 01:11:31,210 --> 01:11:36,350 not yet begun to be marched up. We got out of the nick of time now. 1015 01:11:37,310 --> 01:11:42,620 I. You know that. So that that since that time I've 1016 01:11:42,620 --> 01:11:45,770 been uncomfortable with the market. I remain uncomfortable with the 1017 01:11:45,770 --> 01:11:47,240 market. So I haven't launched any new 1018 01:11:47,240 --> 01:11:52,850 vehicles, and I've been sitting around patiently because we both 1019 01:11:52,850 --> 01:11:55,100 have been around this industry a long time, for years. 1020 01:11:55,430 --> 01:11:58,580 And what we've seen is that when price action happens, 1021 01:11:58,760 --> 01:12:04,580 that values go down abruptly. There's usually a years long period 1022 01:12:04,820 --> 01:12:09,260 of nothing happens because sellers obviously don't want to sell. 1023 01:12:09,950 --> 01:12:12,500 Buyers don't want to pay yesterday's prices. 1024 01:12:12,500 --> 01:12:16,310 They want to pay today's cheaper prices and things until they're 1025 01:12:16,310 --> 01:12:19,700 forced to. Things don't trade. So I knew that was likely to occur 1026 01:12:19,700 --> 01:12:23,450 and I didn't want to go raise money, promise investors activity that 1027 01:12:23,450 --> 01:12:26,300 I didn't think would happen. And it turns out I was right. 1028 01:12:26,300 --> 01:12:30,410 And so I wrote a book. And so and instead of managing money, 1029 01:12:30,410 --> 01:12:33,260 I basically became an author. Let's talk about volatility for 1030 01:12:33,260 --> 01:12:37,250 a minute okay. So you you pioneered the CMBS 1031 01:12:37,250 --> 01:12:39,290 business and grew it significantly up to 98. 1032 01:12:39,290 --> 01:12:42,800 Then a hiccup occurred and then it recovered in the 2000. 1033 01:12:42,830 --> 01:12:48,230 Grew astronomically until the GFC in 2008 when it crashed once again 1034 01:12:48,230 --> 01:12:51,650 and then once again recovered. Talk about the volatility in this 1035 01:12:51,650 --> 01:12:56,360 business and compare it with the lower beta life insurance lending 1036 01:12:56,360 --> 01:13:00,890 business that was more had more slack and alternative options 1037 01:13:00,890 --> 01:13:04,850 allowing for diversification. Do you think CMBS is a sustainable 1038 01:13:04,850 --> 01:13:09,140 business model and could it evolve into something less volatile? Okay. 1039 01:13:09,890 --> 01:13:18,410 I think that the the notion of volatility is a poorly and 1040 01:13:18,410 --> 01:13:27,520 misunderstood notion. Okay. If for those who are not seeing this, 1041 01:13:27,520 --> 01:13:33,190 I'm holding up my iPhone. So if I if if this iPhone in my 1042 01:13:33,190 --> 01:13:38,390 hand today. Could fetch $100 and just pick a 1043 01:13:38,390 --> 01:13:44,070 number $100. And then tomorrow there was a 1044 01:13:44,070 --> 01:13:46,590 flood of this. Vintage iPhones hit the market. 1045 01:13:46,950 --> 01:13:51,150 It would not be worth $100 anymore to be worth something less, and maybe 1046 01:13:51,150 --> 01:13:59,340 substantially less than $100, right? And if I was forced to sell this 1047 01:13:59,340 --> 01:14:02,580 iPhone. I would find out exactly what 1048 01:14:02,580 --> 01:14:06,810 the price that it would fetch, and I would go, man, the price 1049 01:14:06,810 --> 01:14:09,780 of iPhones are very volatile. You know, it was $100 yesterday, 1050 01:14:09,780 --> 01:14:15,330 and now maybe it's $35 today. But if I didn't have to sell and 1051 01:14:15,330 --> 01:14:17,760 I just thought, well, people are paying a lot less, 1052 01:14:17,760 --> 01:14:21,150 there's a lot more iPhones for sale. I just put it in my pocket. 1053 01:14:21,690 --> 01:14:24,240 I'm going to use it for another year and maybe two. 1054 01:14:24,900 --> 01:14:26,910 Don't tell me what it's worth. I don't even care. 1055 01:14:27,060 --> 01:14:30,090 It's not information I'm interested in. I wanted $100. 1056 01:14:30,390 --> 01:14:33,390 It was not a $100 bid. I don't need to know. 1057 01:14:34,900 --> 01:14:37,510 So then I don't know how volatile it is. 1058 01:14:37,510 --> 01:14:41,440 I just know it's a little less than $100, but my price? 1059 01:14:41,440 --> 01:14:45,370 $100 and there's no $100 bid. I think that the real estate 1060 01:14:45,370 --> 01:14:49,450 industry. So Sam Zell, I would give him 1061 01:14:49,450 --> 01:14:54,550 and I would give there was a guy at Merrill Lynch who ran equity 1062 01:14:54,550 --> 01:14:56,560 investment banking, real estate, equity investor banking, 1063 01:14:56,560 --> 01:15:01,530 Richard Salzman. Richard Salzman was the Ethan 1064 01:15:01,530 --> 01:15:07,230 Penner of Rights, and Sam Zell really was Richard's kind of like 1065 01:15:07,380 --> 01:15:12,780 horse that he rode to the success of creating today's Mortgage real 1066 01:15:12,780 --> 01:15:18,780 Estate REIT industry, or the. I created the kind of the the 1067 01:15:18,780 --> 01:15:22,770 debt side. We both what we both did was we 1068 01:15:22,950 --> 01:15:27,810 we brought real estate out of the closets and the and out of 1069 01:15:27,810 --> 01:15:31,530 the conference rooms into the public market. 1070 01:15:31,650 --> 01:15:37,680 And so now the public market was setting a price every minute for 1071 01:15:37,680 --> 01:15:42,670 real estate. And that price was moving based 1072 01:15:42,670 --> 01:15:45,940 on the public markets willingness to pay for real estate debt or 1073 01:15:45,940 --> 01:15:48,880 real estate equity. And it was moving every minute. 1074 01:15:50,010 --> 01:15:54,630 Before that. Before 1990, roughly 92 or 93. 1075 01:15:55,050 --> 01:15:57,480 All the real estate was private, all of it. 1076 01:15:57,480 --> 01:16:01,440 So the loans that were made by insurance companies or banks 1077 01:16:01,920 --> 01:16:05,670 never saw the light of day. They were made and owned by that 1078 01:16:05,670 --> 01:16:09,030 lender. Documents were sitting in a drawer. 1079 01:16:09,790 --> 01:16:15,000 And when the loan matured. I mean, if the loan if the borrower 1080 01:16:15,000 --> 01:16:17,940 couldn't repay it, then there was just a negotiation of an extension. 1081 01:16:17,940 --> 01:16:20,130 You know, pay me a fee and we'll we'll talk 1082 01:16:20,130 --> 01:16:25,290 about it in a year or two. Right. And the same thing with real estate 1083 01:16:25,290 --> 01:16:30,960 assets. There was no price discovery. And now all of a sudden, with the 1084 01:16:30,960 --> 01:16:35,460 advent of the REIT and the CMBS, there was price discovery. 1085 01:16:35,460 --> 01:16:41,970 So when we look at CMBS or REITs, we see price volatility because 1086 01:16:41,970 --> 01:16:46,410 we have minute to minute, day to day market opinion of the 1087 01:16:46,410 --> 01:16:50,600 value of those things. The real estate that is not in 1088 01:16:50,600 --> 01:16:53,690 the public market is not. There's no opinion being 1089 01:16:53,690 --> 01:16:56,900 expressed about its value minute to minute or day to day. 1090 01:16:56,900 --> 01:17:01,490 But it's fairly safe to say that if the real estate were to be pulled 1091 01:17:01,490 --> 01:17:05,120 out, that loan was pulled out of the insurance companies drawer and 1092 01:17:05,120 --> 01:17:09,890 sent out into the public market for price discovery, they would discover 1093 01:17:09,890 --> 01:17:13,940 it's just as volatile as CMBS. You understand? Well, because. 1094 01:17:13,940 --> 01:17:16,970 The markets are that way today. But when I grew up in the business 1095 01:17:16,970 --> 01:17:19,160 and I was started at Prudential, yeah, but. 1096 01:17:19,160 --> 01:17:21,860 Because there was no public no, we didn't. Have that. 1097 01:17:21,860 --> 01:17:25,640 We didn't have public didn't touch. Well, there was no connectivity 1098 01:17:25,790 --> 01:17:30,320 between the capital markets. No. And real estate assets of any kind. 1099 01:17:30,500 --> 01:17:32,210 No connectivity, no real. Estate was looked at. 1100 01:17:32,330 --> 01:17:38,060 But real real estate was volatile. It's just that you didn't know it. 1101 01:17:38,060 --> 01:17:39,710 Okay. That's true because it didn't trade 1102 01:17:39,710 --> 01:17:42,500 as much. Well, there was no reason. It was a longer term. 1103 01:17:42,680 --> 01:17:46,370 But no, there was no but there was no there was no vehicle for trading. 1104 01:17:46,550 --> 01:17:50,150 And so you sold when you were in the money and you didn't sell 1105 01:17:50,150 --> 01:17:52,700 when you weren't in the money. And that was that. 1106 01:17:52,700 --> 01:17:56,840 And so it's interesting. Though I was I grew up in appraising 1107 01:17:56,840 --> 01:17:59,360 property and I was looked at, you know, I was in the Appraisal 1108 01:17:59,360 --> 01:18:02,900 Institute looking at long term value. And how did you come up with a 1109 01:18:02,900 --> 01:18:04,490 cap rate? We had what was called the band 1110 01:18:04,490 --> 01:18:07,070 of investment. And you looked at what's the 1111 01:18:07,070 --> 01:18:09,590 equity return you need, what's the debt return? 1112 01:18:09,590 --> 01:18:13,340 So this was a scientific structure. At that time we didn't have Wall 1113 01:18:13,340 --> 01:18:15,410 Street to trade off, except the inside. 1114 01:18:15,410 --> 01:18:18,740 The insurance companies, they were trading bonds. They were trading. 1115 01:18:18,860 --> 01:18:21,290 They disconnected real estate from that thing. 1116 01:18:21,290 --> 01:18:23,960 Well, they had to allocate their portfolios, but they. 1117 01:18:23,960 --> 01:18:26,750 Disconnected. Mortgages, but. They disconnected, just like I 1118 01:18:26,750 --> 01:18:30,530 think in venture capital is another place where they've done a very 1119 01:18:30,530 --> 01:18:34,340 good job of disconnecting reality, as though there is, though 1120 01:18:34,340 --> 01:18:37,460 there's something called gravity. But gravity doesn't apply to 1121 01:18:37,460 --> 01:18:41,030 this area. Okay. You know, I think it's just self 1122 01:18:41,030 --> 01:18:44,780 deceit. Put yourself to see. Well, people live very happily 1123 01:18:44,780 --> 01:18:47,930 in self deceit. They like to tell you life insurance 1124 01:18:47,930 --> 01:18:51,320 companies will tell you they allocate their assets accordingly based on 1125 01:18:51,320 --> 01:18:55,820 risk, as their perception was. And I'm sure they were, but I think 1126 01:18:55,820 --> 01:18:59,510 they were misunderstanding the risk of the real estate market there, 1127 01:18:59,510 --> 01:19:02,360 probably because they were because there was no reminder. 1128 01:19:03,350 --> 01:19:05,450 No, they didn't mark the. Market without the reminder. 1129 01:19:05,450 --> 01:19:07,640 They don't know how risky it is. It's no mark to market. 1130 01:19:07,880 --> 01:19:09,890 There's no reminder. Yeah, I agree, 1131 01:19:10,430 --> 01:19:12,110 I can argue with that earlier. By the way, 1132 01:19:12,110 --> 01:19:16,430 I have to tell you a story, okay? It inspired me to abandon my 1133 01:19:16,430 --> 01:19:21,620 initial inclination to create CMS. So my initial inclination was in 1134 01:19:21,620 --> 01:19:28,430 1988, not 1993. And in 1988, I was a young big 1135 01:19:28,430 --> 01:19:33,110 shot at Morgan Stanley running the credit risk mortgage business. 1136 01:19:33,110 --> 01:19:38,720 And Morgan Stanley and I thought, why not go after that big giant market 1137 01:19:38,720 --> 01:19:42,980 that no one seems to be after on Wall Street called commercial real estate. 1138 01:19:43,490 --> 01:19:47,570 So I, I started to dip my toe into that arena. 1139 01:19:47,660 --> 01:19:51,110 And if you remember Morgan Stanley owned a real estate 1140 01:19:51,110 --> 01:19:54,590 brokerage company. You know, there was another one. 1141 01:19:54,590 --> 01:19:57,650 And I'm blanking on the name. But if I said it, you know, 1142 01:19:57,740 --> 01:20:00,830 Harvey Brooks, Harvey, they own Brooks Harvey. 1143 01:20:00,830 --> 01:20:05,930 So I moseyed over to talk to some of the guys at Brooks Harvey who 1144 01:20:05,960 --> 01:20:10,610 were as far afield from bond trading desks where I lived, right from an 1145 01:20:10,610 --> 01:20:14,060 intellectual or knowledge based standpoint, as one could imagine. 1146 01:20:14,450 --> 01:20:18,290 And they were telling me, I said, what's going on in in the world 1147 01:20:18,290 --> 01:20:20,690 of commercial mortgages? And they said, well, 1148 01:20:20,690 --> 01:20:24,710 it just so happens we're arranging a mortgage right now for this office 1149 01:20:24,710 --> 01:20:29,270 building in midtown Manhattan. And it was the the lender was 1150 01:20:29,270 --> 01:20:34,070 Traveler's Insurance Company. Yeah. And I said, well, what kind of 1151 01:20:34,070 --> 01:20:38,990 terms are you getting the borrower? And it was like a ten year loan. 1152 01:20:40,280 --> 01:20:45,830 And the rate on the loan was lower than the ten year US Treasury. 1153 01:20:46,040 --> 01:20:51,470 Lower. So think about this. Think about what disconnection means, 1154 01:20:51,470 --> 01:20:57,470 some imbecile. The CIO of travelers is literally 1155 01:20:57,470 --> 01:21:04,070 lending money to an office building. And all the risks attendant with 1156 01:21:04,070 --> 01:21:07,700 that, when all you have to do is buy the US ten year Treasury and 1157 01:21:07,700 --> 01:21:10,880 he'd have a better yield. And I thought, okay, 1158 01:21:10,880 --> 01:21:13,970 there's no CMS here. And I went back to the residence. 1159 01:21:14,300 --> 01:21:18,650 Forget this. This is insanity. Because because the disconnection 1160 01:21:18,650 --> 01:21:23,660 created those kinds of kind of like. Mortgage bankers love that pricing. 1161 01:21:23,690 --> 01:21:26,510 Of course it made great, made great sense to you as an 1162 01:21:26,510 --> 01:21:31,760 intermediary, but as an investor, it made less than no sense. And so. 1163 01:21:32,630 --> 01:21:37,580 So as the world changed and the real estate market got exposed to the 1164 01:21:37,580 --> 01:21:41,060 capital markets and relative value, which goes back to what we talked 1165 01:21:41,060 --> 01:21:44,450 about in the beginning of this conversation, was now introduced to 1166 01:21:44,450 --> 01:21:48,530 the real estate investment world. The world has never been the 1167 01:21:48,530 --> 01:21:52,340 same for real estate, but they still do talk about gee, 1168 01:21:52,340 --> 01:21:56,150 CMS is volatile, but how come my loan portfolio is done? 1169 01:21:56,300 --> 01:21:59,690 And the reason is price discovery. You don't ask for price discovery. 1170 01:21:59,690 --> 01:22:01,850 If you did, you'd find out is very volatile. 1171 01:22:03,170 --> 01:22:05,780 Earlier this year, you were interviewed on another podcast 1172 01:22:05,780 --> 01:22:09,560 and cited that the largest macro trend over the last 40 years was 1173 01:22:09,560 --> 01:22:14,690 declining interest rates, and that that is not and that has now changed. 1174 01:22:14,840 --> 01:22:18,740 Howard Marks of Oak Creek Capital also made that observation recently 1175 01:22:18,740 --> 01:22:23,870 and is recommended a reallocation of their their investments internally. 1176 01:22:24,350 --> 01:22:27,740 You indicated that you will be looking toward inflation 1177 01:22:27,740 --> 01:22:30,800 protected investments. And due to the outstanding debt 1178 01:22:30,800 --> 01:22:33,650 on the US balance sheet, inflation is inevitable. 1179 01:22:34,520 --> 01:22:37,790 Perhaps elaborate on this and what strategies you would recommend 1180 01:22:37,790 --> 01:22:41,600 to young professionals in our industry and in general about where 1181 01:22:41,630 --> 01:22:47,150 where to place capital today? Well, I think there is like three 1182 01:22:47,150 --> 01:22:50,540 questions embedded in that question. So I'm going to try to address 1183 01:22:50,540 --> 01:22:53,120 I'm trying to that's a good way to ask the question. All right. 1184 01:22:53,120 --> 01:23:01,480 So I think first of all. I'll start with young people in 1185 01:23:01,480 --> 01:23:06,100 the real estate industry. I love real estate for a variety 1186 01:23:06,100 --> 01:23:10,690 of reasons. I love real estate. And as you and I were talking even 1187 01:23:10,690 --> 01:23:16,930 before we started the podcast, primarily because real estate is a 1188 01:23:16,930 --> 01:23:19,870 reflection of society's inclinations. Right? 1189 01:23:19,870 --> 01:23:25,060 And so if you want to be a good real estate investor, you must ask, 1190 01:23:25,060 --> 01:23:29,770 ask and answer the question in what physical structures do 1191 01:23:29,770 --> 01:23:34,120 people want to enjoy life, right. And if you can answer that question, 1192 01:23:34,150 --> 01:23:36,760 you're going to invest accordingly and do very well. 1193 01:23:36,760 --> 01:23:40,000 And if you don't answer that question or even ask that question, 1194 01:23:40,210 --> 01:23:42,220 you'll be stumbling and bumbling in your career. 1195 01:23:42,220 --> 01:23:44,980 And I think too few real estate people think that way. 1196 01:23:45,010 --> 01:23:49,330 So when I write a book on philosophy, which I did, and people think, well, 1197 01:23:49,330 --> 01:23:52,960 why did a guy who's known in real estate write a book on philosophy 1198 01:23:52,960 --> 01:23:56,290 is because I think philosophy and understanding human nature and 1199 01:23:56,290 --> 01:24:00,880 human behavior is fundamental to being a good real estate person. 1200 01:24:00,880 --> 01:24:03,520 And so I would tell young people today. 1201 01:24:05,140 --> 01:24:09,310 The world is in a state of incredible, as you well know, 1202 01:24:09,310 --> 01:24:14,320 incredible change. The things that were attractive 1203 01:24:14,320 --> 01:24:20,110 in John Coe and Ethan Pena's journey in life as young men. 1204 01:24:20,840 --> 01:24:25,100 Are very different today. People's desires of how to live life, 1205 01:24:25,100 --> 01:24:28,250 where to live life, how to allocate their time, 1206 01:24:28,430 --> 01:24:33,080 how to interact with each other, and where to interact with each other. 1207 01:24:33,380 --> 01:24:36,140 Those are very different than in our lifetime. 1208 01:24:36,590 --> 01:24:40,160 And most of the real estate stock in the world today was built to 1209 01:24:40,160 --> 01:24:45,350 answer that question for our lifetime and even generations before us. 1210 01:24:45,710 --> 01:24:50,450 So that means there's a lot of shaking up that's going to occur 1211 01:24:50,450 --> 01:24:54,650 in real estate. And shaking up is very rewarding 1212 01:24:54,650 --> 01:24:58,520 for young, thoughtful, enterprising people. 1213 01:24:58,520 --> 01:25:03,110 So I think the future of real estate is going to be exciting and very 1214 01:25:03,110 --> 01:25:06,920 rewarding for people who think philosophically, who are students 1215 01:25:06,920 --> 01:25:10,550 of human behavior and who could express themselves accordingly in 1216 01:25:10,550 --> 01:25:16,160 this industry. It's very exciting. I think technology obviously will 1217 01:25:16,160 --> 01:25:20,420 have a huge impact in answering some of those questions. 1218 01:25:20,420 --> 01:25:25,310 And so I also talk in my book about intersections and how real 1219 01:25:25,310 --> 01:25:28,370 estate itself is an intersection business because it lives at the 1220 01:25:28,370 --> 01:25:34,730 intersection of a lot of things. Politics and zoning. Tax policy. 1221 01:25:34,910 --> 01:25:40,730 Construction and design. Finance. Capital markets and economics. 1222 01:25:40,730 --> 01:25:46,550 Human behavior. Intersections. I would find intersections live 1223 01:25:46,550 --> 01:25:49,100 at intersections. It's fun and rewarding. 1224 01:25:49,430 --> 01:25:54,170 So that's one that's the the last question you asked the. 1225 01:25:56,360 --> 01:26:01,130 Second question you ask about investing in inflationary places 1226 01:26:01,130 --> 01:26:05,780 where inflation. I think inflation is one of the most 1227 01:26:05,780 --> 01:26:12,260 poorly understood ideas in economics. I think that people often 1228 01:26:12,830 --> 01:26:17,390 confuse cause and effect when thinking of inflation, so they 1229 01:26:17,390 --> 01:26:23,950 look at higher interest rates. As, uh, as perhaps even the 1230 01:26:23,950 --> 01:26:29,110 definition of of inflation or certainly the result of inflation. 1231 01:26:29,980 --> 01:26:32,890 Sometimes maybe they think of it as the cause of inflation. 1232 01:26:34,480 --> 01:26:37,330 I think of that is somewhat disconnected today. 1233 01:26:37,360 --> 01:26:43,030 I think that the reason is because the federal government interest rates 1234 01:26:43,030 --> 01:26:50,410 used in my bond trading years, when the fed had a much less invasive, 1235 01:26:51,550 --> 01:26:55,690 um, orientation towards the financial markets than they have 1236 01:26:55,690 --> 01:27:00,010 expressed in the last decade and continue to express inflation, was 1237 01:27:00,010 --> 01:27:04,030 the market price for money? Right. I mean, I'm sorry, interest rates 1238 01:27:04,030 --> 01:27:08,470 was the market price for money. So someone wanted to borrow, someone 1239 01:27:08,470 --> 01:27:13,900 had money to lend and interest rates was the price of that transaction. 1240 01:27:16,640 --> 01:27:20,900 And it was largely a free market. So if there were more people wanting 1241 01:27:20,900 --> 01:27:25,460 to borrow than wanting to lend. Interest rates went up if more people 1242 01:27:25,460 --> 01:27:30,710 wanted to lend than to borrow. Interest rates went down pretty 1243 01:27:30,710 --> 01:27:36,200 simple. When 2008 happened and the world 1244 01:27:36,200 --> 01:27:41,270 as we know it almost ended, the fed decided that. 1245 01:27:42,150 --> 01:27:49,920 As the fed does when they see the world teetering on anarchy 1246 01:27:49,920 --> 01:27:55,520 that they needed to. Solve for that anarchic risk, 1247 01:27:55,520 --> 01:28:00,170 and the only lever they have is to flood the money, the market 1248 01:28:00,170 --> 01:28:03,740 and the world with cheap dollars. And so they flooded. 1249 01:28:04,250 --> 01:28:10,070 There's been $8 trillion of essentially new money has expressed 1250 01:28:10,070 --> 01:28:17,270 itself since 2008 into the world. And that is by definition, inflation. 1251 01:28:17,270 --> 01:28:21,110 So if you go back to the economic definition of inflation, 1252 01:28:21,110 --> 01:28:24,230 when the word was because the word inflation has been in the 1253 01:28:24,230 --> 01:28:28,610 English language for a long time, but it only started to be used, 1254 01:28:28,640 --> 01:28:35,060 I believe, around the 1920s or 30s in relation to economics. 1255 01:28:35,060 --> 01:28:41,780 And the word was used to describe the inflation of money supply. 1256 01:28:41,780 --> 01:28:46,040 That's what it was. So the word inflation originated in 1257 01:28:46,040 --> 01:28:50,030 economics as a measurement of money supply. Money supply is inflating. 1258 01:28:50,030 --> 01:28:54,140 Well, that's what happened. $8 trillion was conjured out of 1259 01:28:54,140 --> 01:28:57,800 thin air and injected into the world by the fed. 1260 01:28:57,800 --> 01:29:02,690 That is the definition of inflation. And yet what was interesting is that 1261 01:29:02,690 --> 01:29:07,070 during that $8 trillion infusion, which was historically large, 1262 01:29:07,220 --> 01:29:10,460 interest rates remained historically low. 1263 01:29:10,460 --> 01:29:13,070 And people were going like, well, there's no inflation. 1264 01:29:13,070 --> 01:29:17,060 Interest rates were 1%. Yes, there is inflation. 1265 01:29:17,060 --> 01:29:20,720 $8 trillion was created. It's just that interest rates 1266 01:29:20,720 --> 01:29:24,740 were being suppressed and they were being suppressed by the same 1267 01:29:24,740 --> 01:29:29,900 powerful forces that had created the $8 trillion, which is go back 1268 01:29:29,900 --> 01:29:35,480 to why I said I was very surprised to see the fed allow rates. 1269 01:29:35,480 --> 01:29:39,530 By the way, the word fed allow is also a weird thing for a free 1270 01:29:39,530 --> 01:29:42,800 market person like me to say. I grew up on a bond trading desk 1271 01:29:42,950 --> 01:29:47,900 where the fed didn't intrude, and so markets determined where rates went. 1272 01:29:47,900 --> 01:29:52,940 But since 2008, the fed has determined where interest rates go. 1273 01:29:52,940 --> 01:29:55,340 The bond market is just it's just there. 1274 01:29:55,340 --> 01:29:58,670 But it's not really determining much. Supply and demand don't 1275 01:29:58,670 --> 01:30:01,490 determine much. The fed determines where rates go. 1276 01:30:01,850 --> 01:30:07,280 And so I would make interest rate bets today I think that interest 1277 01:30:07,280 --> 01:30:12,950 rates are if you say what does the fed slash the US government need. 1278 01:30:13,220 --> 01:30:15,470 They need interest rates to go back to 1%. 1279 01:30:17,040 --> 01:30:19,680 Are they smart enough to know that? I'm not so sure. 1280 01:30:19,860 --> 01:30:21,840 So I wouldn't make interest rate bets. 1281 01:30:21,870 --> 01:30:26,190 I do, though, believe inflation is with us wherever interest rates go. 1282 01:30:26,190 --> 01:30:29,160 Doesn't matter. And I think, uh, 1283 01:30:29,160 --> 01:30:35,940 owning inflation protection assets, not owning cash will be continue 1284 01:30:35,940 --> 01:30:40,050 to prove to be a good idea. So I think that's answers most 1285 01:30:40,050 --> 01:30:43,530 of your question. So, Ethan, you are now a real estate 1286 01:30:43,530 --> 01:30:48,390 lecturer at Pepperdine as well. Talk about your curriculum there 1287 01:30:48,390 --> 01:30:51,870 and why you decided to teach. What lessons do you share with your 1288 01:30:51,870 --> 01:30:58,350 students that they've probably never heard before? Well, that's for sure. 1289 01:30:58,350 --> 01:31:02,550 That's for sure. John, I'm not your typical guy 1290 01:31:02,550 --> 01:31:06,660 in our industry, as you know, and I'm even less typical in a 1291 01:31:06,660 --> 01:31:14,340 college campus. Okay. I, I was attracted to teaching, 1292 01:31:14,910 --> 01:31:19,530 you know, long ago. I like teaching. I feel like learning and 1293 01:31:19,530 --> 01:31:23,670 teaching go hand in hand. And I think that I think that you do 1294 01:31:23,670 --> 01:31:26,340 them both at the same time. Right. I think that when you have a 1295 01:31:26,340 --> 01:31:32,340 conversation with another human being, you're teaching and learning, 1296 01:31:32,340 --> 01:31:35,730 and that's the fun part of human interactions. 1297 01:31:35,730 --> 01:31:39,780 And so I've always seen it that way. And every time I was invited from 1298 01:31:39,990 --> 01:31:44,790 my Wall Street career to speak as a guest lecturer in a class 1299 01:31:44,790 --> 01:31:47,730 or to a university or whatever, I would always accept. 1300 01:31:47,880 --> 01:31:53,850 And then one day I was moving back out to California in about 2000. 1301 01:31:53,850 --> 01:31:58,320 And, um, I want to say 12 or 13. I'm not sure exactly which one. 1302 01:31:58,320 --> 01:32:01,290 I think something like that. And I got a call from. 1303 01:32:02,360 --> 01:32:06,230 A friend of mine who I had who's a professor at USC's graduate 1304 01:32:06,230 --> 01:32:11,030 business school, and he said, and who I had guest lectured at 1305 01:32:11,030 --> 01:32:15,230 his in his class numerous times. And he said, I have a it was about 1306 01:32:15,230 --> 01:32:18,980 I think he called me it was July. And he said. 1307 01:32:19,670 --> 01:32:22,220 I have a kind of an emergency ask of you. 1308 01:32:22,220 --> 01:32:26,840 The professor who teaches the mortgage backed securities class at 1309 01:32:26,840 --> 01:32:31,130 in graduate business school at USC, accepted a job in the Obama 1310 01:32:31,130 --> 01:32:34,580 administration and were left one month before his class is about 1311 01:32:34,580 --> 01:32:36,740 to begin with. No professor, would you ever 1312 01:32:36,740 --> 01:32:40,520 consider teaching a class not just guest lecturing, but actually 1313 01:32:40,730 --> 01:32:44,870 being the teacher for the class? And I said, you know, sure. 1314 01:32:45,110 --> 01:32:48,440 I said, yeah, I'd do it. And he warned me, you know, 1315 01:32:48,440 --> 01:32:52,640 like when you guest lecture, you can improv, you know. Yeah. 1316 01:32:53,030 --> 01:32:56,750 But when you're teaching, a full semester is a lot more 1317 01:32:56,750 --> 01:33:00,980 preparation involved than I think you are probably imagining. 1318 01:33:01,190 --> 01:33:03,530 And I said, oh, it's okay, I'm fine. I'll, I'll, 1319 01:33:03,530 --> 01:33:06,800 I'll write the syllabus and I'll do all the things that you need to do. 1320 01:33:06,800 --> 01:33:10,850 And I won't use a textbook, of course, because I don't believe in 1321 01:33:10,850 --> 01:33:15,650 textbooks, you know, especially in today's world, John, where things 1322 01:33:15,650 --> 01:33:20,300 are continually evolving. Right. So the way things were done even 1323 01:33:20,300 --> 01:33:25,760 five years ago or ten years ago are so far are so much less relevant 1324 01:33:25,760 --> 01:33:30,800 than one would imagine, let alone textbooks from 20 or 30 years. 1325 01:33:30,800 --> 01:33:34,130 Yeah, literally completely irrelevant in most fields, 1326 01:33:34,130 --> 01:33:37,760 including finance and real estate. So I said I would teach it, 1327 01:33:37,760 --> 01:33:41,450 but I'm going to do it my way. I said fine, and I taught that 1328 01:33:41,450 --> 01:33:44,540 class and I had great fun. I it was a Thursday. 1329 01:33:44,540 --> 01:33:49,460 You can imagine the Thursday evening classes for graduate students. 1330 01:33:49,610 --> 01:33:54,290 And so I realized what I was up against and I had to teach. 1331 01:33:54,290 --> 01:33:58,700 I had to assigned it to me. And his only job, I would give him 1332 01:33:58,700 --> 01:34:02,990 money, and his only job was to bring beer and pizza to the class. 1333 01:34:02,990 --> 01:34:06,470 And that way I figured, okay, well, a fair shot of getting 1334 01:34:06,470 --> 01:34:10,010 their attention. There it is. Yeah, that's why I did that. 1335 01:34:10,010 --> 01:34:15,440 And that that became a pretty popular class. I bet. For obvious reasons. 1336 01:34:15,800 --> 01:34:18,470 And since then I haven't looked back and I've taught pretty much 1337 01:34:18,470 --> 01:34:21,740 every year. I switched to Pepperdine after a few 1338 01:34:21,740 --> 01:34:26,060 years, not because I didn't like USC. I love the USC, but because it's 1339 01:34:26,060 --> 01:34:29,360 just closer to my house in LA. You know, that's a very 1340 01:34:29,360 --> 01:34:33,320 important consideration. Sure. So it's it was close to my office, 1341 01:34:33,320 --> 01:34:34,970 closer to my house, and I didn't want to sit in 1342 01:34:34,970 --> 01:34:40,850 traffic and go to downtown LA. Now I would say the the motivation 1343 01:34:40,850 --> 01:34:44,390 to teach is what I said, I like sharing, I find it a good 1344 01:34:44,390 --> 01:34:48,710 learning experience, right? I bounce my ideas off of, 1345 01:34:48,740 --> 01:34:55,010 you know, 25 to 50 smart, aspiring young men and women and and 1346 01:34:55,010 --> 01:34:58,730 I invite them to call bullshit on me. And it becomes and my class is a 1347 01:34:58,940 --> 01:35:02,390 four it's usually four hours, which is quite daunting when you 1348 01:35:02,390 --> 01:35:06,710 think about teaching your classes. But the only way that I thought 1349 01:35:06,710 --> 01:35:10,490 it would work, and it does work, is to make it a lively conversation. 1350 01:35:10,490 --> 01:35:14,210 And it was a lively conference. So it's not one man lecturing 1351 01:35:14,210 --> 01:35:18,200 for four hours or even an hour, which would be dreadful. 1352 01:35:18,200 --> 01:35:20,750 You know, I would never want to be on the receiving end of that, let alone, 1353 01:35:20,750 --> 01:35:25,640 you know, or on the giving end. So so it's a very engaging, uh, 1354 01:35:25,640 --> 01:35:31,670 lively, challenging conversation where I insist upon participation. 1355 01:35:31,670 --> 01:35:38,570 I call on people, and I insist upon them being forthright and and being. 1356 01:35:38,720 --> 01:35:43,040 I know that it's that I reward people who challenge me. And so. 1357 01:35:43,580 --> 01:35:46,520 So I learned a lot, and I hope they learn a lot. 1358 01:35:46,520 --> 01:35:50,000 And I guess the one thing is, uh, giving you a long answer to 1359 01:35:50,000 --> 01:35:53,480 your question. The one thing I would mention that is 1360 01:35:53,480 --> 01:35:57,050 very special about the class I give, which besides the obvious, 1361 01:35:57,050 --> 01:36:01,850 which is I give them real practical knowledge because I 1362 01:36:01,850 --> 01:36:05,540 don't teach from a textbook, I teach from real life experience 1363 01:36:05,540 --> 01:36:09,200 and what's going on in the world. But the big thing that I give them, 1364 01:36:09,200 --> 01:36:12,740 which is covered in my book, in a chapter that I adore, 1365 01:36:12,890 --> 01:36:16,610 which I thought of even calling the book this and actually called 1366 01:36:16,610 --> 01:36:20,270 our website This Intersection. So the website for my book, 1367 01:36:20,270 --> 01:36:23,000 as you know, is called Great Intersection dot com or great. 1368 01:36:23,330 --> 01:36:30,020 Yeah, great great intersection.com. And intersections are where greatness 1369 01:36:30,020 --> 01:36:35,960 occurs is where understanding occurs. And education and information 1370 01:36:35,960 --> 01:36:40,130 absorbed in isolation is a very, very little value. 1371 01:36:40,280 --> 01:36:47,330 And I really feel bad for students in all fields who are given knowledge 1372 01:36:47,330 --> 01:36:52,610 in isolation and not really taught about the interconnectivity and 1373 01:36:52,610 --> 01:36:58,490 this reciprocation of influence that one one, one one variable has 1374 01:36:58,490 --> 01:37:04,190 with many, many other variables. And so when I teach, I guess my focus 1375 01:37:04,190 --> 01:37:10,440 would be finance, financial markets, real estate. Securitization. 1376 01:37:10,440 --> 01:37:16,140 But what I'm teaching is always the intersection of those things with 1377 01:37:16,140 --> 01:37:21,780 politics, sociology, human behavior. All that stuff. Economics. 1378 01:37:22,140 --> 01:37:26,040 And so it's a it's a very wholesome class or education, 1379 01:37:26,190 --> 01:37:29,400 at least it's what I'm aiming for. You bring case studies then or do 1380 01:37:29,400 --> 01:37:32,670 you just based on your experience. Sometimes I do. 1381 01:37:32,670 --> 01:37:36,810 So sometimes I'll, I'll, I'll is four hour and a four hour class I 1382 01:37:36,810 --> 01:37:40,470 guess formatting it is interesting. So what I'll do what I've been doing 1383 01:37:40,470 --> 01:37:47,280 recently, uh, is take about half the class and focus on a topic. 1384 01:37:47,730 --> 01:37:52,500 Uh, so let's say two hours of the four hour class is focus on a topic, 1385 01:37:52,500 --> 01:37:55,830 a specific topic. It could be securitization, 1386 01:37:55,830 --> 01:38:00,180 for example, or it could be about banking. It could be whatever. 1387 01:38:00,180 --> 01:38:04,050 It could be it could be about obsolescence in real estate. 1388 01:38:04,050 --> 01:38:07,560 And there's a topic and that's the thematic topic of the day. 1389 01:38:07,980 --> 01:38:09,840 Let's say that takes an hour and a half. 1390 01:38:10,430 --> 01:38:14,420 There's probably about a half hour on current events or things that are 1391 01:38:14,420 --> 01:38:18,680 happening in the world in that week or that day that I want to cover. 1392 01:38:19,280 --> 01:38:24,020 And then there's about an hour that's dedicated to case study. 1393 01:38:24,560 --> 01:38:29,540 And then I usually wrap up with about a half hour on a chapter or two of my 1394 01:38:29,540 --> 01:38:33,560 book and discuss. Oh, there you go. So there's some philosophy there. 1395 01:38:33,650 --> 01:38:40,760 You do have a textbook? Yeah. That's great. 1396 01:38:41,090 --> 01:38:45,440 Well, I love that your book in some ways reminds me of meditations by 1397 01:38:45,440 --> 01:38:50,540 the Roman emperor Marcus Aurelius, which was a diary for his own use. 1398 01:38:50,870 --> 01:38:55,160 I sense that this is how you started it as an essays of your own thinking. 1399 01:38:55,160 --> 01:38:57,530 I may be wrong, but that was my suspicion. 1400 01:38:57,680 --> 01:39:01,820 Clearly, your religious awakening stimulated your passion to write 1401 01:39:01,820 --> 01:39:05,390 much of its content. In retrospect, do you think you 1402 01:39:05,390 --> 01:39:09,620 matured into this thinking? Talk about that evolution to a more 1403 01:39:09,620 --> 01:39:13,400 spiritual life and put it in context of interpersonal relationships 1404 01:39:13,400 --> 01:39:19,190 and business? Well, I wrote I. Let's start with the origins of 1405 01:39:19,190 --> 01:39:23,010 the book. I had always had in my mind, John, 1406 01:39:23,010 --> 01:39:29,130 and I think I always had in my mind that it would be amazing to write. 1407 01:39:29,980 --> 01:39:34,960 Something like my ideas about my. About life, my observations, 1408 01:39:34,960 --> 01:39:38,620 my experiences, and my ideas that I could hand 1409 01:39:38,620 --> 01:39:44,140 physically to my children so that they may hand it to their children, 1410 01:39:44,140 --> 01:39:48,970 and being passed on generationally as some sort of a family heirloom. 1411 01:39:49,150 --> 01:39:54,100 I wished that I had such a thing. I wish that I had something that 1412 01:39:54,100 --> 01:39:59,110 goes back 5 or 10 generations. Imagine if you had that, how valuable 1413 01:39:59,110 --> 01:40:02,440 that would be in your life, right? And so I thought, well, I always 1414 01:40:02,440 --> 01:40:04,810 thought, why don't I create that? So that was in my head. 1415 01:40:05,290 --> 01:40:11,350 I'm an inveterate note taker, so I use my iPhone notes section. 1416 01:40:11,350 --> 01:40:16,090 And when I have ideas, I create a new note and I write my 1417 01:40:16,090 --> 01:40:22,800 ideas and I write a few things. Around Christmas of 2020. 1418 01:40:22,830 --> 01:40:27,420 It was Covid and I was sitting having breakfast with my daughter, who was a 1419 01:40:27,420 --> 01:40:31,800 high school senior experiencing high school from home because of Covid. 1420 01:40:31,830 --> 01:40:37,170 We were having breakfast together and she asked me what I would be buying. 1421 01:40:37,410 --> 01:40:41,160 Um, my brother in law and his family who were coming over for a small 1422 01:40:41,160 --> 01:40:44,940 gathering for Covid Christmas. And I said, well, you know, 1423 01:40:44,940 --> 01:40:48,360 I don't really like buying Christmas presents for adults. 1424 01:40:48,360 --> 01:40:51,360 And three of the four of them were adults. One of them was a kid. 1425 01:40:51,360 --> 01:40:53,610 And I thought, okay, I'll buy a lot of presents for. 1426 01:40:53,610 --> 01:40:56,640 But the adults said, you know what? I'm going to write them a write 1427 01:40:56,640 --> 01:40:58,680 a book and I'm going to give them the book. 1428 01:40:58,680 --> 01:41:02,220 And she laughed and said, well, it's ten days before Christmas. 1429 01:41:02,610 --> 01:41:04,200 When are you going to write the book? And I said, well, 1430 01:41:04,200 --> 01:41:06,900 I'm going to write it right now when we're done with breakfast. 1431 01:41:07,290 --> 01:41:12,330 Well, by the time she came back to that table, why not left for lunch? 1432 01:41:12,330 --> 01:41:17,580 Four hours later, I had finished 100 pages and 65 short chapters. Wow. 1433 01:41:17,580 --> 01:41:20,610 And that became the foundation of this book. 1434 01:41:21,480 --> 01:41:27,930 Then I went out and try to print ten copies, so I'd have gift for 1435 01:41:27,930 --> 01:41:31,560 the family coming over, and then some left over from my 1436 01:41:31,560 --> 01:41:35,940 kids and such, and no printer would print fewer than 100 copies. 1437 01:41:35,940 --> 01:41:40,410 So I printed 100 copies, and I had 90 more than I had plans for, and I just 1438 01:41:40,410 --> 01:41:44,100 started giving them out to friends and people that came into my office. 1439 01:41:44,100 --> 01:41:49,590 And and it got circulated. Right. And it was really Ethan shorthand, 1440 01:41:50,010 --> 01:41:52,350 but it was a shorthand version of this book. 1441 01:41:52,350 --> 01:41:55,920 And the reviews I got from people who didn't even know me 1442 01:41:56,280 --> 01:41:59,700 were inspirational to me. You know, most probably the one 1443 01:41:59,700 --> 01:42:03,870 I share that's most powerful one was someone in Abu Dhabi had 1444 01:42:03,870 --> 01:42:08,250 gotten his hands on my book, and I didn't know the guy who was a 1445 01:42:08,250 --> 01:42:13,260 friend of Chris Ludeman. Oh, sure. And and so we talked and this 1446 01:42:13,260 --> 01:42:17,250 individual said he loved my book and that every night that he has the 1447 01:42:17,250 --> 01:42:20,460 opportunity to put his 12 year old son to bed, he keeps the book on 1448 01:42:20,460 --> 01:42:23,910 the nightstand of his 12 year old. They read a chapter together and 1449 01:42:23,910 --> 01:42:29,400 spent 15 minutes talking about it. And I thought how amazing that 1450 01:42:29,400 --> 01:42:34,290 my book not only is reaching my kids or hopefully my descendants, 1451 01:42:34,290 --> 01:42:38,820 but that it's valuable enough for a father to use as a way to communicate 1452 01:42:38,820 --> 01:42:43,410 ideas to his own son or half all the way around the world. Right? 1453 01:42:43,920 --> 01:42:47,910 So that inspired me to think maybe I have something more here 1454 01:42:47,910 --> 01:42:51,630 than just a family heirloom. And I let it sit for a year 1455 01:42:51,630 --> 01:42:55,110 because I didn't really. I knew I had to rethink how I 1456 01:42:55,110 --> 01:42:57,900 positioned the book so that someone who didn't know me might buy it. 1457 01:42:58,470 --> 01:43:00,990 It took me about a year. I redid the book. 1458 01:43:01,620 --> 01:43:04,590 Printed another hundred copies, sent them out into the world, 1459 01:43:04,590 --> 01:43:10,080 and through a friend who had written books, his literary agent liked it. 1460 01:43:10,080 --> 01:43:14,190 He gave it to this publishing house, and they kind of called me and said, 1461 01:43:14,190 --> 01:43:18,780 we want to sign you to a contract. And and then the book got we went 1462 01:43:18,780 --> 01:43:22,650 through an editing process and here it is. So that's the book. Great. 1463 01:43:23,040 --> 01:43:27,750 The book title, Greatness is is a choice you define as not a gift, 1464 01:43:27,750 --> 01:43:31,200 but an actual choice we can make throughout every day. 1465 01:43:31,650 --> 01:43:37,740 You go on to say the feeling of self-worth I enjoy is most most, 1466 01:43:37,740 --> 01:43:40,440 the most valuable thing I possess possess. 1467 01:43:40,440 --> 01:43:45,810 The question I want to ask is how do you walk the tightrope of self-worth? 1468 01:43:45,840 --> 01:43:52,150 Humility puts the. And arrogance. Also, please define hotspots 1469 01:43:52,150 --> 01:43:55,600 from your perspective and how it is different than arrogance. 1470 01:43:56,470 --> 01:44:01,030 Well, hotspot is a Yiddish word. Yes, and I would say chutzpah. 1471 01:44:01,930 --> 01:44:07,690 Is what I had. Leaned on so heavily to create 1472 01:44:07,690 --> 01:44:14,590 the CMS market, right? It's the belief in one's self. 1473 01:44:15,010 --> 01:44:21,580 In the face of essentially universal doubt that you can do something. 1474 01:44:22,450 --> 01:44:28,860 That no one else has ever done. That's the epitome of. That's right. 1475 01:44:30,060 --> 01:44:32,790 Does it border on arrogance? Yeah. For sure. 1476 01:44:32,970 --> 01:44:36,180 Did I kind of walk over the line once in a while in my life? 1477 01:44:36,240 --> 01:44:40,990 For sure, I'm sure I did. And that deals with one of my 1478 01:44:40,990 --> 01:44:44,800 favorite topics that I write in my book, a chapter called duality 1479 01:44:45,130 --> 01:44:52,630 and the fine line, as you suggest, of like balancing opposing ideas, 1480 01:44:52,630 --> 01:44:56,290 right? Humility and arrogance. Right? Opposing things. 1481 01:44:57,390 --> 01:45:01,800 Arrogance is a negatively connotation word, but so I might 1482 01:45:01,800 --> 01:45:07,710 choose humility and chutzpah or humility and high confidence. Right? 1483 01:45:07,710 --> 01:45:12,960 Because they seem like opposites, but they kind of have to coexist, 1484 01:45:12,960 --> 01:45:18,180 I think, to be a a fulfilled human being. 1485 01:45:18,270 --> 01:45:22,140 You have to have one foot in humility and one foot in, in high 1486 01:45:22,140 --> 01:45:25,470 degree of self-confidence, right? And willingness to say, I could do 1487 01:45:25,470 --> 01:45:28,650 what no one else has ever done. At the same time, be humble enough 1488 01:45:28,650 --> 01:45:35,250 to know I'm just a guy, right? And, uh, and that and that means 1489 01:45:35,250 --> 01:45:39,690 all that it means on the frailty and fragility and all that stuff 1490 01:45:39,690 --> 01:45:44,070 and knowing that. And I think this balancing act 1491 01:45:44,070 --> 01:45:47,910 that we have to walk, you know, think about I use this as a good 1492 01:45:47,910 --> 01:45:55,450 example of duality in my book, but. If if you realize how insignificant 1493 01:45:55,450 --> 01:45:58,390 you are and you're honest about it and you're like, okay, I'm just a 1494 01:45:58,390 --> 01:46:05,140 person, my lifespan is a flash, a flash in history, nothing I do 1495 01:46:05,140 --> 01:46:10,060 will ever be remembered, even seems. And maybe it'll exist, but they 1496 01:46:10,060 --> 01:46:16,450 won't remember me, and that's fine. And, and and I'm very insignificant. 1497 01:46:16,450 --> 01:46:19,750 Right. And I think from that you can 1498 01:46:19,750 --> 01:46:22,450 live a fruitful life. From that you can have real 1499 01:46:22,450 --> 01:46:26,980 relationships, from that you can. And not taking yourself so seriously. 1500 01:46:26,980 --> 01:46:31,390 You can be healthy in every way, and you can let yourself off the 1501 01:46:31,390 --> 01:46:33,730 hook when you fail, which is most of the time. 1502 01:46:34,300 --> 01:46:40,180 On the other hand, if you don't have confidence to 1503 01:46:40,180 --> 01:46:44,470 try things that are daring, you won't ever achieve anything. 1504 01:46:44,920 --> 01:46:49,900 And so you need to say, well. And so my father used the phrase 1505 01:46:50,410 --> 01:46:54,730 everyone puts their pants on one leg at a time. And that's a. 1506 01:46:55,060 --> 01:46:57,610 And today there's a less genteel way of saying that. 1507 01:46:57,610 --> 01:47:01,960 Yes, but that was the genteel generation, our parents generation. 1508 01:47:01,960 --> 01:47:06,820 And I never forgot that. And it inspired me that one. 1509 01:47:06,820 --> 01:47:13,090 What that means inspired me to know that even though I'm no better than 1510 01:47:13,090 --> 01:47:17,770 anybody else, and none of us are particularly great in the sense 1511 01:47:17,770 --> 01:47:22,450 that we're insignificant, we're also all created by the creator, 1512 01:47:22,450 --> 01:47:27,880 whatever that means to you. And so we are all also in. 1513 01:47:28,060 --> 01:47:33,100 We're also imbued with a lot of ability and and no one more than 1514 01:47:33,100 --> 01:47:37,120 me or you. We all have a lot. And why not try? 1515 01:47:37,420 --> 01:47:42,640 So I started my podcast to share wisdom of real estate leaders who 1516 01:47:42,640 --> 01:47:47,170 have experienced their careers with the early challenges and unknowns, 1517 01:47:47,170 --> 01:47:50,650 and found their way to success through a myriad of paths. 1518 01:47:51,530 --> 01:47:55,880 The reason I did it was to inspire the inner spirit of young people who 1519 01:47:55,880 --> 01:48:00,350 have the thirst for knowledge and understanding of not only what to do 1520 01:48:00,350 --> 01:48:05,000 and how to do it, but why they did it and what drove them to do it. 1521 01:48:05,790 --> 01:48:08,700 Is this similar to the understanding you encourage each of your 1522 01:48:08,700 --> 01:48:13,890 students and readers to take away? I think you said it really perfectly. 1523 01:48:13,890 --> 01:48:15,930 I wouldn't I wouldn't even. Think that at that. 1524 01:48:15,930 --> 01:48:20,670 Yes, the answer to that is yes. That's great. That's great. 1525 01:48:20,670 --> 01:48:23,970 I kind of figured that after reading your book that that was kind of 1526 01:48:23,970 --> 01:48:29,090 the message you were trying to. To leave so that allow someone else 1527 01:48:29,090 --> 01:48:33,530 more or less the the old metaphor of. You know, you learn how to. 1528 01:48:33,560 --> 01:48:37,550 You you give somebody fish or you teach them how to fish and 1529 01:48:37,550 --> 01:48:41,360 that that that whole metaphor. Yeah. Yeah, that's. What I mean. 1530 01:48:41,360 --> 01:48:45,500 The book is, is a call to awareness, right. 1531 01:48:45,500 --> 01:48:49,310 Call to thinking it's not, uh, it's not. 1532 01:48:49,310 --> 01:48:53,180 Here's Ethan's ideas being shoved down your throat. 1533 01:48:53,180 --> 01:48:55,920 That's absolutely not what it's about. Hmhm. 1534 01:48:57,680 --> 01:49:00,650 One of your books chapters discusses risk. 1535 01:49:01,340 --> 01:49:05,200 What is your gauge for risk look like? When you do. 1536 01:49:05,350 --> 01:49:08,950 When do you think something is too risky to proceed? 1537 01:49:09,760 --> 01:49:13,600 Can you cite an example of a difficult decision you made not 1538 01:49:13,600 --> 01:49:17,770 to proceed on something you thought was too risky, but turned 1539 01:49:17,770 --> 01:49:21,520 out to be a missed opportunity? Oh my God, 1540 01:49:21,520 --> 01:49:25,420 I have so many of those done. I can tell you what's one that 1541 01:49:25,420 --> 01:49:29,080 comes to mind that really was like, oh shit, I wish I had done that. 1542 01:49:29,440 --> 01:49:37,870 I mean, honestly, honestly, I have a lot of those. So one, um, one is. 1543 01:49:38,860 --> 01:49:43,810 We'll start with a kind of a missed opportunity that I have so many that 1544 01:49:43,810 --> 01:49:48,040 I chuckle about, but let's take one. So there is a guy who, 1545 01:49:48,040 --> 01:49:52,810 unfortunately, is sadly recently passed a guy named Gary Winnick. 1546 01:49:53,080 --> 01:49:57,130 I don't know if you've ever heard the name Gary. So no Gary Winick. 1547 01:49:58,140 --> 01:50:04,540 Um, grew up in Queens or Long Island, New York. And a born salesman. 1548 01:50:05,230 --> 01:50:08,740 So, not surprisingly, he found his way on Wall Street 1549 01:50:08,740 --> 01:50:14,590 to working for Michael Milken, who understood the value of a 1550 01:50:14,590 --> 01:50:19,480 born natural salesman and became an important part of the Milken 1551 01:50:19,480 --> 01:50:25,760 junk Bond machine at Drexel. Gary was a salesman. Right. 1552 01:50:25,760 --> 01:50:29,540 I would not have considered Gary. Financial sophisticate. 1553 01:50:29,960 --> 01:50:32,600 I would consider him more of a salesman and. 1554 01:50:33,230 --> 01:50:36,800 And a dreamer and a salesman. Also, a great salesman is also a 1555 01:50:36,800 --> 01:50:40,370 dreamer because they believe things that perhaps that can 1556 01:50:40,370 --> 01:50:43,250 happen that most people may be dismiss out of out of hand. 1557 01:50:44,120 --> 01:50:49,910 And Gary had a very successful career. And I knew Gary a bit. 1558 01:50:49,910 --> 01:50:52,460 We were both involved in philanthropy together. 1559 01:50:52,730 --> 01:50:56,420 He's a lovely, lovely guy as a personal guy, a nice family man. 1560 01:50:56,930 --> 01:51:00,260 He actually married his high school sweetheart, and when he died at 1561 01:51:00,260 --> 01:51:03,830 age 75, they've been married for, I want to say 50 plus years. 1562 01:51:04,100 --> 01:51:07,700 Mhm. Nice family. He died prematurely about 2 or 3 1563 01:51:07,700 --> 01:51:13,230 years ago. Sadly in his mid 70s. Gary called me when I was at 1564 01:51:13,230 --> 01:51:17,730 Nomura and I was king of the hill. And he said, I'm in New York 1565 01:51:17,730 --> 01:51:21,240 because I was living in New York. He was a lay guy, and he had moved 1566 01:51:21,240 --> 01:51:24,480 to LA with Mike, and he said, I want to buy your drink. 1567 01:51:24,480 --> 01:51:26,850 And I have a I have a deal. That is huge. 1568 01:51:27,480 --> 01:51:34,140 Okay, so I meet Gary and we're at the same Regis at the bar area in 1569 01:51:34,140 --> 01:51:39,300 the lounge, having a drink on a wintry evening, and I think I'd have 1570 01:51:39,300 --> 01:51:42,090 dinner to go to, but I, you know, had an hour to hang out with Gary. 1571 01:51:42,540 --> 01:51:48,840 And Gary tells me about his plan to lay undersea cable to connect 1572 01:51:48,840 --> 01:51:54,240 the European and the US continent. And I said to Gary and he said, 1573 01:51:54,240 --> 01:51:59,460 this is an incredible opportunity for securitization because it's real 1574 01:51:59,460 --> 01:52:03,360 estate in a sense. It's cash flows. And and you're the guy. 1575 01:52:03,930 --> 01:52:07,470 And I'm telling you, John, if I had said yes, yes, 1576 01:52:07,470 --> 01:52:11,130 I could have gotten it done. Yes, I could have probably gone. 1577 01:52:11,130 --> 01:52:15,090 Warrants for big part of Global Crossing, which is the company 1578 01:52:15,090 --> 01:52:18,930 he ended up creating. But instead I said, Harry, 1579 01:52:19,170 --> 01:52:21,960 you're a born salesman. What the hell do you know about 1580 01:52:21,960 --> 01:52:24,360 underwater cable? What are you talking about? 1581 01:52:25,170 --> 01:52:27,600 And I just kind of, like, dismissed it out of hand. 1582 01:52:27,600 --> 01:52:30,630 I thought, you know, Gary's kind of kooky. 1583 01:52:31,200 --> 01:52:35,250 He's too much of a dreamer for me. I'm making enough money. 1584 01:52:35,250 --> 01:52:37,080 I don't need this shit. You know what I mean? 1585 01:52:37,080 --> 01:52:39,750 It was one of those things that I just. 1586 01:52:40,380 --> 01:52:44,040 I just said no out of hand without thinking about it more carefully, 1587 01:52:44,040 --> 01:52:49,890 without even, you know, the the the the older, more wiser, 1588 01:52:49,890 --> 01:52:53,370 more mature version of me. So I had plenty of people would 1589 01:52:53,370 --> 01:52:56,280 have thrown two smart people at it and said, Gary, 1590 01:52:56,310 --> 01:52:59,880 meet with my two smart people, give them all the information. 1591 01:52:59,880 --> 01:53:03,330 We're going to dive really deep into this and see literally. 1592 01:53:04,170 --> 01:53:07,950 Yeah, literally. I said I was too busy to get on 1593 01:53:07,950 --> 01:53:10,260 to my dinner and just like, you know what, Gary? 1594 01:53:10,620 --> 01:53:13,350 No, this is not going to that's not going to work for me. 1595 01:53:13,350 --> 01:53:18,270 I'm not interested. And within, I don't know, a year. 1596 01:53:18,540 --> 01:53:22,290 Global crossing was a large public company, and Gary was worth $10 1597 01:53:22,290 --> 01:53:27,060 billion at a time when $10 billion really mattered. It was a big deal. 1598 01:53:27,390 --> 01:53:29,730 And to his credit, I mean, we were made friends. 1599 01:53:29,730 --> 01:53:31,590 He never held it against me that I said no. 1600 01:53:31,590 --> 01:53:34,860 Obviously he did fine without me. But when you talk about missed 1601 01:53:34,860 --> 01:53:39,990 opportunities and being dismissive of another person's dreams, 1602 01:53:39,990 --> 01:53:42,360 which is really not what I'm known for, like I'm actually 1603 01:53:42,360 --> 01:53:47,340 known in our industry as being a facilitator of people's dreams. 1604 01:53:47,340 --> 01:53:50,730 And yeah, so proud of that, John, because I am that. 1605 01:53:50,730 --> 01:53:55,140 But in that one moment, right. Caught me in a moment where I was 1606 01:53:55,140 --> 01:54:00,420 dismissive, I had become I'd become maybe too big for my own britches. 1607 01:54:00,420 --> 01:54:04,950 I didn't, I didn't, you know, I just I think that's one of the risks of 1608 01:54:04,950 --> 01:54:09,810 success is becoming more closed. And I think that and it's it's 1609 01:54:09,810 --> 01:54:13,740 also one of the risks of aging. And, you know, I've gotten I've 1610 01:54:13,740 --> 01:54:17,430 been blessed to have some nice things said about me in my life. 1611 01:54:17,430 --> 01:54:19,800 I would say one of the ones that I treasure the most, 1612 01:54:19,800 --> 01:54:22,920 like the compliment. I have a couple compliments that I've 1613 01:54:22,920 --> 01:54:26,940 gotten that really meant something very, very, very important to me. 1614 01:54:27,030 --> 01:54:34,290 My first born son, Daniel, once said to me not that long ago that the 1615 01:54:34,290 --> 01:54:39,750 thing he is most impressed with me about is my openness to change. 1616 01:54:39,750 --> 01:54:43,110 And he said most people at a certain age and a certain level 1617 01:54:43,110 --> 01:54:47,190 of success become closed. And they stop learning and they 1618 01:54:47,190 --> 01:54:51,120 stop becoming inquisitive and they stop growing as human beings. Yeah. 1619 01:54:51,120 --> 01:54:54,960 And and I think, of course, we both are old enough to know, 1620 01:54:54,960 --> 01:54:58,320 and I've seen that happen in generations older than us and, 1621 01:54:58,320 --> 01:55:01,320 and now in our generation. And I'm not that way. 1622 01:55:01,320 --> 01:55:05,190 I am naturally the person who says, I want to learn from everyone. 1623 01:55:05,520 --> 01:55:08,700 I mean, I'm a yes guy. I'm open to change. 1624 01:55:08,700 --> 01:55:11,040 I'm open to believing I'm wrong about something. 1625 01:55:11,430 --> 01:55:15,420 But that day, that stupid day that Gary caught me, I wasn't in 1626 01:55:15,420 --> 01:55:18,480 the mood to learn anything new. And I wasn't in the mood to 1627 01:55:18,480 --> 01:55:22,380 believing in Gary's dreams, and I. I paid a significant financial 1628 01:55:22,380 --> 01:55:26,270 price for that. But it wasn't risk that it was. 1629 01:55:26,570 --> 01:55:29,090 No, it would have been. It wasn't. Risk for. 1630 01:55:29,090 --> 01:55:32,240 You and had nothing to do with risk. Well, I guess we talk about risk 1631 01:55:32,240 --> 01:55:36,620 in the sense of money lost. John. Yeah, I think that we I think 1632 01:55:36,620 --> 01:55:42,320 that money is only one resource we measure. Time is much higher. 1633 01:55:42,350 --> 01:55:45,200 That's the. Biggest thing. Yeah. And so I didn't want to risk 1634 01:55:45,200 --> 01:55:49,670 time on Gary and his wacky Global Crossing idea. 1635 01:55:49,760 --> 01:55:53,240 And I also didn't want to risk reputation. Right. 1636 01:55:53,240 --> 01:55:56,930 Like, okay, you know, maybe I get involved in this and it blows up. 1637 01:55:56,930 --> 01:56:00,620 And, you know, my beautiful reputation is tarnished a bit. 1638 01:56:00,620 --> 01:56:03,470 I don't know what it was that caused me to be dismissive. 1639 01:56:03,470 --> 01:56:07,370 I think it was mostly I just didn't really think he was the guy to pull 1640 01:56:07,370 --> 01:56:11,390 it off. Well, um, and in your. Position at Nomura, 1641 01:56:11,600 --> 01:56:15,590 that that investment to me is not a real estate investment. 1642 01:56:15,590 --> 01:56:20,000 That's, that's, you know, yeah, that's an entrepreneurial, you know, 1643 01:56:20,000 --> 01:56:22,040 venture capital type of investment. Well. 1644 01:56:22,460 --> 01:56:25,730 I think the way he framed it, which was correct, correct way to 1645 01:56:25,730 --> 01:56:29,780 frame it, is that there would be cash flows I could securitize. 1646 01:56:29,960 --> 01:56:33,320 And so while while technically it wasn't real estate. 1647 01:56:34,350 --> 01:56:36,120 You know, I could have pulled it off through 1648 01:56:36,120 --> 01:56:39,960 the securitization window that I, that I played with in and I could, 1649 01:56:40,080 --> 01:56:43,980 I could have made something happen, but I just did I just didn't I was 1650 01:56:43,980 --> 01:56:48,510 dismissive. Right. It's a band play. I mean, it was a bond investment, 1651 01:56:48,510 --> 01:56:51,300 but not necessarily secured by real estate per se, I don't know. 1652 01:56:51,570 --> 01:56:54,090 Yeah, that would be a tough security to sell, 1653 01:56:54,090 --> 01:56:58,140 I think if you're just securing it as cables underneath the ocean. 1654 01:56:58,140 --> 01:57:02,790 But yeah, but if you have if you. Have credit contracts you could do 1655 01:57:02,790 --> 01:57:06,300 it. There was ways. To do it. Yeah. I just didn't even want to spend a 1656 01:57:06,300 --> 01:57:11,460 minute on it. I got it. That's cool. So it's interesting that you 1657 01:57:11,460 --> 01:57:16,710 suggest not to share your your unreserved opinions. 1658 01:57:17,370 --> 01:57:21,180 And you have very few citations in the book and no footnotes or 1659 01:57:21,180 --> 01:57:24,660 a bibliography. What are your favorite books and 1660 01:57:24,660 --> 01:57:28,860 authors other than the Bible? Who has influenced your thinking? 1661 01:57:30,600 --> 01:57:35,490 Without question, I. I'll tell you who I love and then who 1662 01:57:35,490 --> 01:57:40,340 I admire. I and both I mean both. Hermann Hesse. 1663 01:57:40,760 --> 01:57:47,450 Yes, I love and admire. I mean, I am. I adore his books. 1664 01:57:47,750 --> 01:57:51,440 Maybe not every one of them. The Glass Bead Game was a bit hard 1665 01:57:51,440 --> 01:57:57,140 to penetrate. But. But siddartha. I think it's the finest book ever 1666 01:57:57,140 --> 01:58:00,590 written. And I read it as a teenager. And then I picked it up again 1667 01:58:00,590 --> 01:58:03,050 last year. And when I read it as a teenager, 1668 01:58:03,050 --> 01:58:07,660 I really liked it. What if I was simplistic and now 1669 01:58:07,660 --> 01:58:12,520 with the benefit of age? I read it again last year and I 1670 01:58:12,520 --> 01:58:17,080 thought I didn't really get it fully or appreciated its. 1671 01:58:17,650 --> 01:58:20,740 Here's why I think it's the greatest book ever written, and I didn't think 1672 01:58:20,740 --> 01:58:25,090 it when I first read it, because when I read it as a 61 year old man 1673 01:58:25,090 --> 01:58:30,730 versus a 15 or 16 year old young man, I got completely different messages 1674 01:58:30,730 --> 01:58:34,000 and understandings out of it. I think that's a sign of a great 1675 01:58:34,000 --> 01:58:36,820 book, right? That you can be the same person. 1676 01:58:36,820 --> 01:58:40,330 Ethan Penner can read it at different stages of life and 1677 01:58:40,330 --> 01:58:44,230 appreciated both times, but really understand different things. 1678 01:58:44,230 --> 01:58:46,750 And I hope my book is that way, I really do. 1679 01:58:46,750 --> 01:58:49,840 I hope my book is something that is readable. 1680 01:58:49,840 --> 01:58:55,450 It is readable by a 12 year old, and it's also readable by a 70 year old. 1681 01:58:55,450 --> 01:58:58,390 And I believe that they'll get different things and both value 1682 01:58:58,390 --> 01:59:02,320 out of it. So, so Siddartha my favorite book. 1683 01:59:02,500 --> 01:59:04,450 I think that's the best book I've ever read. 1684 01:59:04,720 --> 01:59:10,030 My favorite book of his two is Narcissus and Goldman, 1685 01:59:10,030 --> 01:59:15,250 which is just a a beautiful story about life's journey. 1686 01:59:15,250 --> 01:59:20,170 And, um, it's just so well written and it's so smart and there's so 1687 01:59:20,170 --> 01:59:24,220 much great philosophical underpinnings to the story. 1688 01:59:24,490 --> 01:59:27,760 The characters are incredible, the settings amazing. 1689 01:59:27,760 --> 01:59:30,910 It's medieval Europe, it was beautiful. 1690 01:59:30,910 --> 01:59:35,350 So I loved those two books. I really I really admire George 1691 01:59:35,350 --> 01:59:38,080 Orwell. I mean, those two books are timeless, 1692 01:59:38,080 --> 01:59:42,070 and I frequently say when people ask me, how's your book sales 1693 01:59:42,070 --> 01:59:44,470 going right now? We're 2 or 3 weeks after the 1694 01:59:44,470 --> 01:59:48,340 launch of my, you know, the official availability of my book 1695 01:59:48,340 --> 01:59:50,980 to be bought, how book sales going? And I always say. 1696 01:59:51,880 --> 01:59:55,960 George Orwell's books probably didn't hit bestseller lists the 1697 01:59:55,960 --> 02:00:00,010 first year they were out, you know? But here we are, 70 or 80 years 1698 02:00:00,010 --> 02:00:03,310 after they were written, and they're probably selling more 1699 02:00:03,310 --> 02:00:07,600 today than they've ever sold. And I think that I want my book 1700 02:00:07,600 --> 02:00:10,390 to have a journey. I don't know why George Orwell is 1701 02:00:10,390 --> 02:00:14,980 in the best case, where it's merit based, where people buy my book 1702 02:00:14,980 --> 02:00:19,660 and they read it and they say, man, this is really good reading 1703 02:00:19,660 --> 02:00:23,140 and I learned so much from it. I want to pass it on to people. 1704 02:00:23,140 --> 02:00:26,680 And then word of mouth carries it. I think so much of marketing today, 1705 02:00:26,680 --> 02:00:30,760 John, is just gimmicky to stuff jam people, 1706 02:00:30,760 --> 02:00:35,770 stuff things down people's throats, trick them into buying stuff. 1707 02:00:35,770 --> 02:00:38,230 George Orwell's books were not distributed that way, 1708 02:00:38,230 --> 02:00:42,460 and neither will my book be. And I pray that if I wrote 1709 02:00:42,460 --> 02:00:46,240 something valuable that 50 and 70 years from now, my descendants 1710 02:00:46,240 --> 02:00:49,390 would be proud to say, you know, my great grandfather wrote this 1711 02:00:49,390 --> 02:00:52,690 book and look, look at it. It's really helping people today. 1712 02:00:52,870 --> 02:00:57,160 So George Orwell's two books are inspirational. They're brilliant. 1713 02:00:57,160 --> 02:01:01,240 He was an amazing man, a brilliant man, and I love his books. 1714 02:01:01,240 --> 02:01:04,780 Ayn Rand is a controversial writer today. 1715 02:01:04,780 --> 02:01:09,040 It's fashionable to dislike her amongst young people today, because 1716 02:01:09,250 --> 02:01:15,460 she was pretty harsh about expecting excellence out of people and when 1717 02:01:15,460 --> 02:01:19,270 they didn't produce excellence being, I don't know, quick to kind of 1718 02:01:19,270 --> 02:01:23,200 toss them into the trash can, so to speak, in her judgment. 1719 02:01:23,650 --> 02:01:27,910 But I think she did something that has never been done before or since, 1720 02:01:27,910 --> 02:01:33,520 which is she wrote two, not one 2000 plus page books that 1721 02:01:33,520 --> 02:01:37,300 are literal page on page turners. You know, like whether you agree with 1722 02:01:37,300 --> 02:01:41,980 her ideology or you find faults in her ideology. What a storyteller. 1723 02:01:42,100 --> 02:01:48,310 I mean, incredible storyteller. She really was amazing to write 1724 02:01:48,310 --> 02:01:54,430 those two incredible books. And look, I find that there, uh, 1725 02:01:54,670 --> 02:01:59,540 most of what she. Believes, and her story's kind 1726 02:01:59,540 --> 02:02:04,580 of told philosophically resonate very positively with me. 1727 02:02:04,910 --> 02:02:07,850 Do I think she maybe missed a few things? 1728 02:02:07,850 --> 02:02:13,700 Yes, I do, but by and large, I would recommend those books to anybody. 1729 02:02:13,700 --> 02:02:17,510 They're worth the thousand page read. And that that says a lot. 1730 02:02:17,510 --> 02:02:20,900 Because you know me, I'm a brevity lover and I wrote a 1731 02:02:20,900 --> 02:02:26,600 short because I'm a brevity lover. Her books are kind of out there 1732 02:02:26,600 --> 02:02:30,380 outstanding long books. So I would say those books. 1733 02:02:31,390 --> 02:02:34,450 Um, great. Are important to me. Those are important. 1734 02:02:34,870 --> 02:02:39,490 One mindset you bring up is the potential for magic. Mhm. 1735 02:02:39,610 --> 02:02:43,690 Your reference to helping most unmet needs of others will 1736 02:02:43,690 --> 02:02:46,420 richly reward you. What is the most daunting 1737 02:02:46,420 --> 02:02:50,440 challenge you took and how and why did it turn out the way it did? 1738 02:02:53,200 --> 02:02:57,130 The most daunting challenge that I've ever taken in my life. 1739 02:03:01,450 --> 02:03:04,270 I would say it's a tie between two things. 1740 02:03:05,050 --> 02:03:11,630 Getting married a second time. In the face of the anecdotal evidence 1741 02:03:11,630 --> 02:03:15,560 that I experienced in my marriage and my parents marriage, that marriage 1742 02:03:15,560 --> 02:03:19,610 isn't really such a great spot. Or at least I'm not really good 1743 02:03:19,610 --> 02:03:25,630 at it. That's a courage. And committing and really 1744 02:03:25,630 --> 02:03:29,740 learning how to commit myself to being a good partner in marriage, 1745 02:03:29,740 --> 02:03:33,790 which I only recently feel I'm beginning to actually figure out. 1746 02:03:33,790 --> 02:03:37,660 After being with my wife for 24 years and being married, 1747 02:03:37,660 --> 02:03:42,940 or with my first wife for 17. So I think that is a courageous 1748 02:03:42,940 --> 02:03:48,010 thing to do to to be vulnerable and committed, really committed 1749 02:03:48,010 --> 02:03:53,920 in a marriage. It takes courage. I also adopted a boy from Ethiopia 1750 02:03:54,760 --> 02:03:59,220 and that takes courage to. To to really just say. 1751 02:04:00,990 --> 02:04:05,490 I'm going to make this work. You know, it's hard to raise kids 1752 02:04:06,690 --> 02:04:10,470 even when they're your own biological kids, right? We all know that. Mhm. 1753 02:04:11,280 --> 02:04:16,050 Um, and it is harder to raise kids who are adopted from other 1754 02:04:16,050 --> 02:04:22,350 cultures and other circumstances. Yeah. And it takes courage. 1755 02:04:23,100 --> 02:04:29,990 But you know what? It takes courage. To just bring your best every day, 1756 02:04:29,990 --> 02:04:31,820 which is really what my book is about. 1757 02:04:31,820 --> 02:04:38,960 My book is about kind of demystifying greatness, which we tend to assign 1758 02:04:38,960 --> 02:04:44,120 to a rarefied group of people. We tend to agree that our athletic 1759 02:04:44,120 --> 02:04:49,670 heroes are great, or we tend to agree that whoever our heroes 1760 02:04:49,670 --> 02:04:54,290 are great and we tend to ascribe their greatness to genetic gifts, 1761 02:04:54,290 --> 02:05:00,170 perhaps, or to some better than human attributes that they possess, 1762 02:05:00,170 --> 02:05:04,130 that we don't possess. And we let ourselves we 1763 02:05:04,130 --> 02:05:07,640 shortchange ourselves when we when we allow that definition to 1764 02:05:07,640 --> 02:05:11,510 be our governing definition. And I think my book is a direct 1765 02:05:11,690 --> 02:05:16,400 rebuttal of that definition. My book is a direct challenge to 1766 02:05:16,400 --> 02:05:19,550 me personally and to everyone who reads it. 1767 02:05:21,000 --> 02:05:23,940 To find the greatness within themselves. 1768 02:05:24,570 --> 02:05:27,600 Not in the same way that people think about greatness, 1769 02:05:27,600 --> 02:05:30,870 which is typically like a lifetime achievement, like created CMS. 1770 02:05:30,870 --> 02:05:34,380 And therefore I'm great. That's not what I think about 1771 02:05:34,380 --> 02:05:40,650 when I think about greatness. I think about, did I show up on time? 1772 02:05:41,730 --> 02:05:45,840 I'm honoring the person who was investing the only thing of 1773 02:05:45,840 --> 02:05:48,960 value in their life, which is their life, their time. 1774 02:05:49,050 --> 02:05:54,810 And I didn't make them. Wait. Did I show up and give 100% to 1775 02:05:54,810 --> 02:05:58,860 them in that encounter? Am I here with you and the people 1776 02:05:58,860 --> 02:06:02,160 who are listening and investing? The only thing of value in your in 1777 02:06:02,160 --> 02:06:05,250 their life, which is their time? Did I give them some value? 1778 02:06:05,250 --> 02:06:10,710 Did I bring my 100% best self to this moment? If I did, I'm great. 1779 02:06:11,160 --> 02:06:14,280 There you go. Did I cook a hamburger for my 1780 02:06:14,280 --> 02:06:19,140 child and really, really try to make it a delicious hamburger? 1781 02:06:19,140 --> 02:06:21,690 Or did I just mail in the effort? Right? 1782 02:06:21,690 --> 02:06:25,830 And if I did the former, I brought my greatness to that moment. 1783 02:06:25,830 --> 02:06:30,060 And when they tasted that hamburger, that greatness will elevate them 1784 02:06:30,060 --> 02:06:33,030 in that moment. Just as I hope this encounter with 1785 02:06:33,030 --> 02:06:36,480 you and your audience elevates as well, because I think greatness, 1786 02:06:36,480 --> 02:06:40,050 we all have that magic. And when we touch it and we share 1787 02:06:40,050 --> 02:06:43,710 it with other people, it's an elevated moment for everybody. 1788 02:06:44,220 --> 02:06:47,010 And the ripple effect of that, I think, can be profound. 1789 02:06:47,760 --> 02:06:50,310 One of my favorite sections in your book is fulfilling 1790 02:06:50,310 --> 02:06:54,960 Potential is Fulfilling. Yeah. Your dad said that there is no 1791 02:06:54,960 --> 02:06:57,840 greater sin than unfulfilled potential. 1792 02:06:57,960 --> 02:07:02,130 Learning your skills and talents and maximizing them in work you 1793 02:07:02,130 --> 02:07:05,130 love is fulfilling. How did you come to learn this 1794 02:07:05,130 --> 02:07:07,740 lesson? Did the concept of fulfillment 1795 02:07:07,740 --> 02:07:12,570 change for you over your life? Well, I think fulfilling 1796 02:07:12,570 --> 02:07:17,220 potential is a very tricky thing, and that concept of fulfilling my 1797 02:07:17,220 --> 02:07:21,720 potential continues to evolve. And I understand now that as it 1798 02:07:21,720 --> 02:07:29,550 should. Um. I kind of found myself in my career, 1799 02:07:29,550 --> 02:07:35,370 like many people do by default. It was the only job I got, right. 1800 02:07:35,370 --> 02:07:38,220 You know, I got this job in the mortgage lending business. 1801 02:07:39,020 --> 02:07:42,470 Not because I liked mortgage lending or even knew what it was. 1802 02:07:42,500 --> 02:07:45,440 It was just the first job I got offered in a recessionary moment 1803 02:07:45,440 --> 02:07:48,500 and I took it. And I've been trying to get out 1804 02:07:48,500 --> 02:07:51,560 of the industry pretty much ever since that first job, 1805 02:07:51,560 --> 02:07:54,620 and I just can't get out. Finally, 1806 02:07:54,620 --> 02:07:57,170 I wrote a book is a philosopher, so maybe I'll be out now. 1807 02:07:57,170 --> 02:08:01,280 But but I've been trying to get out my whole life and and find 1808 02:08:01,280 --> 02:08:04,670 other potential because I know I have it like I'm. 1809 02:08:04,670 --> 02:08:10,520 I'm not a mortgage guy. I'm. I'm human. I've got other qualities. 1810 02:08:10,520 --> 02:08:16,010 And so when I'm seeing through the prism of he even the highest level, 1811 02:08:16,010 --> 02:08:19,250 he created the modern mortgage market. 1812 02:08:19,250 --> 02:08:22,190 But that sounds pretty damn good. But I still hear it as he's a 1813 02:08:22,190 --> 02:08:25,910 mortgage guy and I like I'm not a mortgage guy. I'm more than that. 1814 02:08:25,910 --> 02:08:29,450 I'm different than that. And so what is my potential? 1815 02:08:29,750 --> 02:08:33,890 But then I realized, so I kind of fought that fight 1816 02:08:33,890 --> 02:08:37,580 internally through my career. And at some point along that, 1817 02:08:38,120 --> 02:08:41,300 that journey of fighting, that fight internally, 1818 02:08:41,870 --> 02:08:48,680 I began to realize that it's not at all important what we do, 1819 02:08:49,070 --> 02:08:53,720 but how we do it. Like I said. So it didn't matter whether I was 1820 02:08:53,720 --> 02:08:59,870 a mortgage guy, a widget guy, an actor or writer, it didn't matter. 1821 02:08:59,870 --> 02:09:05,150 And it doesn't matter because those are just vehicles for being me. 1822 02:09:05,360 --> 02:09:09,080 There you go. And it's just an excuse to bring me. 1823 02:09:09,440 --> 02:09:12,890 And do I bring me great. Or do I bring me shitty? 1824 02:09:13,010 --> 02:09:15,140 That's the fulfilling of potential. That's cool. 1825 02:09:15,740 --> 02:09:19,490 Another concept that resonates with me is your ripple effect. 1826 02:09:20,360 --> 02:09:24,680 The impact on one life positively affects the entire world. 1827 02:09:25,070 --> 02:09:28,940 It is the exact principle behind the community I built and why. 1828 02:09:28,940 --> 02:09:33,740 Even if it grows to be hundreds, I still want to meet each one 1829 02:09:33,740 --> 02:09:38,210 prior to joining the community. My guess is it's one of the reasons 1830 02:09:38,210 --> 02:09:44,270 you write the role of the book. Yeah. I there's a Jewish teaching. 1831 02:09:44,450 --> 02:09:48,530 I don't know, it's probably. More broadly accepted. 1832 02:09:48,530 --> 02:09:51,590 Although I learned it in the context of Jewish teaching, I'm sure it's 1833 02:09:51,590 --> 02:09:54,440 taught in Christian teaching, and other other religions. 1834 02:09:54,440 --> 02:10:00,140 Do that to have saved one life or have two positively impacted 1835 02:10:00,140 --> 02:10:03,890 one life is as though you've saved the whole world. 1836 02:10:04,100 --> 02:10:08,360 And as I say in my book, I always thought that was like, 1837 02:10:08,360 --> 02:10:12,860 you know, some kind of you tell that myth to children, you know? 1838 02:10:12,860 --> 02:10:17,660 And but I really understand that there's math behind that. 1839 02:10:17,870 --> 02:10:20,540 So when I was thinking about how do I market my book, right? 1840 02:10:20,540 --> 02:10:23,870 I mean, I'm somewhat known in certain fields, right? 1841 02:10:23,870 --> 02:10:27,860 I somewhat known in real estate, I'm somewhat known in finance. 1842 02:10:27,950 --> 02:10:31,700 And there's plenty of people I can sell my book to or introduce my book 1843 02:10:31,700 --> 02:10:35,120 to in the fields that I'm known. But nobody outside of those 1844 02:10:35,120 --> 02:10:38,270 fields really knows me at all. And I'm thinking, well, 1845 02:10:38,270 --> 02:10:41,690 how do you sell your book? Right? That challenge of I wrote a book. 1846 02:10:41,690 --> 02:10:46,100 I'm pretty proud of it. And I started to think about, 1847 02:10:46,100 --> 02:10:51,890 you know, this compound doing math. And I realized that if I can 1848 02:10:51,890 --> 02:10:57,920 persuade 15 people, 15 to become missionaries for my book. 1849 02:10:59,270 --> 02:11:02,600 Well, everyone knows 15 people. They can arm twist everyone, 1850 02:11:02,600 --> 02:11:04,760 right? We all do. I think I know more than 15, 1851 02:11:04,760 --> 02:11:10,280 but we all know everyone knows 15. And then if they each in turn 1852 02:11:10,640 --> 02:11:14,880 arm twist 15 people. And if that goes on, 1853 02:11:14,880 --> 02:11:18,780 eight times 2.5 billion people will have bought my book. 1854 02:11:19,020 --> 02:11:21,330 Well, eight times doesn't seem like a lot. 1855 02:11:21,360 --> 02:11:25,410 Okay, but but compounding is pretty damn powerful. 1856 02:11:25,920 --> 02:11:28,680 Well, that got me thinking because I started thinking about it in 1857 02:11:28,680 --> 02:11:32,220 the context of buying my book. It got me thinking about 1858 02:11:32,880 --> 02:11:37,050 touching a person, right? This this ripple effect that's 1859 02:11:37,050 --> 02:11:43,960 not just about buying a book, but being influenced. So. You. 1860 02:11:43,960 --> 02:11:47,770 Let's say I use this example because I actually thought of 1861 02:11:47,770 --> 02:11:52,450 this in a particular moment. I was in Austria with a friend, 1862 02:11:52,840 --> 02:11:59,620 and I over tipped the waitress and the friend said to me, I don't know. 1863 02:12:01,470 --> 02:12:06,600 Didn't agree with my over tipping. Maybe the maybe the waitress wasn't 1864 02:12:06,600 --> 02:12:10,800 as good in that person's mind as I thought. Whatever it was. 1865 02:12:10,950 --> 02:12:15,960 And I said to the person, you know, I'm not going to miss the amount that 1866 02:12:15,960 --> 02:12:21,990 I'm over tipping this individual. But if this over tipping puts that 1867 02:12:21,990 --> 02:12:27,090 waitress in a kinder, better, happier frame of mind, you know, 1868 02:12:27,090 --> 02:12:33,270 having to be a very busy place in Vienna, imagine how her elevated 1869 02:12:33,270 --> 02:12:39,870 state of happiness because of this over tipping will influence 1870 02:12:40,530 --> 02:12:44,460 the 100 or 200 people she serves that rest of that day. 1871 02:12:44,670 --> 02:12:50,490 And then if they walk away because her spirit has elevated, 1872 02:12:50,880 --> 02:12:55,740 they're now a little elevated. And imagine what that ripple effect 1873 02:12:55,740 --> 02:13:00,900 of this extra 10 or 20 bucks that I've tipped her, that maybe is not 1874 02:13:00,900 --> 02:13:05,010 beyond what she was expecting. It's a cheap way to elevate the 1875 02:13:05,010 --> 02:13:07,890 world. You know what I mean? And I thought, it's amazing, right? 1876 02:13:07,890 --> 02:13:15,660 So I do believe that we underestimate the impact, both positive and even 1877 02:13:15,660 --> 02:13:22,410 negative, that we have in our own little way of touching people 1878 02:13:22,410 --> 02:13:27,600 and how broadly that can ripple. So Julius Erving, Doctor Jay wrote 1879 02:13:27,600 --> 02:13:32,100 the foreword of your book saying that you were an inspiration to him. 1880 02:13:32,520 --> 02:13:35,610 Is he one of your idols? Who else is an idol? 1881 02:13:35,880 --> 02:13:40,170 Either someone you know or not or not and why? 1882 02:13:40,170 --> 02:13:43,080 What characteristics and others do you most admire? 1883 02:13:44,580 --> 02:13:50,600 Well, my my number one idol. And role model that I grabbed 1884 02:13:50,600 --> 02:13:53,690 when I was a teenager as being my role model. 1885 02:13:54,140 --> 02:13:58,760 But I wanted to kind of pattern my myself after as a person was 1886 02:13:58,760 --> 02:14:03,800 a fictitious character played by Humphrey Bogart in Casablanca named 1887 02:14:03,800 --> 02:14:09,390 Rick. Rick aka. I mean, why not? I mean, if we're going to pick a. 1888 02:14:09,510 --> 02:14:11,430 Model that. Doesn't have to be real people, 1889 02:14:11,430 --> 02:14:18,300 you. Know? No. So I. Picked Rick. From Casablanca because Rick was the 1890 02:14:18,300 --> 02:14:26,790 embodiment of many things that I held and continue to hold very, very dear. 1891 02:14:26,820 --> 02:14:33,930 One is, he was understated and and modest and humble. 1892 02:14:34,320 --> 02:14:41,130 He was funny and self-effacing. He was successful. He was kind. 1893 02:14:41,760 --> 02:14:46,780 He thought about other people. Um. He was. 1894 02:14:46,780 --> 02:14:51,790 He made sacrifices for other people. He was. Chivalrous. 1895 02:14:52,510 --> 02:14:55,720 He was courageous. You know, he had every attribute. 1896 02:14:55,720 --> 02:14:58,870 If you asked me to check, make a checklist of attributes 1897 02:14:58,870 --> 02:15:02,770 that I would love to embody. I think Rick covered most all of 1898 02:15:02,770 --> 02:15:07,810 them in a way that I've never seen, even a fictitious character cover. 1899 02:15:07,810 --> 02:15:13,420 So? So Rick's my hero. He remains. He's been my hero since I met him as 1900 02:15:13,420 --> 02:15:18,880 a viewer of Casablanca in my early teens, and nothing has changed. 1901 02:15:18,880 --> 02:15:23,680 And I probably watch Casablanca at the very least once a year to 1902 02:15:23,680 --> 02:15:29,470 just meet and revisit. Rick and I still cry at the 1903 02:15:30,010 --> 02:15:36,610 incredible generosity of spirit that he displays when he sends the love 1904 02:15:36,610 --> 02:15:41,320 of his life off with her husband, in spite of the fact she has no 1905 02:15:41,320 --> 02:15:43,990 love for her husband because it was the right thing to do. 1906 02:15:44,750 --> 02:15:49,190 And and I try to do the right thing too. And I think inspired by Rick. 1907 02:15:49,760 --> 02:15:51,710 That's great. There's nobody who's a close 1908 02:15:51,710 --> 02:15:54,680 second to Rick, you know, because everybody else is real and 1909 02:15:54,680 --> 02:15:59,720 human with full of flaws, just like you and me. Right? But I do. 1910 02:15:59,720 --> 02:16:03,860 I do have tremendous admiration for Julius. 1911 02:16:04,070 --> 02:16:11,000 I met Julius when I was 35 years old. So 28 or 29 almost, you know, 1912 02:16:11,000 --> 02:16:16,940 years ago, and hit it off really, really well and became fast friends. 1913 02:16:16,940 --> 02:16:20,390 Best friends. And I've got to see Julius. 1914 02:16:22,450 --> 02:16:28,120 I mean many, many, many, many, many times in the public domain where 1915 02:16:28,120 --> 02:16:35,290 his size and music seven and his visibility and his fame attracts 1916 02:16:35,710 --> 02:16:42,740 continual and ever present attention. And I've never seen him act anything 1917 02:16:42,740 --> 02:16:51,830 but gracefully and kind and patiently and respectfully to every overture, 1918 02:16:51,830 --> 02:16:54,770 you know. Can I take a picture? Can I have a hug? 1919 02:16:54,800 --> 02:16:58,190 Can I have an autograph? Let me tell you about the story 1920 02:16:58,190 --> 02:17:01,790 about how you played this game. And I'll never forget. And. 1921 02:17:02,450 --> 02:17:06,110 And the guy's amazing, you know? And I've been around. 1922 02:17:07,250 --> 02:17:12,200 Uh, celebrities, famous people. Nobody's even close, right? 1923 02:17:12,230 --> 02:17:15,830 I mean, he is really commendable in his humanity. 1924 02:17:15,830 --> 02:17:19,700 His humanness is his generosity of spirit. 1925 02:17:20,270 --> 02:17:24,860 He's a beautiful, beautiful person. And I'm so proud that he's my 1926 02:17:24,860 --> 02:17:27,320 friend and that he was willing to write that for. 1927 02:17:27,860 --> 02:17:32,060 One of the first professional basketball games I ever saw was. 1928 02:17:32,970 --> 02:17:35,340 He was playing for the Philadelphia 76 ers. 1929 02:17:35,340 --> 02:17:39,840 And I was I grew up in Detroit. So I was the Pistons and the Sixers. 1930 02:17:40,290 --> 02:17:44,280 And I'll never forget when he came down the court. 1931 02:17:44,670 --> 02:17:49,230 He his he would come off the ground literally at the top of the key. 1932 02:17:49,950 --> 02:17:54,060 Yeah. And fly through the air and slam 1933 02:17:54,060 --> 02:17:56,220 the door. I've never seen anything like it. 1934 02:17:56,220 --> 02:18:00,300 And I've seen Michael Jordan play. And I didn't see Jordan even do that. 1935 02:18:00,300 --> 02:18:04,350 So yeah, I would tell you, John, that, you know, because your 1936 02:18:04,350 --> 02:18:08,280 listeners are generally young and many of them have never they've 1937 02:18:08,280 --> 02:18:12,150 heard the name Julius Erving and maybe they've seen him speak, 1938 02:18:12,150 --> 02:18:15,330 maybe they've seen a highlight of him and 1 or 2 shots. 1939 02:18:16,190 --> 02:18:21,170 But the Julius Erving that really was something to behold was before 1940 02:18:21,170 --> 02:18:24,980 the time you referenced when he was a new Jersey net? Mhm. 1941 02:18:25,310 --> 02:18:29,030 Uh, and he was a new Jersey net. I think the ABA, 1942 02:18:29,780 --> 02:18:33,860 Julius Erving caused the merger between the ABA and the NBA because 1943 02:18:33,860 --> 02:18:37,370 the NBA needed they know it's true. They needed Julius Erving in 1944 02:18:37,370 --> 02:18:40,490 their league. Their league was not valid without. 1945 02:18:40,730 --> 02:18:45,050 I mean how could you be the best sports league when you don't have 1946 02:18:45,050 --> 02:18:48,410 the best player in the world in your league? It made no sense. 1947 02:18:48,410 --> 02:18:53,840 So honestly, Julius forced the merger between the ABA and the NBA 1948 02:18:53,840 --> 02:18:58,700 because he was he was in the ABA and the NBA needed him and the 1949 02:18:58,700 --> 02:19:02,570 team he played for when the merger happened was the new Jersey nets. 1950 02:19:02,900 --> 02:19:05,210 Uh, they were the Long Island nets at the time. 1951 02:19:05,210 --> 02:19:07,970 They had not moved to new Jersey. And. 1952 02:19:08,770 --> 02:19:14,530 Julius was probably, I don't know, 24, 25, 23. 1953 02:19:15,160 --> 02:19:18,280 And that version of Julius the NBA has never. 1954 02:19:18,520 --> 02:19:22,660 Never saw I did because I was an ABA fan. I was a basketball fan. 1955 02:19:22,840 --> 02:19:26,530 I used to go to games to see him. And I'm telling you. 1956 02:19:27,300 --> 02:19:30,060 It was breathtaking, as you suggest, to watch him 1957 02:19:30,060 --> 02:19:35,310 play the level of athleticism. Michael Jordan doesn't even come 1958 02:19:35,310 --> 02:19:38,340 close now. Michael Jordan, one might say, 1959 02:19:38,340 --> 02:19:41,010 is a better all around basketball player than Julius. 1960 02:19:41,010 --> 02:19:45,810 And it certainly had greater success as a bull than than Julius found. 1961 02:19:45,810 --> 02:19:48,870 But Julius, with the nets, won three straight NBA championships, 1962 02:19:49,110 --> 02:19:54,960 one straight ABA and won three straight ABA finals MVP in an 1963 02:19:54,960 --> 02:20:00,150 ABA that was filled with stars. Okay, so I don't know, 1964 02:20:00,150 --> 02:20:05,070 I think I think that a lot of really, really smart basketball people. 1965 02:20:05,580 --> 02:20:08,790 He's in the discussion on who's the greatest player of all time. 1966 02:20:08,790 --> 02:20:13,050 You know, whether it's him or Michael Jordan or now some people say LeBron, 1967 02:20:13,050 --> 02:20:16,320 which I think is absolutely absurd, but it doesn't matter. 1968 02:20:16,320 --> 02:20:20,340 He's he's he's really he was something to watch. Yeah. 1969 02:20:21,480 --> 02:20:26,370 So what is your definition of success and how has it changed 1970 02:20:26,370 --> 02:20:35,480 during your life. Mhm. Well. It's definitely changed. 1971 02:20:35,480 --> 02:20:40,130 As if it didn't. It'd be pretty sad. Just like I always say to people, if 1972 02:20:40,130 --> 02:20:43,460 you haven't changed your mind on some things over the course of your life. 1973 02:20:44,330 --> 02:20:47,300 Well, that's a pretty sad state about, you know, what you've 1974 02:20:47,300 --> 02:20:50,450 learned along the way, right? I mean, I didn't I didn't get 1975 02:20:50,450 --> 02:20:54,080 brought into this earth with anywhere near perfect knowledge. 1976 02:20:54,080 --> 02:20:58,100 So I've had to learn my, you know, through observation and hard knocks 1977 02:20:58,160 --> 02:21:02,060 like, like everybody and uh, and my definition about everything, 1978 02:21:02,060 --> 02:21:05,000 including success, has evolved over time. 1979 02:21:05,740 --> 02:21:08,080 I think that greatness, which is the title of my book, 1980 02:21:08,080 --> 02:21:11,680 Greatness of Choice and Success, maybe you would use them 1981 02:21:11,680 --> 02:21:16,420 synonymously, and I think that I would answer the question for both. 1982 02:21:16,420 --> 02:21:22,480 What does that mean as bringing your very best to your life? 1983 02:21:22,480 --> 02:21:26,080 Your very best? It's not a competition, right? 1984 02:21:26,080 --> 02:21:29,920 You're living. Each human being is really 1985 02:21:29,920 --> 02:21:34,420 living his and her own journey. It's a very personal journey, 1986 02:21:34,420 --> 02:21:37,630 and it's almost like it's tailor made for you. 1987 02:21:37,630 --> 02:21:41,590 I think that the people you meet along the way, the experiences 1988 02:21:41,590 --> 02:21:45,280 that you have along the way, the lessons you learn along the 1989 02:21:45,280 --> 02:21:50,140 way or don't learn along the way, that's all meant for you personally. 1990 02:21:50,140 --> 02:21:56,080 And so if you bring it hard, as hard as you can, as good as you 1991 02:21:56,080 --> 02:22:00,100 can in every moment of your day, the best of your ability, 1992 02:22:00,280 --> 02:22:03,700 you're going to learn the most, grow the most. 1993 02:22:03,700 --> 02:22:06,610 And I think that's why we're here and have the most 1994 02:22:06,610 --> 02:22:12,850 fulfillment as a result of that. So to me, success or greatness is not 1995 02:22:12,880 --> 02:22:17,020 what I think younger people think, which is the amazement of money 1996 02:22:17,020 --> 02:22:21,970 or trophies or championships. Those are cool things, of course, 1997 02:22:21,970 --> 02:22:26,500 and it's nice to have them, but you don't need any of them to be great. 1998 02:22:26,830 --> 02:22:29,980 Asked Charles Barkley. By the way. You don't you know, 1999 02:22:29,980 --> 02:22:33,940 you don't need any of any trophies and you don't need any money. 2000 02:22:33,940 --> 02:22:39,940 I mean, you know, greatness is. Is a personal and success is a 2001 02:22:39,940 --> 02:22:42,880 very personal thing. And, you know, 2002 02:22:43,120 --> 02:22:47,140 only you know whether you've achieved it or not on a daily basis. 2003 02:22:47,140 --> 02:22:49,300 And I think it's one that needs to be achieved daily. 2004 02:22:49,300 --> 02:22:51,760 I don't think it's a lifetime achievement award. 2005 02:22:51,760 --> 02:22:54,160 You know, I think it's a grind every day. 2006 02:22:54,160 --> 02:22:57,940 I think some days we all go to bed and we say, man, 2007 02:22:57,940 --> 02:23:02,020 I really did it today. Like today. I'm so proud of who I was. 2008 02:23:02,020 --> 02:23:06,070 And maybe the next day you go to bed, you go like, oh God, I kind of 2009 02:23:06,070 --> 02:23:10,120 missed something, you know, or I wasn't there as I should have been. 2010 02:23:10,120 --> 02:23:14,200 Like with Gary Winnick, for example, you know, and and I'm not proud of 2011 02:23:14,200 --> 02:23:18,610 myself. I judge somebody harshly. I was not attentive. 2012 02:23:18,610 --> 02:23:23,230 I wasn't there fully for that person. I, I didn't make the right 2013 02:23:23,230 --> 02:23:25,990 choices for myself. And I should have known better. 2014 02:23:25,990 --> 02:23:30,850 But I wasn't in an aware state. I think awareness is a prerequisite 2015 02:23:30,850 --> 02:23:34,270 for success in greatness, and I think that living in an aware 2016 02:23:34,270 --> 02:23:40,500 state as best as we can, uh, is the formula for both. That's great. 2017 02:23:41,010 --> 02:23:44,640 You say that people fight people that fight the herd mentality 2018 02:23:44,640 --> 02:23:48,810 and dare to say the right thing. Our contrarians and their 2019 02:23:48,810 --> 02:23:52,560 opinions are probably true. Perhaps cite examples of your 2020 02:23:52,560 --> 02:23:55,290 contrarian thinking. What do you believe that very 2021 02:23:55,290 --> 02:23:57,120 few others believe? Believe. 2022 02:24:03,450 --> 02:24:06,600 It's a wonderful question that I didn't come prepared to answer. 2023 02:24:08,370 --> 02:24:16,020 Okay. As you know. I didn't come prepared to answer 2024 02:24:16,020 --> 02:24:18,810 any question. I know you're great at improv. 2025 02:24:18,840 --> 02:24:22,980 I one of my chapters is Live in improv, 2026 02:24:23,370 --> 02:24:27,510 and I could explain that if you want, but I want to answer your question 2027 02:24:27,510 --> 02:24:29,910 in the context of that philosophy. 2028 02:24:35,610 --> 02:24:39,540 So I'll be controversial and I'll be spiritual and I'll be. 2029 02:24:39,720 --> 02:24:44,500 I'll answer your question with that. What we don't see. 2030 02:24:45,270 --> 02:24:52,050 I think our senses that we lean on touch and and vision and and hearing 2031 02:24:52,050 --> 02:25:02,110 and taste and smell. They serve us. Obviously. But they also block us. 2032 02:25:02,620 --> 02:25:06,970 And the reason I say they block us is because when we don't, when 2033 02:25:06,970 --> 02:25:12,640 things don't hit any of our senses, we just assume they're not there. 2034 02:25:14,200 --> 02:25:19,870 So if we can't sense it according to our our senses, we disbelieve it. 2035 02:25:21,670 --> 02:25:29,430 And I believe that there's energy. And I think there was a lot of things 2036 02:25:29,430 --> 02:25:35,580 we don't see, touch, smell here, feel that's real and more real 2037 02:25:35,580 --> 02:25:39,840 than the things we can touch, see, smell, hear and feel. 2038 02:25:41,970 --> 02:25:50,040 And I think one of them is, um, knowledge, for example. 2039 02:25:52,030 --> 02:25:56,540 Where do ideas come from? Like, where does innovation come 2040 02:25:56,540 --> 02:26:03,650 from? Real innovation. Right. Yeah, but but it it isn't it's not 2041 02:26:03,650 --> 02:26:08,420 manufactured inside of a brain. It's I think it's I think it's the 2042 02:26:08,420 --> 02:26:12,800 channeling of energy that's external. There's a prayer in the Jewish 2043 02:26:12,800 --> 02:26:18,230 morning prayer thanking God for imbuing us with wisdom and knowledge. 2044 02:26:18,260 --> 02:26:23,150 And I think that that's what I'm referring to, that there is a 2045 02:26:23,150 --> 02:26:28,880 universal wisdom and knowledge that we can become conduits for. 2046 02:26:28,880 --> 02:26:33,320 So I'm going to tell you my a Nomura story that I that goes to this point. 2047 02:26:35,490 --> 02:26:39,600 And how I got to this. Well, it started with one day I found 2048 02:26:39,600 --> 02:26:44,790 myself an important person in an industry and being asked to speak 2049 02:26:44,790 --> 02:26:48,540 in front of big audiences, and I'd never done public speaking before. 2050 02:26:48,870 --> 02:26:53,010 And like all novice public speakers, I wrote my speech out, 2051 02:26:53,010 --> 02:26:56,640 literally wrote it word for word on yellow paper. 2052 02:26:56,640 --> 02:27:00,720 And I went to the podium in Boston in front of a thousand people 2053 02:27:00,750 --> 02:27:05,490 and started reading my speech. I'm self-aware enough to realize 2054 02:27:05,490 --> 02:27:08,940 after a few minutes that this is really not going well, 2055 02:27:09,360 --> 02:27:14,820 that I'm reading from this yellow pad into a nobody's liking this. 2056 02:27:14,820 --> 02:27:17,100 This is not nothing. Nothing about this is 2057 02:27:17,100 --> 02:27:24,030 interesting or human or real. So I took the bold step of crumpling 2058 02:27:24,030 --> 02:27:28,380 up the yellow pad piece of paper, throwing it on the floor at my feet, 2059 02:27:28,920 --> 02:27:31,560 and now it's just me and the mic and the audience. 2060 02:27:31,890 --> 02:27:37,290 And I had to give it a go. And I was about a minute of complete 2061 02:27:37,290 --> 02:27:40,950 silence where I tried to think of, okay, what next? 2062 02:27:40,980 --> 02:27:46,110 And then I went and I would say I gave I would give myself a c-plus 2063 02:27:46,110 --> 02:27:49,650 performance on that first day, but I realized it was better than 2064 02:27:49,650 --> 02:27:53,130 the F that I would have given myself before when I was reading, 2065 02:27:53,670 --> 02:27:57,540 and I decided, I'm going to do this forever, I'm never going to prepare. 2066 02:27:57,540 --> 02:28:02,520 And then I went a step further and I decided, because, you know, 2067 02:28:02,520 --> 02:28:05,610 you remember back in the early 90s when I was in Omaha, 2068 02:28:05,730 --> 02:28:12,630 I was the only game in town. So the path into my office was a 2069 02:28:12,630 --> 02:28:16,920 full line of people every day trying to borrow money from me. 2070 02:28:17,770 --> 02:28:23,410 And I decided I'm never going to. I don't want to know who's 2071 02:28:23,410 --> 02:28:26,350 coming to meet me. I don't want to know who they are. 2072 02:28:26,380 --> 02:28:28,000 I don't want to know their background. 2073 02:28:28,000 --> 02:28:29,920 And I don't want to know why they're coming. 2074 02:28:30,610 --> 02:28:35,440 I'm going to hear and feel them in their authenticity. 2075 02:28:36,480 --> 02:28:40,170 And I'm going to be able to react organically and authentically to 2076 02:28:40,170 --> 02:28:45,000 what I feel in that moment. I don't know, I just came to 2077 02:28:45,000 --> 02:28:49,620 that philosophical foundation of how to deal with people, 2078 02:28:50,010 --> 02:28:53,100 and I never look back. And I continue to operate to 2079 02:28:53,100 --> 02:28:56,490 this day that way. But I can remember being 2080 02:28:56,490 --> 02:29:00,600 literally amazed. So a meeting would happen with 2081 02:29:00,600 --> 02:29:04,050 someone I'd never met before. They would explain to me what 2082 02:29:04,050 --> 02:29:07,920 they were looking to accomplish, what their deal was, 2083 02:29:07,920 --> 02:29:12,840 what they wanted from me. I would react completely organically. 2084 02:29:13,720 --> 02:29:18,050 They would walk out. And I would often sit there and 2085 02:29:18,050 --> 02:29:25,550 think to myself. In reflection. Where did the brilliant words that 2086 02:29:25,550 --> 02:29:31,440 just came out of my mouth come from? Because they were not in my head. 2087 02:29:31,770 --> 02:29:35,070 They were not pre thought they were not pre-planned. 2088 02:29:35,340 --> 02:29:38,700 But somehow words just flowed out of my mouth. 2089 02:29:39,430 --> 02:29:43,270 Brilliantly and beautifully that were almost not even mine. 2090 02:29:43,840 --> 02:29:46,540 And there was an almost an out-of-body experience, like I was 2091 02:29:46,540 --> 02:29:50,530 watching a movie that I was in, and every meeting was like, that 2092 02:29:50,530 --> 02:29:54,340 meeting after meeting was like that. And that's when I really started to 2093 02:29:54,340 --> 02:30:01,010 appreciate this. This whole idea of. There's there's knowledge and 2094 02:30:01,010 --> 02:30:06,590 wisdom that Jews pray for in the morning that is there. 2095 02:30:06,590 --> 02:30:09,050 It's in the universe, and I don't understand it. 2096 02:30:09,260 --> 02:30:11,900 So when you think about thinking outside the herd, well, 2097 02:30:11,900 --> 02:30:14,270 I don't think that's a conventional way of thinking, 2098 02:30:14,480 --> 02:30:17,660 but I do believe it very deeply. And I say that prayer with 2099 02:30:17,660 --> 02:30:20,300 conviction every morning. That's, 2100 02:30:20,300 --> 02:30:25,760 that's that's an incredible story. Since the the audience of the podcast 2101 02:30:25,760 --> 02:30:28,640 is aimed at young real estate professionals, please offer your 2102 02:30:28,640 --> 02:30:31,940 thoughts on where are you being focused today on both the investment 2103 02:30:31,940 --> 02:30:35,660 and development businesses, product types, geographies, niches? 2104 02:30:35,690 --> 02:30:37,700 And then I have two more questions. And that's it. 2105 02:30:39,170 --> 02:30:44,450 Well, again I go back to the human behavior question. Yes. 2106 02:30:44,450 --> 02:30:51,440 Ask yourself. And ask others. Where do you and beings want to 2107 02:30:51,440 --> 02:30:57,110 experience life, and how do they want to experience life and create 2108 02:30:57,110 --> 02:31:02,390 the physical spaces that address those desires? Great answer. 2109 02:31:04,280 --> 02:31:07,910 It's a great answer in the. Locations that people want to be in. 2110 02:31:08,120 --> 02:31:12,320 It's kind of first principles thinking. Yeah. It's pretty simple. 2111 02:31:12,350 --> 02:31:15,500 Yeah. It really is. What advice would you give your 2112 02:31:15,500 --> 02:31:22,010 25 year old self today? Okay. This is a really. 2113 02:31:22,010 --> 02:31:25,640 Again, I'll go against the grain. It's in my book. 2114 02:31:25,700 --> 02:31:29,600 It's under a chapter entitled Advice Giving is Senseless. 2115 02:31:32,760 --> 02:31:39,240 I wouldn't give my 25 year old self any advice. The reason is this. 2116 02:31:41,280 --> 02:31:47,880 One and perhaps most importantly in this case, what a 62 year old 2117 02:31:47,880 --> 02:31:53,490 man thinks is right and wrong. And their perspective on life is 2118 02:31:53,490 --> 02:31:57,240 completely inappropriate for a 25 year old person to be thinking. 2119 02:31:58,260 --> 02:32:02,850 I know because of I've lived life how challenging life is, 2120 02:32:02,850 --> 02:32:09,600 how likely efforts are to meet with failure, and we don't want 25 2121 02:32:09,600 --> 02:32:12,240 year old people thinking that way. We want them swinging for the 2122 02:32:12,240 --> 02:32:17,190 fences and being bold and daring. I still want to be bold and daring, 2123 02:32:17,190 --> 02:32:19,770 so I don't even want to give myself the advice of a 62 year old, 2124 02:32:19,770 --> 02:32:23,280 let alone a 25 year old. So I would say I would not give 2125 02:32:23,280 --> 02:32:28,140 any advice if I was pressed hard pressed to give advice. 2126 02:32:28,680 --> 02:32:32,430 It would be the very basic stuff like trust. 2127 02:32:32,430 --> 02:32:37,170 Trust your instincts, your children, trust your instincts. Okay. Be true. 2128 02:32:37,170 --> 02:32:41,820 You know, character and values matter a ton. 2129 02:32:42,840 --> 02:32:48,720 Way more than financial reward. Yes. Treasure each moment. 2130 02:32:49,500 --> 02:32:53,880 Put yourself in the position to enjoy your life with people who 2131 02:32:53,910 --> 02:32:56,910 you can enjoy your life with and who will uplift you. 2132 02:32:57,450 --> 02:33:00,480 Those are the basics, but those are the obvious ones. All right. 2133 02:33:00,720 --> 02:33:05,550 This is a question I ask every guest. And in this case, 2134 02:33:05,550 --> 02:33:08,340 because you live in Los Angeles, I'm going to ask it in a different 2135 02:33:08,340 --> 02:33:13,410 way than I normally ask my DC folks. If you could post a statement on 2136 02:33:13,410 --> 02:33:18,390 a billboard on the the 405 in Los Angeles for millions to see, what 2137 02:33:18,390 --> 02:33:27,700 would it say? Live in a live aware. Two words because you can't fit 2138 02:33:27,700 --> 02:33:32,920 a lot of words on a billboard. Live aware. That's great. Ethan. 2139 02:33:32,950 --> 02:33:36,010 Thank you very much. All right. Appreciate it very much. 2140 02:33:36,160 --> 02:33:37,870 Pleasure to be with you. Appreciate it. 2141 02:33:38,530 --> 02:33:40,720 And thank you, uh, audience, for coming. 2142 02:33:44,430 --> 02:33:49,260 And now maybe sign a book or two? Yeah. Of course. Absolutely. 2143 02:33:49,770 --> 02:33:53,100 Any questions from anybody? I didn't leave it open, but if 2144 02:33:53,100 --> 02:33:57,930 anybody has any questions before they leave, you know, for what? 2145 02:33:57,930 --> 02:34:06,070 I'm just going. To do it. All right. So you earlier in the podcast you 2146 02:34:06,070 --> 02:34:12,370 were discussing, you know how young people today don't pay their dues 2147 02:34:12,370 --> 02:34:16,600 or don't have to? I don't want to. I think that I think that young 2148 02:34:16,600 --> 02:34:21,970 people today that were influenced by the outsized successes at 2149 02:34:21,970 --> 02:34:26,620 early ages of people like Mark Zuckerberg and people like that. 2150 02:34:27,560 --> 02:34:31,370 I think they're, they're they're not as inclined because they 2151 02:34:31,370 --> 02:34:35,480 have data points that John and I didn't have when we were 25. 2152 02:34:35,960 --> 02:34:40,340 So when someone says, you gotta really grind, you know, 2153 02:34:40,340 --> 02:34:43,550 for 20 years before you're going to see the benefits of your success, 2154 02:34:43,550 --> 02:34:47,840 or at least ten or at least five or at least seven or whatever it is, 2155 02:34:48,110 --> 02:34:53,150 you can point to real data points and say, oh man, just look at this kid. 2156 02:34:53,390 --> 02:34:57,350 He's 25 and he's worth $20 billion or $100 million. 2157 02:34:57,350 --> 02:35:01,910 What the hell are you talking about? And I would just say, I don't know. 2158 02:35:01,910 --> 02:35:03,650 I don't really understand that. You know what I mean? 2159 02:35:03,650 --> 02:35:07,400 It's not my generation, so I think I don't condemn young people for this. 2160 02:35:07,400 --> 02:35:10,640 It just they have data points that we didn't have, 2161 02:35:10,640 --> 02:35:14,120 and that's going to naturally cause them to think differently. 2162 02:35:14,300 --> 02:35:18,200 And I don't judge that right or wrong. I just think. But I do feel. 2163 02:35:19,320 --> 02:35:23,970 That the journey of paying dues is a reward. 2164 02:35:24,000 --> 02:35:27,150 That in and of itself is a rewarding journey, and I think 2165 02:35:27,150 --> 02:35:31,770 that I feel a little sorry for the Mark Zuckerberg's of the world. 2166 02:35:32,430 --> 02:35:37,290 Even Mark Zuckerberg, who made chief success very I 2167 02:35:37,290 --> 02:35:40,950 achieve success very young. I was at the top of this industry and 2168 02:35:40,950 --> 02:35:44,820 the financial industry in my 30s, not my 20s, but in my 30s. 2169 02:35:45,180 --> 02:35:47,940 And I wish I had. In retrospect, 2170 02:35:48,450 --> 02:35:51,180 it would have been better if it came to me when I was in my late 40s, 2171 02:35:51,180 --> 02:35:54,150 you know, like I probably was too young to fully appreciate it. 2172 02:35:54,600 --> 02:36:00,690 Well, given that information, would you agree that what they're 2173 02:36:00,690 --> 02:36:05,460 doing at their age right now, um, is based off of data points, like you 2174 02:36:05,460 --> 02:36:10,410 said they have that you didn't have, but they're actually choosing to be 2175 02:36:10,410 --> 02:36:16,860 great in their, in their moment, um, by making decisions to pursue 2176 02:36:16,860 --> 02:36:23,190 innovation while avoiding leading some of the pitfalls in terms of how 2177 02:36:23,190 --> 02:36:27,780 they spend their time building their career and actually using their time 2178 02:36:27,780 --> 02:36:32,760 to enjoy and put time into. Yeah. Again, I don't I don't say what 2179 02:36:32,760 --> 02:36:37,560 I said to judge them or to judge a generational difference. 2180 02:36:37,560 --> 02:36:42,240 It's just an observation, that's all. It's not writer or wronger. 2181 02:36:42,240 --> 02:36:53,090 It just is. Sam. I like my journey. I wouldn't trade it for their 2182 02:36:53,090 --> 02:36:56,120 journey, but. But I hope they feel the same way. 2183 02:36:56,330 --> 02:36:59,000 You know what I mean? We all get to love our own journey. 2184 02:36:59,000 --> 02:37:04,620 It's our own journey. Go ahead, Sam. This has been a. 2185 02:37:05,220 --> 02:37:08,430 Masterful and just a. Wonderful opportunity to be in a room 2186 02:37:08,430 --> 02:37:11,310 with you on your, your, your journey. Um, 2187 02:37:12,240 --> 02:37:17,760 at the risk of against sailing too close to the wind with the podcast. 2188 02:37:18,420 --> 02:37:23,310 One of the the very intriguing topics of interest rates and the fact that 2189 02:37:23,310 --> 02:37:28,590 your career coincided with this great deal of interest rate decline. 2190 02:37:29,400 --> 02:37:33,990 Um, but your career also blossomed into the era where America had, 2191 02:37:34,560 --> 02:37:38,580 at least in hindsight, unprecedented peace and prosperity, 2192 02:37:38,580 --> 02:37:43,170 perhaps, and in your lifetime, comparatively to the lifetimes 2193 02:37:43,170 --> 02:37:47,160 of the people in this room? I would say it's fairly not a 2194 02:37:47,160 --> 02:37:52,350 controversial statement to say that the issue of the shores are 2195 02:37:52,350 --> 02:37:57,010 more rocky. Geopolitically or domestically and 2196 02:37:57,010 --> 02:38:02,860 abroad, what would be sort of. Without getting into politics per se. 2197 02:38:02,890 --> 02:38:06,100 What would be sort of your great fears? 2198 02:38:06,100 --> 02:38:10,270 Or if you're looking around corners or for people building a career? 2199 02:38:10,660 --> 02:38:14,170 What are sort of some of the geopolitical domains that maybe 2200 02:38:14,170 --> 02:38:17,860 you're tracking, um, that are a source of concern or 2201 02:38:17,860 --> 02:38:21,070 maybe a source of opportunity in terms of navigating markets? 2202 02:38:22,210 --> 02:38:29,800 Well, I, I'm a very big believer. In the divine perfection of the 2203 02:38:29,800 --> 02:38:34,220 world. So I don't see the God versus the 2204 02:38:34,220 --> 02:38:39,920 devil fight that some people see. And I also don't see randomness. 2205 02:38:39,920 --> 02:38:43,250 Like that's scary. I see perfection, 2206 02:38:43,820 --> 02:38:49,250 and I see that when bad things, so-called bad things happen to me. 2207 02:38:51,710 --> 02:38:56,720 They're brought to me as a gift to elevate me, to teach me. 2208 02:38:56,750 --> 02:39:00,770 We don't learn from our successes. We learn from our stumbles and 2209 02:39:00,770 --> 02:39:04,970 our falling and our failure. The world is going through. 2210 02:39:06,770 --> 02:39:11,420 A growing period, a learning period. And I think it's only through the 2211 02:39:11,420 --> 02:39:16,550 revealing of our shortcomings that are brought to the surface. 2212 02:39:17,090 --> 02:39:22,190 Do we all get to see it in all of its glory or grossness? 2213 02:39:23,050 --> 02:39:30,220 So that we can address it. I think that hopelessness is a 2214 02:39:30,220 --> 02:39:36,310 very bad formula for a society. I don't think we have to look 2215 02:39:36,310 --> 02:39:40,060 overseas to see that we're fomenting in this country. 2216 02:39:40,570 --> 02:39:44,470 Hopelessness, hopelessness, like we've never seen in this, 2217 02:39:44,500 --> 02:39:49,330 in this country before. I'll give you a statistic. 2218 02:39:49,330 --> 02:39:54,640 So in the New York public school system in New York is whether 2219 02:39:54,640 --> 02:39:57,790 you like New York or not. It's considered like the most 2220 02:39:57,790 --> 02:40:02,770 powerful city in the world, even. Right? Uh, New York. 2221 02:40:02,770 --> 02:40:06,220 So New York public school system has about a million, a little 2222 02:40:06,220 --> 02:40:09,550 less than a million students, rounded up to a million students. 2223 02:40:10,840 --> 02:40:15,640 11% of those students are homeless. Which means that after school, 2224 02:40:15,640 --> 02:40:18,700 they go home to the street or to homeless shelters. 2225 02:40:19,690 --> 02:40:24,070 11%, 70% of those students live below the poverty line. 2226 02:40:25,340 --> 02:40:29,300 How is the future of New York going to be anything but 2227 02:40:29,300 --> 02:40:35,330 challenged with that reality? How would we allow this to occur 2228 02:40:35,330 --> 02:40:40,310 as a society? How do we allow our leadership? 2229 02:40:40,640 --> 02:40:45,600 How do we elect leadership? That doesn't even address or 2230 02:40:45,600 --> 02:40:50,640 acknowledge or point out, let alone come up with solutions 2231 02:40:50,640 --> 02:40:55,740 to this hopelessness that is being built inside of New York City, 2232 02:40:55,740 --> 02:40:59,790 the power center of our country, and other cities all over the 2233 02:40:59,790 --> 02:41:07,030 country. So I think that. I think that I said the words 2234 02:41:07,030 --> 02:41:10,480 live aware would be what my two words would be, 2235 02:41:10,480 --> 02:41:16,210 and what my book is a calling for. One of the biggest mistakes that 2236 02:41:16,210 --> 02:41:21,460 I think my generation has made, and I think continues to be made in 2237 02:41:21,460 --> 02:41:30,790 these generations, is to much trust in government and the process of 2238 02:41:30,790 --> 02:41:37,000 government to much trust in, uh, when we turn on turn the faucet, 2239 02:41:37,540 --> 02:41:41,080 there's this trust that clean water is going to come out that we can 2240 02:41:41,080 --> 02:41:45,220 drink. When we turn on our shower. That water is going to come out 2241 02:41:45,220 --> 02:41:49,390 that won't harm our skin. It's clean where we flush our toilet, 2242 02:41:49,660 --> 02:41:55,570 that the the refuse will go somewhere safe, or that we buy food, 2243 02:41:55,570 --> 02:41:59,620 that it's healthy for our bodies. That's all trust that we're 2244 02:41:59,620 --> 02:42:03,700 investing in government. And I think that what we're learning 2245 02:42:03,700 --> 02:42:08,800 is that that trust is being poorly, poorly invested with no checks and 2246 02:42:08,800 --> 02:42:16,270 balances by the people in a democracy who are supposed to be aware and 2247 02:42:16,270 --> 02:42:22,240 alert and investing in that trust. So I think we're we're going to 2248 02:42:22,240 --> 02:42:26,770 learn as a society that when you don't take that stuff seriously, 2249 02:42:27,100 --> 02:42:31,240 there's going to be a big price to be paid, and it'll be 2250 02:42:31,240 --> 02:42:34,750 unfortunate and uncomfortable. And it's already unfortunate and 2251 02:42:34,750 --> 02:42:37,480 already uncomfortable and manifesting itself in. 2252 02:42:39,490 --> 02:42:43,390 In an argument and discussions in cities around this country 2253 02:42:43,390 --> 02:42:48,460 that are divisive for sure and unhealthy for sure. 2254 02:42:49,030 --> 02:42:53,440 And getting through that's going to be tough. But we will get through. 2255 02:42:53,440 --> 02:42:56,710 That's the other thing there's always going to be because I believe, 2256 02:42:56,710 --> 02:43:02,860 as I say in my last chapter. There's an inadvertent conspiracy 2257 02:43:03,700 --> 02:43:09,160 amongst everyone to live tomorrow. Nobody wants today to be the last 2258 02:43:09,160 --> 02:43:14,080 day they live, and no one wants the world to be ended as we know it. 2259 02:43:14,320 --> 02:43:19,030 No matter whether we're poor, hopeless, homeless, rich, 2260 02:43:19,390 --> 02:43:22,720 political, not political. We all want to get together and 2261 02:43:22,720 --> 02:43:25,660 figure out how tomorrow can exist for all of us. 2262 02:43:26,170 --> 02:43:33,100 And so I think that that inclination to, um, solving problems will, 2263 02:43:33,100 --> 02:43:35,920 will ultimately work. I think I believe in the 2264 02:43:35,920 --> 02:43:39,220 American system. It's very uncomfortable when 2265 02:43:39,220 --> 02:43:42,790 it's challenged and it is being challenged, but I believe that 2266 02:43:42,790 --> 02:43:49,390 will will come out of it. Okay. It's going to be a bumpy road, and I 2267 02:43:49,390 --> 02:43:54,340 think there's a lot of opportunity in being part of the solution instead of 2268 02:43:54,340 --> 02:43:58,060 being part of the problem. Right. I think the easy path is to be part 2269 02:43:58,060 --> 02:44:02,470 of the problem, which is to be part of the divisive discussion, 2270 02:44:02,830 --> 02:44:06,910 to be pro this and anti, then that's the that's what 2271 02:44:06,910 --> 02:44:09,790 everyone's defaulting to. I always go where no one's 2272 02:44:09,790 --> 02:44:13,660 defaulting to which is okay let's let's find a way to work together 2273 02:44:13,660 --> 02:44:18,100 to create tomorrow. Be great. There's a lot of reward. 2274 02:44:18,100 --> 02:44:20,530 In going there. Not a lot of people agree with us.